Outlying-Congressman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.02K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 07-21 12:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

54% — —

Other

28% 100% +$1

Politics

16% 100% +$1

Sports

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	10	$260	260	260	+0	open	—	07-09 22:30
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	3	$257	130	130	+0	open	—	07-21 12:00
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	4	$114	210	240	-30	open	—	05-22 19:59
Will Trump visit China by May 8?	1	$70	70	0	+70	No	+$0	05-05 10:16
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	1	$55	55	0	+55	open	—	04-29 21:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 26?	1	$45	45	0	+45	open	—	04-26 11:04
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	1	$35	35	0	+35	open	—	04-29 21:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	05-13 10:08
bitcoin above 56k on july 2 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	07-02 09:06
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	1	$24	25	0	+25	No	+$1	05-05 10:18
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	05-22 20:05
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 5 9144	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	06-04 18:49
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	05-13 10:08
will bitcoin reach 65k on july 13	1	$9	9	0	+9	open	—	07-13 19:58
spy up or down on july 9 2026	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	07-09 17:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-26 11:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-05 10:15
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-05 10:14
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-29 21:06
mlb tor sea 2026 07 04	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	07-04 21:05
gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	07-04 21:05
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 5, 2026?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$0	05-05 10:18
Madrid Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Caty McNally	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-26 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-26 11:04
cs2 tl1 hero 2026 06 04	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	06-04 18:50
cs2 ice g1 2026 07 09	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	07-09 17:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-26 11:05
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Petra Marcinko vs Oleksandra Oliynykova	1	$1	2	0	+2	Oleksandra Oliynykova	+$1	05-05 10:17
Madrid Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauff	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-26 11:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 12:00:30	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x0910ef…
07-21 11:56:30	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	111	99¢	$109	0x8271ff…
07-13 21:41:32	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	130	99¢	$128	0xd892b4…
07-13 19:58:53	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 13	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x594d0a…
07-09 22:30:10	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x0c496a…
07-09 20:41:28	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xff3e23…
07-09 20:36:28	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	SELL	87	5¢	$4	0x78d364…
07-09 19:31:37	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	SELL	43	4¢	$2	0xf3d713…
07-09 19:13:16	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x4d6cbe…
07-09 18:26:59	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0xef622f…
07-09 18:25:40	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	50	96¢	$47	0x70eb76…
07-09 17:36:46	cs2 ice g1 2026 07 09	Inner Circle Esports	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xb5f1e4…
07-09 17:35:11	spy up or down on july 9 2026	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xd61c15…
07-07 18:35:28	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	85	98¢	$83	0xc53c64…
07-07 18:10:56	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x3c38aa…
07-05 11:25:59	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	130	2¢	$3	0xd88bf4…
07-04 21:05:43	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x3b011b…
07-04 21:05:11	mlb tor sea 2026 07 04	Seattle Mariners	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5a6aa5…
07-02 09:06:16	bitcoin above 56k on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb7163d…
06-04 18:50:34	cs2 tl1 hero 2026 06 04	Liquid	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x9216be…
06-04 18:49:34	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 5 9144	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x123627…
05-22 20:05:17	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x61e760…
05-22 19:59:01	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	78¢	$31	0x8eb983…
05-22 19:58:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	21¢	$42	0xaa8ef2…
05-20 14:37:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x4a5618…
05-19 20:13:14	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x641840…
05-13 10:08:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x8d794e…
05-13 10:08:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xfb9d9c…
05-05 10:18:38	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	93¢	$2	0x285319…
05-05 10:18:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x99b4b9…
05-05 10:17:04	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Petra Marcinko vs Oleksandra Oliynykova	Oleksandra Oliynykova	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xe61cd1…
05-05 10:16:14	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x1178d4…
05-05 10:15:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa156d6…
05-05 10:14:54	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd69ec6…
04-29 21:06:48	Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0013d2…
04-29 21:00:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xb4b535…
04-29 21:00:22	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x907bf3…
04-26 11:06:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6ed736…
04-26 11:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xe20443…
04-26 11:04:56	Madrid Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauff	Coco Gauff	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x92e33c…
04-26 11:04:40	Madrid Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Caty McNally	Katerina Siniakova	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xc13d8e…
04-26 11:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x68d9e5…
04-26 11:04:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xc38fd3…