(anonymous) 0x799a70…3241f7
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Realized P&L
-$56
Unrealized P&L
+$10
Hit rate
79.8%
Resolved
78
Trades
524
lifetime
Volume
$854
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$83
18 positions
First seen
2026-06-12
last 10-26 05:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 41 days
Categories
Politics
61% 78% -$46
Other
29% 89% -$9
Sports
8% 100% +$1
Crypto
3% 80% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +17 $14 92¢ $15 +$1 08-22 03:29
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +14 $10 74¢ $10 +$0 09-18 23:35
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +13 $10 80¢ $10 +$0 08-21 03:48
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +11 $10 92¢ $10 +$0 09-21 20:22
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +7 $6 96¢ $7 +$1 10-13 18:56
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +4 $4 98¢ $4 +$0 09-21 20:01
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +115 -$4 3¢ $4 +$8 10-13 02:27
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +4 $4 86¢ $4 $0 09-18 01:16
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +73 $2 3¢ $2 +$0 08-17 02:59
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 10-02 03:35
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +3 $2 66¢ $2 +$0 10-04 14:53
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $2 92¢ $2 +$0 08-22 03:28
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +3 $2 74¢ $2 +$0 09-21 16:49
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +2 $2 90¢ $2 $0 10-26 05:01
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +9 $2 20¢ $2 $0 08-24 14:05
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +2 $2 86¢ $2 $0 10-13 18:55
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +2 $2 86¢ $2 $0 09-16 20:21
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +7 $2 16¢ $1 -$1 07-24 19:49