Belated-Clothes 0x7bb244…7d682c
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$3.61K
Unrealized P&L
+$53.6K
Hit rate
72.9%
Resolved
100
Trades
1,852
lifetime
Volume
$821.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$444
Open exposure
$152.2K
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-29 02:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 64 days
Categories
Other
64% 70% +$33,054
Politics
36% 55% -$25,357
Sports
1% 0% -$4,091
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +30,042 $18,749 96¢ $28.7K +$9,941 08-04 04:01
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +20,000 $15,400 82¢ $16.5K +$1,100 07-29 21:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +16,398 $14,269 100¢ $16.4K +$2,113 09-22 09:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +17,569 -$8,717 88¢ $15.5K +$24,266 08-17 18:44
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +11,244 $8,464 97¢ $10.9K +$2,465 07-13 17:46
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +10,710 $6,897 97¢ $10.4K +$3,476 07-29 04:36
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +12,321 $7,793 74¢ $9.1K +$1,263 10-21 18:45
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +22,477 $4,111 36¢ $8.2K +$4,093 09-27 22:17
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +12,000 $8,200 66¢ $7.9K -$340 10-29 02:06
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +10,000 $6,000 74¢ $7.3K +$1,350 09-27 15:20
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +10,000 $5,000 72¢ $7.2K +$2,150 09-06 21:41
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +16,722 $6,772 41¢ $6.8K +$67 10-29 02:05
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +2,248 $1,733 98¢ $2.2K +$476 06-02 07:44
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +3,000 $408 37¢ $1.1K +$702 09-27 22:35
No one announced as next James Bond? No +1,000 $741 85¢ $854 +$114 09-27 15:52
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +1,000 $532 84¢ $840 +$308 09-21 13:02
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +1,000 $720 82¢ $815 +$95 07-30 01:34
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,760 $752 12¢ $470 -$282 10-12 07:30
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +500 $424 91¢ $457 +$34 07-29 23:40
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +10,000 $250 4¢ $355 +$105 06-16 08:45
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? Yes +1,120 $605 8¢ $90 -$515 07-29 21:40
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,292 $28 3¢ $34 +$6 09-06 07:26
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? Yes +10,000 $800 0¢ $30 -$770 09-24 00:59
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -7,000 -$1,400 0¢ $-10 +$1,390 06-02 07:43