Utter-Parser — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

-$13

Hit rate

93.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

$152

5 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 10-25 19:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Politics

48% 83% +$5

Other

29% 100% +$3

Tech

12% 60% -$4

Pop-Culture

10% — —

Crypto

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	-104	-$101	99¢	$-103	-$3	04-29 08:07
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	+29	$29	100¢	$29	$0	10-25 19:45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+14	$12	82¢	$12	$0	09-27 15:36
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	+9	$8	92¢	$8	$0	09-29 19:36
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	+11	$10	0¢	$0	-$10	09-30 16:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	2	$111	60	60	+0	open	—	09-27 15:34
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	1	$101	0	104	-104	open	—	04-29 08:07
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$100	101	0	+101	No	+$1	03-29 20:38
will anthropic ipo by july 31 2026	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	07-27 14:02
Kanye West arrested in Russia by October 31?	1	$90	91	0	+91	open	—	09-29 19:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	1	$70	91	0	+91	Yes	+$21	05-29 19:38
Trump out as President by June 30?	1	$65	68	0	+68	No	+$3	04-28 20:40
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	1	$52	52	0	+52	Yes	+$0	06-24 17:03
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?	1	$48	48	0	+48	No	+$0	08-28 12:37
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$40	26	26	+0	open	—	06-24 21:22
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	3	$39	49	9	+40	open	—	10-25 19:45
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	2	$38	22	22	+0	open	—	10-25 19:45
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	3	$34	192	183	+9	open	—	09-29 19:36
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	07-27 14:03
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?	2	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	08-31 14:43
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	2	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	10-25 19:44
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	09-30 16:38
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 27, 2026?	2	$23	12	12	+0	No	$0	09-27 15:33
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	09-29 19:32
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026?	1	$22	22	0	+22	Yes	+$0	09-27 15:32
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	09-27 15:34
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	05-29 19:39
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	09-27 15:28
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	1	$16	16	0	+16	Yes	+$0	08-31 14:36
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	1	$15	51	0	+51	No	-$15	04-28 20:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$13	14	0	+14	No	+$1	05-29 19:37
will xauusd reach 4600 in august 2026 from august 28	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	08-31 14:38
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$12	14	0	+14	open	—	09-27 15:36
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?	1	$10	11	0	+11	Yes	+$1	07-27 14:00
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	07-27 13:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 19:45:54	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xafc3eb…
10-25 19:45:06	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	84¢	$18	0x296fa7…
10-25 19:44:15	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0xce6e75…
09-30 16:42:41	US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x0775b2…
09-30 16:41:51	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x425bc6…
09-30 16:40:21	will the next gpt sol model 6pt1 debut with a humanitys last exam score of 40 or higher	Yes	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x39dc47…
09-30 16:39:27	americaptgov removed by october 31 1	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xf72c4a…
09-30 16:38:17	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0xcf79cb…
09-30 16:37:05	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0x1587dd…
09-29 19:38:54	Kanye West arrested in Russia by October 31?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$90	0x6690be…
09-29 19:36:59	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x3108bb…
09-29 19:36:29	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	No	SELL	183	6¢	$11	0x14e403…
09-29 19:33:59	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x11171a…
09-29 19:32:12	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x7bbfce…
09-29 19:30:15	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xece38e…
09-27 15:36:09	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0xb12c09…
09-27 15:34:45	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	60	96¢	$58	0x3e43e2…
09-27 15:34:21	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x79ab3f…
09-27 15:33:21	Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 27, 2026?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x3a7f5d…
09-27 15:32:50	Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xfc3c5f…
09-27 15:32:26	Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 28, 2026?	No	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x09b62d…
09-27 15:32:00	Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 27, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x03fdfa…
09-27 15:30:39	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	No	BUY	183	8¢	$15	0x41b044…
09-27 15:29:20	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x08ebf1…
09-27 15:28:09	Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x7232f0…
08-31 14:43:28	NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x53a671…
08-31 14:42:07	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x75d22e…
08-31 14:38:31	will xauusd reach 4600 in august 2026 from august 28	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x5c6f60…
08-31 14:36:34	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x3c3feb…
08-28 12:44:33	Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xf64e02…
08-28 12:39:51	NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x9f0929…
08-28 12:38:54	US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x02d831…
08-28 12:37:10	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x87b654…
08-28 12:35:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe05741…
08-28 12:33:19	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc5f510…
07-27 14:03:07	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xa4a4ee…
07-27 14:02:12	will anthropic ipo by july 31 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x5ca7cd…
07-27 14:01:16	Will Thorsten Frei be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xd4e5c6…
07-27 14:00:34	Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xc3413b…
07-27 13:59:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x39bd68…
07-27 13:58:30	spy up or down on july 27 2026	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xed95b5…
06-24 21:22:22	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	26	79¢	$20	0x71f255…
06-24 17:03:32	Will Trump and Putin not meet?	Yes	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x2c10c5…
06-24 17:02:02	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	60	88¢	$53	0xb15440…
05-29 19:39:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	18	97¢	$18	0x6da4d5…
05-29 19:38:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	77¢	$70	0xe2a7aa…
05-29 19:37:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x7d6971…
04-29 08:07:56	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	104	96¢	$101	0xd2c238…
04-28 20:40:10	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	68	95¢	$65	0x62f24c…
04-28 20:39:00	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	51	29¢	$15	0xb63456…
04-28 20:35:20	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x3b0b2a…
03-29 20:38:32	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x23813d…