Belated-Clothes 0x7bb244…7d682c
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
+$7.26K
Unrealized P&L
+$51.4K
Hit rate
71.1%
Resolved (90d)
20
Trades (90d)
414
1,852 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$205.1K
$821.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$444
Open exposure
$154.1K
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-29 02:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 63 days
Categories
Other
64% 70% +$33,054
Politics
36% 54% -$26,207
Sports
1% 0% -$4,091
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +30,042 $18,749 94¢ $28.4K +$9,641 08-04 04:01
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +20,000 $15,400 84¢ $16.7K +$1,300 07-29 21:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +16,398 $14,269 100¢ $16.4K +$2,113 09-22 09:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +17,569 -$8,717 88¢ $15.5K +$24,266 08-17 18:44
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +11,244 $8,464 97¢ $10.9K +$2,443 07-13 17:46
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +10,710 $6,897 97¢ $10.4K +$3,476 07-29 04:36
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +12,321 $7,793 70¢ $8.7K +$894 10-21 18:45
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +12,000 $8,200 62¢ $7.5K -$700 10-29 02:06
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +22,477 $4,111 32¢ $7.3K +$3,194 09-27 22:17
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +10,000 $5,000 72¢ $7.2K +$2,150 09-06 21:41
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +10,000 $6,000 70¢ $7.0K +$1,050 09-27 15:20
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +16,722 $6,772 35¢ $5.9K -$861 10-29 02:05
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +5,000 $4,150 100¢ $5.0K +$842 10-22 23:02
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +2,248 $1,733 98¢ $2.2K +$475 06-02 07:44
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +3,000 $408 33¢ $976 +$568 09-27 22:35
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +1,000 $532 84¢ $841 +$309 09-21 13:02
No one announced as next James Bond? No +1,000 $741 83¢ $828 +$88 09-27 15:52
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +1,000 $720 82¢ $815 +$95 07-30 01:34
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,760 $752 16¢ $583 -$169 10-12 07:30
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +500 $424 92¢ $458 +$34 07-29 23:40
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +10,000 $250 4¢ $355 +$105 06-16 08:45
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? Yes +1,120 $605 8¢ $95 -$510 07-29 21:40
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,292 $28 2¢ $32 +$3 09-06 07:26
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? Yes +10,000 $800 0¢ $30 -$770 09-24 00:59
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -7,000 -$1,400 0¢ $-10 +$1,390 06-02 07:43