Nutty-Detainment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$611

Unrealized P&L

+$108

Hit rate

95.7%

Resolved

Trades

959

lifetime

Volume

$17.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$239

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-08 21:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

78% 100% +$654

Crypto

12% — —

Other

10% 0% $-43

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 91 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	+200	$104	84¢	$167	+$63	05-27 21:12
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	+200	$20	25¢	$50	+$30	06-03 07:18
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	-400	$-37	6¢	$-22	+$15	05-28 18:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	9	$1.2K	774	974	-200	open	—	01-15 14:04
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	8	$916	1,317	1,317	+0	open	—	05-28 20:37
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	16	$772	2,120	2,120	+0	open	—	04-19 18:56
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	6	$743	450	450	+0	open	—	01-15 14:03
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	8	$647	600	600	+0	open	—	05-25 23:06
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	4	$544	451	451	+0	open	—	05-25 23:07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$534	500	500	+0	Yes	+$466	05-09 12:19
will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	14	$524	1,490	416	+1,074	open	—	03-22 20:11
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	8	$501	775	775	+0	open	—	06-01 16:05
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	6	$489	388	388	+0	open	—	05-15 17:30
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	12	$444	304	304	+0	open	—	05-14 15:29
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	3	$412	474	474	+0	Yes	+$188	04-19 18:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	8	$395	1,100	1,900	-800	open	—	05-25 23:35
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	1	$285	0	300	-300	open	—	06-08 21:03
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	4	$280	690	1,000	-310	open	—	01-07 03:54
will trump say the state of the union is strong during the 2026 state of the union address 924	2	$275	381	0	+381	open	—	02-24 20:52
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	7	$247	947	618	+329	open	—	06-05 16:06
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$243	4,436	186	+4,250	open	—	05-22 14:27
Trump approval Up or Down this week?	3	$242	120	200	-80	open	—	05-23 11:34
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	3	$219	144	144	+0	open	—	05-25 23:08
Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	6	$208	310	205	+105	open	—	05-14 17:07
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	14	$206	217	217	+0	open	—	05-14 15:27
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	5	$202	367	367	+0	open	—	05-15 14:36
btc updown 5m 1777056300	2	$196	136	133	+3	open	—	04-24 18:49
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	3	$186	362	0	+362	open	—	06-04 03:02
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	9	$174	458	0	+458	open	—	01-15 14:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	4	$149	224	210	+14	open	—	04-24 20:14
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$137	228	228	+0	open	—	05-14 03:17
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	8	$135	942	692	+250	open	—	05-28 12:31
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$124	218	218	+0	open	—	05-14 01:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 21:03:57	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	300	95¢	$285	0x8f6161…
06-08 20:46:16	will trump say peanut this week 20260605142537497	Yes	BUY	66	30¢	$20	0x674a95…
06-08 20:45:00	will trump say sucker this week 20260605142537473	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xa59f15…
06-08 19:42:10	btc updown 4h 1780934400	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x75baa6…
06-08 19:33:07	btc updown 4h 1780934400	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x5c82cf…
06-08 19:32:28	btc updown 4h 1780934400	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x5f913e…
06-08 19:31:37	btc updown 4h 1780934400	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x85a7ee…
06-08 07:11:16	will trump say peanut this week 20260605142537497	Yes	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0xb67d09…
06-08 06:21:10	will trump say peanut this week 20260605142537497	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x80e6b1…
06-06 18:52:00	btc updown 4h 1780761600	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x8a5f15…
06-06 18:33:19	btc updown 4h 1780761600	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x76a437…
06-06 18:31:18	btc updown 4h 1780761600	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x93a799…
06-06 18:30:37	btc updown 4h 1780761600	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x7522f0…
06-06 18:30:21	btc updown 4h 1780761600	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x350d07…
06-06 18:22:48	btc updown 5m 1780770000	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xdc4ca1…
06-06 18:22:25	btc updown 5m 1780770000	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x39253a…
06-06 18:21:24	btc updown 5m 1780770000	Down	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0xfb47f6…
06-06 18:20:06	btc updown 5m 1780769700	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x89c7ae…
06-06 18:19:07	btc updown 5m 1780769700	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xa82c86…
06-06 18:11:52	btc updown 5m 1780769400	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xcf9f57…
06-06 18:11:39	btc updown 5m 1780769400	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x6cd605…
06-06 18:11:01	btc updown 5m 1780769400	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xb00604…
06-06 18:11:01	btc updown 5m 1780769400	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x17a88f…
06-06 18:06:31	btc updown 5m 1780769100	Up	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0x3f9dd0…
06-06 18:06:18	btc updown 5m 1780769100	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x6ed168…
06-06 18:06:03	btc updown 5m 1780769100	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xdfa3f7…
06-06 18:00:01	btc updown 5m 1780768500	Up	BUY	166	3¢	$5	0xb95fee…
06-06 17:59:54	btc updown 5m 1780768500	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x60b1e8…
06-06 17:58:58	btc updown 5m 1780768500	Up	SELL	79	62¢	$49	0x232d83…
06-06 17:57:15	btc updown 5m 1780768500	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x1e7d15…
06-06 17:56:31	btc updown 5m 1780768500	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xde0318…
06-05 21:07:43	will trump say border 7 times during wisconsin events 20260602174201995	No	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0x1a4fdc…
06-05 20:59:19	will trump say landslide during wisconsin events 20260602174202020	Yes	BUY	55	31¢	$17	0x5267a9…
06-05 16:06:57	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	400	16¢	$64	0x7225d0…
06-05 09:43:52	will trump say scam during wisconsin events 20260602174202000	No	BUY	150	35¢	$52	0xfda5b0…
06-05 03:35:58	will trump say fuel during wisconsin events 20260602174202008	Yes	BUY	120	58¢	$70	0xb9a2c0…
06-05 01:38:30	will trump say border 7 times during wisconsin events 20260602174201995	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x32e074…
06-04 03:12:04	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x867ee7…
06-04 03:11:42	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	400	13¢	$52	0x4d408b…
06-04 03:02:37	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	105	61¢	$64	0x67b8bf…
06-04 01:44:37	will trump say pig during wisconsin events 20260602174202003	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x18a204…
06-03 07:18:22	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	10¢	$1	0xb0aebd…
06-03 07:08:18	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	10¢	$5	0x18355e…
06-03 05:08:11	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	141	10¢	$14	0x92eec8…
06-02 22:42:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,000	1¢	$33	0x24683b…
06-02 22:12:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xb0de19…
06-02 22:01:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,500	1¢	$15	0xf48102…
06-01 16:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x183a26…
06-01 16:05:54	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	BUY	107	48¢	$52	0x269e05…
06-01 16:05:43	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	SELL	325	14¢	$45	0xfb95a6…
06-01 16:00:58	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	BUY	150	47¢	$70	0xea4d71…
06-01 11:52:05	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0x68b6a1…
06-01 07:16:10	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	92	19¢	$18	0x30ad49…
06-01 06:50:35	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	37	19¢	$7	0xb254f1…
06-01 06:37:42	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xdbe45c…
06-01 06:08:18	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	60	19¢	$11	0xef4840…
06-01 04:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x8ba18e…
06-01 04:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x8db837…
06-01 02:41:18	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	107	16¢	$17	0x80c927…
06-01 02:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x0e8c39…
06-01 01:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x8f4dff…
06-01 01:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x00fff4…
06-01 01:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xe9f7e3…
06-01 01:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x38eb07…
06-01 01:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x473b98…
06-01 01:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	41	42¢	$18	0x4aaf69…
06-01 01:41:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x89b98f…
06-01 01:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x90f7db…
06-01 01:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0xf93da0…
06-01 01:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	21	26¢	$5	0x622dd7…
06-01 01:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	16	60¢	$9	0xc8c330…
06-01 01:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	16	33¢	$5	0x432c20…
06-01 01:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	59	60¢	$36	0xa75adf…
06-01 01:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xbcdbe8…
06-01 01:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x7319cd…
06-01 01:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xee8aeb…
06-01 01:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x61b7e8…
06-01 01:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0xfcfe10…
06-01 01:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	48	92¢	$44	0x39484c…
06-01 01:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x3ab8d1…
06-01 01:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xf038df…
06-01 01:24:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	110	43¢	$48	0x07aec0…
06-01 01:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xe19d3d…
06-01 01:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x456f5f…
05-31 23:59:19	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	BUY	150	25¢	$38	0x3c28f7…
05-31 23:58:12	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	SELL	200	23¢	$45	0xd72023…
05-31 23:45:52	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	BUY	52	29¢	$15	0xb1ff15…
05-31 23:41:28	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	BUY	200	23¢	$46	0x3d9ebc…
05-31 23:41:00	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	335	15¢	$50	0x278ea8…
05-31 23:20:26	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	16¢	$14	0xb9e840…
05-31 23:20:17	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	16¢	$24	0xeb2b80…
05-31 23:08:23	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	BUY	2	29¢	$1	0x5563a2…
05-31 23:08:14	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	BUY	121	29¢	$35	0x001997…
05-30 22:10:07	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	282	16¢	$45	0xab79af…
05-30 22:07:56	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	SELL	331	3¢	$9	0x658dbd…
05-30 22:07:33	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	SELL	450	37¢	$166	0x4003c2…
05-30 13:31:39	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	BUY	250	42¢	$105	0xa0863d…
05-30 13:31:15	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	SELL	300	27¢	$81	0x2cd7fd…
05-30 04:21:03	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0x7dc18b…
05-29 16:48:47	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	BUY	132	19¢	$25	0x9d6d8d…