Realized P&L
-$2.10K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.92K
Hit rate
66.3%
Resolved
15,876
Trades
93,928
lifetime
Volume
$225.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$6.79K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-13
last 10-23 17:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 262 days
Categories
Other
84% 84% -$1,384
Politics
9% 90% -$342
Sports
5% 69% -$89
Tech
2% 74% -$285
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Crypto
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 798 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -1,299 -$968 96¢ $-1247 -$279 08-19 22:25
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes -899 -$146 80¢ $-724 -$578 08-07 01:53
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals? Yes -750 -$63 71¢ $-532 -$469 08-12 05:42
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes -450 -$231 72¢ $-322 -$91 08-06 19:19
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? Yes -348 -$269 87¢ $-303 -$34 09-19 08:26
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes -349 -$220 78¢ $-274 -$54 10-09 12:56
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -700 -$254 38¢ $-270 -$16 06-09 13:49
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes -300 -$48 88¢ $-264 -$216 08-29 04:09
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals? Yes -747 -$94 29¢ $-217 -$122 09-30 23:56
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes -450 -$224 46¢ $-209 +$15 08-18 03:13
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes -200 -$105 100¢ $-199 -$94 07-17 20:07
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes -200 -$89 99¢ $-198 -$109 08-07 20:56
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes -339 -$221 56¢ $-192 +$30 07-12 23:17
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? Yes -220 -$35 71¢ $-157 -$122 08-27 09:43
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes -159 -$70 98¢ $-156 -$87 07-21 10:01
Will Trump and Putin not meet? Yes -899 -$607 16¢ $-148 +$459 08-07 22:29
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes -448 -$177 30¢ $-132 +$45 08-13 23:02
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -700 -$166 18¢ $-126 +$40 06-09 14:01
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes -339 -$47 34¢ $-117 -$70 07-12 23:22
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? Yes -149 -$76 70¢ $-104 -$28 08-13 17:58
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes -119 -$95 85¢ $-101 -$6 09-29 21:40
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -200 -$73 50¢ $-100 -$26 06-25 12:54
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes -450 -$184 22¢ $-97 +$87 10-09 23:51
Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? Yes -100 -$62 96¢ $-96 -$34 08-02 01:44
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes -99 -$64 96¢ $-95 -$31 07-15 17:13
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes -150 -$96 63¢ $-94 +$1 07-28 16:07
Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? Yes -100 -$86 88¢ $-87 -$1 08-10 12:51
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award? Yes -80 -$13 99¢ $-79 -$66 07-29 07:14
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -180 -$11 43¢ $-77 -$66 06-11 07:12
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -399 -$79 18¢ $-73 +$6 05-24 16:09