Realized P&L (7d)
+$2
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
66.7%
Resolved (7d)
3
Trades (7d)
9
2,616 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$9
$10.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$6
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 11-12 10:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 139 days
Categories
Crypto
96% 63% -$341
Other
2% 30% -$15
Tech
1% 50% -$1
Sports
0% 6% -$15
Politics
0% 25% -$12
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic -2 -$2 99¢ $-2 $0 07-04 13:39
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +32 $1 3¢ $1 +$0 11-12 02:22
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +4 $1 28¢ $1 +$0 11-12 10:23
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 13? Yes +4 $1 27¢ $1 +$0 11-12 10:28
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +5 $1 20¢ $1 $0 11-12 10:26
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes +12 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 07-29 18:42
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +5 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 09-15 06:09
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 13, 2026? No +5 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 11-12 02:23
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026? No +4 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 11-12 02:23