Nutty-Detainment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$611

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.7%

Resolved

Trades

989

lifetime

Volume

$18.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-29 01:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

79% 100% +$654

Crypto

11% — —

Other

9% 0% $-43

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 91 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	9	$1.2K	774	974	-200	open	—	01-15 14:04
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	8	$916	1,317	1,317	+0	open	—	05-28 20:37
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	16	$772	2,120	2,120	+0	open	—	04-19 18:56
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	6	$743	450	450	+0	open	—	01-15 14:03
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	8	$647	600	600	+0	open	—	05-25 23:06
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	4	$544	362	362	-0	open	—	06-14 21:46
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	4	$544	451	451	+0	open	—	05-25 23:07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$534	500	500	+0	Yes	+$466	05-09 12:19
will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	14	$524	1,490	416	+1,074	open	—	03-22 20:11
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	8	$501	775	775	+0	open	—	06-01 16:05
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	6	$489	388	388	+0	open	—	05-15 17:30
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	12	$444	304	304	+0	open	—	05-14 15:29
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	3	$412	474	474	+0	Yes	+$188	04-19 18:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	8	$395	1,100	1,900	-800	open	—	05-25 23:35
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	8	$349	947	1,490	-543	open	—	06-17 20:44
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	1	$285	0	300	-300	open	—	06-08 21:03
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	4	$280	690	1,000	-310	open	—	01-07 03:54
will trump say the state of the union is strong during the 2026 state of the union address 924	2	$275	381	0	+381	open	—	02-24 20:52
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$243	4,436	186	+4,250	open	—	05-22 14:27
Trump approval Up or Down this week?	3	$242	120	200	-80	open	—	05-23 11:34
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	2	$228	400	400	+0	open	—	06-17 20:44
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	3	$219	144	144	+0	open	—	05-25 23:08
Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	6	$208	310	205	+105	open	—	05-14 17:07
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	14	$206	217	217	+0	open	—	05-14 15:27
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	5	$202	367	367	+0	open	—	05-15 14:36
btc updown 5m 1777056300	2	$196	136	133	+3	open	—	04-24 18:49
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	9	$174	458	0	+458	open	—	01-15 14:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	4	$162	5,500	0	+5,500	open	—	06-17 11:49
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	1	$151	0	300	-300	open	—	06-11 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	4	$149	224	210	+14	open	—	04-24 20:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 01:30:25	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x3e87de…
06-23 21:10:10	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x7ba6d0…
06-23 21:04:14	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	231	5¢	$12	0xe6e60b…
06-23 11:06:32	Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x2a62ef…
06-23 09:38:53	will japan reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149730	Yes	SELL	143	11¢	$16	0xbaa80a…
06-22 01:11:26	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	BUY	167	18¢	$30	0x003469…
06-21 04:53:07	will japan reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149730	Yes	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0x0c2e2a…
06-17 20:44:22	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	872	12¢	$102	0x81f473…
06-17 20:44:17	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	400	34¢	$136	0xb549b6…
06-17 14:59:14	Will Uruguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	133	3¢	$5	0x55a8de…
06-17 11:49:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0xcd7a79…
06-17 00:55:20	Will Uruguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x47e2f3…
06-17 00:08:37	btc updown 5m 1781654700	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x1ef966…
06-17 00:08:19	btc updown 5m 1781654700	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x2ed312…
06-15 04:26:49	will benjamin netanyahu sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950076	Yes	BUY	29	10¢	$3	0x2a77a5…
06-15 00:18:46	will benjamin netanyahu sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950076	Yes	BUY	63	9¢	$6	0x5d9f3d…
06-15 00:18:45	will benjamin netanyahu sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950076	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xa68067…
06-15 00:14:18	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	400	23¢	$92	0x9e9a04…
06-14 23:36:01	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	9¢	$18	0xf9685e…
06-14 22:03:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x94a5d8…
06-14 21:53:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x1a3a23…
06-14 21:46:09	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 16	Yes	SELL	90	97¢	$87	0x3d4dc7…
06-14 21:46:00	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	362	99¢	$358	0xbdc19c…
06-12 00:35:54	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 16	Yes	BUY	90	34¢	$31	0x538ffb…
06-11 20:05:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	300	50¢	$151	0x727397…
06-11 19:30:39	will trump say ufc this week 20260605142537494	No	BUY	84	15¢	$13	0x2d38e5…
06-11 19:25:57	will trump say ufc this week 20260605142537494	No	BUY	16	15¢	$2	0x67b6d7…
06-11 05:03:54	will trump say warrior this week 20260605142537478	Yes	BUY	25	34¢	$9	0x2e7bda…
06-11 01:22:13	will trump say ufc this week 20260605142537494	No	BUY	71	20¢	$14	0x0b1402…
06-10 20:43:13	will warsh say crypto or bitcoin during june press conference 20260608181156658	Yes	BUY	120	20¢	$24	0x589d30…
06-08 21:03:57	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	300	95¢	$285	0x8f6161…
06-08 20:46:16	will trump say peanut this week 20260605142537497	Yes	BUY	66	30¢	$20	0x674a95…
06-08 20:45:00	will trump say sucker this week 20260605142537473	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xa59f15…
06-08 19:42:10	btc updown 4h 1780934400	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x75baa6…
06-08 19:33:07	btc updown 4h 1780934400	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x5c82cf…
06-08 19:32:28	btc updown 4h 1780934400	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x5f913e…
06-08 19:31:37	btc updown 4h 1780934400	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x85a7ee…
06-08 07:11:16	will trump say peanut this week 20260605142537497	Yes	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0xb67d09…
06-08 06:21:10	will trump say peanut this week 20260605142537497	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x80e6b1…
06-06 18:52:00	btc updown 4h 1780761600	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x8a5f15…
06-06 18:33:19	btc updown 4h 1780761600	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x76a437…
06-06 18:31:18	btc updown 4h 1780761600	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x93a799…
06-06 18:30:37	btc updown 4h 1780761600	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x7522f0…
06-06 18:30:21	btc updown 4h 1780761600	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x350d07…
06-06 18:22:48	btc updown 5m 1780770000	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xdc4ca1…
06-06 18:22:25	btc updown 5m 1780770000	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x39253a…
06-06 18:21:24	btc updown 5m 1780770000	Down	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0xfb47f6…
06-06 18:20:06	btc updown 5m 1780769700	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x89c7ae…
06-06 18:19:07	btc updown 5m 1780769700	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xa82c86…
06-06 18:11:52	btc updown 5m 1780769400	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xcf9f57…
06-06 18:11:39	btc updown 5m 1780769400	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x6cd605…
06-06 18:11:01	btc updown 5m 1780769400	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xb00604…
06-06 18:11:01	btc updown 5m 1780769400	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x17a88f…
06-06 18:06:31	btc updown 5m 1780769100	Up	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0x3f9dd0…
06-06 18:06:18	btc updown 5m 1780769100	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x6ed168…
06-06 18:06:03	btc updown 5m 1780769100	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xdfa3f7…
06-06 18:00:01	btc updown 5m 1780768500	Up	BUY	166	3¢	$5	0xb95fee…
06-06 17:59:54	btc updown 5m 1780768500	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x60b1e8…
06-06 17:58:58	btc updown 5m 1780768500	Up	SELL	79	62¢	$49	0x232d83…
06-06 17:57:15	btc updown 5m 1780768500	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x1e7d15…
06-06 17:56:31	btc updown 5m 1780768500	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xde0318…
06-05 21:07:43	will trump say border 7 times during wisconsin events 20260602174201995	No	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0x1a4fdc…
06-05 20:59:19	will trump say landslide during wisconsin events 20260602174202020	Yes	BUY	55	31¢	$17	0x5267a9…
06-05 16:06:57	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	400	16¢	$64	0x7225d0…
06-05 09:43:52	will trump say scam during wisconsin events 20260602174202000	No	BUY	150	35¢	$52	0xfda5b0…
06-05 03:35:58	will trump say fuel during wisconsin events 20260602174202008	Yes	BUY	120	58¢	$70	0xb9a2c0…
06-05 01:38:30	will trump say border 7 times during wisconsin events 20260602174201995	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x32e074…
06-04 03:12:04	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x867ee7…
06-04 03:11:42	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	400	13¢	$52	0x4d408b…
06-04 03:02:37	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	105	61¢	$64	0x67b8bf…
06-04 01:44:37	will trump say pig during wisconsin events 20260602174202003	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x18a204…
06-03 07:18:22	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	10¢	$1	0xb0aebd…
06-03 07:08:18	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	10¢	$5	0x18355e…
06-03 05:08:11	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	141	10¢	$14	0x92eec8…
06-02 22:42:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,000	1¢	$33	0x24683b…
06-02 22:12:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xb0de19…
06-02 22:01:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,500	1¢	$15	0xf48102…
06-01 16:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x183a26…
06-01 16:05:54	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	BUY	107	48¢	$52	0x269e05…
06-01 16:05:43	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	SELL	325	14¢	$45	0xfb95a6…
06-01 16:00:58	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	BUY	150	47¢	$70	0xea4d71…
06-01 11:52:05	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0x68b6a1…
06-01 07:16:10	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	92	19¢	$18	0x30ad49…
06-01 06:50:35	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	37	19¢	$7	0xb254f1…
06-01 06:37:42	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xdbe45c…
06-01 06:08:18	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	60	19¢	$11	0xef4840…
06-01 04:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x8ba18e…
06-01 04:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x8db837…
06-01 02:41:18	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	107	16¢	$17	0x80c927…
06-01 02:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x0e8c39…
06-01 01:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x8f4dff…
06-01 01:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x00fff4…
06-01 01:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xe9f7e3…
06-01 01:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x38eb07…
06-01 01:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x473b98…
06-01 01:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	41	42¢	$18	0x4aaf69…
06-01 01:41:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x89b98f…
06-01 01:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x90f7db…
06-01 01:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0xf93da0…
06-01 01:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	21	26¢	$5	0x622dd7…