Trim-Probe — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$761

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 05-26 11:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

41% 100% +$1

Politics

31% 100% +$0

Crypto

27% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	1	$111	113	+113	open	—	05-15 12:38
Will Ukraine advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$110	111	+111	open	—	05-14 20:33
Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$105	106	+106	Yes	+$1	05-12 18:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	1	$80	83	+83	open	—	05-18 14:46
Billions FDV above $700M one day after launch?	1	$41	41	+41	No	+$0	05-05 14:30
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$40	41	+41	open	—	04-01 10:04
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$36	37	+37	open	—	05-26 11:03
Nexus FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$34	36	+36	open	—	05-20 18:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	1	$12	12	+12	No	+$0	05-11 10:49
Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$11	12	+12	open	—	04-14 01:36
will solana dip to 40 in january 2026	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	01-24 02:39
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	05-08 21:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-11 04:37
Will Solana reach $150 in May?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-08 04:54
gc settle above 5100 jan 2026	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	01-09 02:44
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 115	1	$4	5	+5	open	—	01-17 02:09
will amazon be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	01-06 06:41
will microsoft be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	02-20 10:35
Will Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$4	4	+4	Yes	+$0	05-12 18:03
will openai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	01-17 19:17
Will ByteDance have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	04-10 13:17
will the bank of new zealand increase the official cash rate after the april decision	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	04-06 11:24
will the bank of brazil increase the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	3	$4	4	+4	open	—	03-08 04:49
Will BNB dip to $200 in April?	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	04-10 11:11
will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	01-07 09:52
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in April?	1	$3	3	+3	open	—	04-12 09:47
si hit 25 low jan 2026 271 644 727	1	$3	3	+3	open	—	01-20 10:33
gc hit 5500 high jan 2026	1	$3	3	+3	open	—	01-09 23:41
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$3	3	+3	open	—	04-15 23:57
Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$3	3	+3	open	—	04-10 15:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 11:03:25	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	37	99¢	$36	0x3ddba1…
05-20 18:08:32	Nexus FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	36	93¢	$34	0x2ff5fd…
05-18 14:46:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	83	96¢	$80	0x296e16…
05-15 12:38:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	113	98¢	$111	0x72aa1e…
05-14 20:33:39	Will Ukraine advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x867447…
05-12 18:08:48	Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0x594bfe…
05-12 18:03:37	Will Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x7c7084…
05-11 10:49:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xa9edbf…
05-11 04:37:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0b897e…
05-10 01:07:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xf7be55…
05-09 18:19:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x80028e…
05-08 21:14:30	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$5	0xbacc13…
05-08 04:54:43	Will Solana reach $150 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x598828…
05-05 14:30:08	Billions FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x755ceb…
04-29 06:29:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc2b761…
04-18 09:19:30	Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x076ee6…
04-17 20:55:52	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x612445…
04-17 04:55:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xba17ce…
04-16 01:06:16	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x382f77…
04-15 23:57:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x643eaf…
04-14 01:36:27	Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	12	98¢	$11	0xd55040…
04-13 19:42:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x4586f1…
04-13 07:36:39	Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x72ffb2…
04-13 02:54:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb5bb38…
04-12 23:01:17	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x70250f…
04-12 09:47:45	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x9b4eb3…
04-11 18:38:35	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 end of April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x3d8a49…
04-10 15:17:11	Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x48636f…
04-10 13:17:11	Will ByteDance have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x577376…
04-10 11:11:31	Will BNB dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x001c4b…
04-07 03:13:11	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $220 end of April?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa58ed5…
04-06 11:24:05	will the bank of new zealand increase the official cash rate after the april decision	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xc4b3e0…
04-05 07:13:51	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf4386f…
04-01 10:04:11	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$40	0xcdd0da…
03-28 06:12:13	will elon musks net worth be between 660b and 670b on march 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xea55ad…
03-27 21:51:13	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb0c0a9…
03-27 19:49:17	amzn above 230 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf1220a…
03-27 10:47:59	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x93751d…
03-27 10:27:03	will google have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xec4dae…
03-27 02:27:33	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb7451c…
03-26 23:20:29	msft above 435 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9d7a7d…
03-26 20:09:21	will deepseek have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc65eb7…
03-25 21:54:15	googl above 270 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3d9b9a…
03-25 21:44:03	msft above 345 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xa070f6…
03-25 17:39:37	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa2f5dc…
03-23 06:59:57	will chainlink reach 20 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdcf7d6…
03-22 17:49:37	will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa8b220…
03-21 02:24:09	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x314877…
03-21 01:32:59	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x96f8a0…
03-08 04:49:27	will the bank of brazil increase the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7e91be…
03-07 22:03:37	nvda above 140 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2721f4…
03-07 05:25:07	will the bank of brazil increase the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8de755…
03-06 19:23:09	will solana dip to 30 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf1226f…
03-06 07:43:29	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5c0e95…
03-06 06:17:13	nflx above 180 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x073a78…
03-05 16:53:41	will tesla be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2dd676…
03-05 15:50:43	will bnb dip to 200 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1f5c83…
03-05 14:48:23	will solana dip to 30 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x62768a…
03-05 13:57:07	will xrp reach 2pt8 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3247ac…
03-05 09:13:03	amzn above 270 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc2f450…
03-04 22:47:59	will chainlink dip to 2 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x08bd2f…
03-04 22:27:23	aapl above 330 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xab494e…
03-04 20:40:07	will bitcoin dip to 30k in march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x877f0e…
03-04 07:23:05	will chainlink reach 20 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1d1d4e…
03-04 03:50:01	will the bank of brazil increase the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5acdba…
03-04 00:56:39	will xrp reach 2pt8 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x37c9d4…
03-03 23:42:23	will zai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 189	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x048f2a…
03-03 17:14:29	will bitcoin dip to 30k in march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe61b10…
02-24 19:32:26	aapl above 220 on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xef11ab…
02-24 03:20:58	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb557be…
02-23 23:33:36	will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xbbf838…
02-23 21:08:36	amzn above 280 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x990b1f…
02-23 19:20:14	nflx above 60 on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x1f59d6…
02-21 20:26:10	nflx above 120 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x10d892…
02-21 18:11:50	googl above 350 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3ff8a4…
02-21 02:59:18	meta above 800 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x249fe6…
02-20 10:35:32	will microsoft be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x423b72…
02-10 04:46:13	aapl above 310 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x899e79…
02-08 08:54:41	will bitcoin reach 120k in february 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xaaab29…
01-24 02:39:50	will solana dip to 40 in january 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7a1063…
01-23 06:30:58	aapl above 210 on january 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2dc9a3…
01-21 05:35:52	will meituan have the third best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x42b256…
01-20 10:33:52	si hit 25 low jan 2026 271 644 727	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x591147…
01-17 19:17:50	will openai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x9761e0…
01-17 02:09:58	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 115	No	BUY	5	100¢	$4	0xc6d618…
01-12 03:32:44	amzn above 170 on january 30 2026	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x43de71…
01-09 23:41:38	gc hit 5500 high jan 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xf76951…
01-09 02:44:10	gc settle above 5100 jan 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7ee715…
01-07 09:52:25	will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x553e98…
01-06 06:41:19	will amazon be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x36a67d…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	59	$2.99K	2,461	05-26 06:49
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	52	$141.7K	2,545	05-28 14:55
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	49	$58.8K	406	05-28 22:13
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	48	$11.6K	7,844	04-21 07:15
Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774	45	$2.13K	2,377	05-22 07:51
Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81	45	$926	685	03-27 19:11
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	44	$6.43K	1,608	05-26 10:31
Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44	44	$1.67K	1,189	05-26 15:47