Belated-Clothes 0x7bb244…7d682c
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
-$26.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$44.8K
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved (7d)
2
Trades (7d)
5
1,852 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$6.98K
$821.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$444
Open exposure
$151.1K
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-29 02:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 62 days
Categories
Other
64% 70% +$33,054
Politics
36% 56% -$22,557
Sports
1% 0% -$4,091
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +30,042 $18,749 94¢ $28.1K +$9,341 08-04 04:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +16,398 $14,269 100¢ $16.4K +$2,105 09-22 09:12
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +20,000 $15,400 82¢ $16.3K +$900 07-29 21:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +17,569 -$8,717 88¢ $15.5K +$24,266 08-17 18:44
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +11,244 $8,464 97¢ $10.9K +$2,420 07-13 17:46
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +10,710 $6,897 97¢ $10.4K +$3,470 07-29 04:36
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +12,321 $7,793 69¢ $8.5K +$709 10-21 18:45
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +22,477 $4,111 38¢ $8.4K +$4,318 09-27 22:17
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +10,000 $6,000 68¢ $6.9K +$850 09-27 15:20
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +10,000 $5,000 68¢ $6.8K +$1,750 09-06 21:41
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +12,000 $8,200 54¢ $6.4K -$1,780 10-29 02:06
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +5,000 $4,150 99¢ $5.0K +$802 10-22 23:02
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +16,722 $6,772 25¢ $4.3K -$2,517 10-29 02:05
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +2,248 $1,733 98¢ $2.2K +$459 06-02 07:44
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +3,000 $408 38¢ $1.1K +$726 09-27 22:35
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +1,000 $720 82¢ $815 +$95 07-30 01:34
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +1,000 $532 81¢ $813 +$281 09-21 13:02
No one announced as next James Bond? No +1,000 $741 79¢ $790 +$49 09-27 15:52
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,760 $752 16¢ $583 -$169 10-12 07:30
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +500 $424 94¢ $469 +$46 07-29 23:40
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +10,000 $250 4¢ $355 +$105 06-16 08:45
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? Yes +1,120 $605 10¢ $112 -$493 07-29 21:40
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +5,000 $3,650 1¢ $50 -$3,600 10-21 11:54
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? Yes +10,000 $800 0¢ $40 -$760 09-24 00:59
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,292 $28 3¢ $33 +$5 09-06 07:26
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -7,000 -$1,400 0¢ $-10 +$1,390 06-02 07:43