Realized P&L
-$6.68K
Unrealized P&L
+$5.54K
Hit rate
38.8%
Resolved
52
Trades
1,045
lifetime
Volume
$68.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$65
Open exposure
$16.3K
13 positions
First seen
2026-07-08
last 10-25 13:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Politics
62% 50% -$6,266
Other
38% 33% -$389
Crypto
0% 60% -$26
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 126 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +12,080 $6,456 88¢ $10.7K +$4,235 09-25 18:32
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +2,490 $1,245 94¢ $2.4K +$1,108 09-25 18:48
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +1,632 $987 62¢ $1.0K +$16 10-23 23:02
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,641 $857 47¢ $772 -$85 10-24 20:32
us x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 20260918 No +512 $287 70¢ $361 +$74 09-25 17:46
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +22,247 $392 2¢ $356 -$36 09-28 19:26
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +365 $284 88¢ $323 +$38 10-24 11:41
us announces end of iranian blockade by march 31 2027 No +400 $84 40¢ $162 +$78 09-25 18:50
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +712 $145 15¢ $107 -$38 10-25 13:14
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +144 -$149 64¢ $91 +$240 10-09 12:23
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $87 10¢ $20 -$67 08-10 09:58
will ethereum dip to 1250 by december 31 2026 from june 8 Yes +200 $40 10¢ $19 -$21 08-10 09:57
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,041 $8 1¢ $6 -$3 08-21 10:59