Treasured-Reasoning — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

40.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$52

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 06-21 13:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

47% — —

Crypto

41% 11% $-10

Sports

8% 100% +$17

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes		-28	$-2	5¢	$-2	+$0	06-21 13:27
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		-24	$-1	4¢	$-1	+$0	06-21 13:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$6	24	0	+24	open	—	05-17 00:01
another gta vi trailer released by june 30	1	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	06-21 13:31
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	1	$4	21	0	+21	Sean Strickland	+$17	05-09 17:54
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	1	$4	9	0	+9	open	—	05-06 21:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	4	$4	161	0	+161	Down	$-4	05-10 16:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	2	$4	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	4	$3	12	3	+9	Up	$-1	05-10 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-09 13:44
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$2	10	10	+0	open	—	05-09 21:44
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	1	$2	0	28	-28	open	—	06-21 13:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$1	10	0	+10	Down	$-1	05-10 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	1	$1	10	0	+10	Down	$-1	05-09 22:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	1	$1	18	0	+18	open	—	05-06 21:37
Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	05-16 23:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$1	20	0	+20	open	—	05-15 00:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	1	$1	10	0	+10	Up	$-1	05-09 22:42
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	1	$1	10	0	+10	open	—	05-16 23:55
Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-16 23:52
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-16 23:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	Up	$-1	05-12 17:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	$-1	05-09 22:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-09 22:29
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	1	$1	43	0	+43	open	—	05-06 21:40
Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	05-16 23:50
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	1	$1	0	24	-24	open	—	06-21 13:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	1	$1	20	0	+20	Up	$-1	05-12 17:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	1	$0	5	0	+5	Up	$-0	05-10 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	1	$0	5	0	+5	Up	$-0	05-09 23:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	1	$0	5	0	+5	Up	$-0	05-09 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	1	$0	5	0	+5	Down	$-0	05-09 23:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 13:31:05	another gta vi trailer released by june 30	Yes	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x262b9d…
06-21 13:27:38	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	6¢	$2	0xcee2c3…
06-21 13:27:29	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	4¢	$1	0xecf18b…
05-17 00:01:07	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	16	28¢	$4	0x0ae1cf…
05-16 23:55:24	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xed4435…
05-16 23:52:13	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x044a6c…
05-16 23:51:26	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x0165b9…
05-16 23:51:10	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x30c99c…
05-16 23:50:56	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x046398…
05-16 23:50:34	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x97f2c4…
05-15 00:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd7c54e…
05-12 17:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x10ff17…
05-12 17:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x77dada…
05-10 16:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe72fc2…
05-10 16:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xfee0f3…
05-10 16:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xd5bd72…
05-10 16:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc5073c…
05-10 16:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa9469d…
05-10 16:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xc671a8…
05-10 16:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x61df48…
05-10 16:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x4dcec3…
05-10 16:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xf40414…
05-10 16:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xf7c61e…
05-10 16:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xb82e45…
05-10 16:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xc9da36…
05-09 23:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4d80d2…
05-09 23:09:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7a7a0e…
05-09 23:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1b4c41…
05-09 23:04:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x092e12…
05-09 23:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x78fb57…
05-09 22:59:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x521522…
05-09 22:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x8c71ca…
05-09 22:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xeb56fd…
05-09 22:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x56a48e…
05-09 22:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0x1b7cb7…
05-09 22:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5948b8…
05-09 22:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x73088b…
05-09 21:44:32	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x5cde11…
05-09 17:54:30	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0x52216e…
05-09 13:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xae7c63…
05-09 13:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x709638…
05-06 21:52:27	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x803a8a…
05-06 21:40:49	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0xbf8dd7…
05-06 21:37:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x75bc1a…
05-06 21:33:33	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x1358d7…