Cloudy-Essence — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

—

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

—

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

80 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$1.53K lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

$20

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 10-25 18:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Politics

76% 70% +$53

Other

23% 80% +$15

Tech

1% 50% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes		+13	$10	82¢	$11	+$1	10-25 18:41
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes		+14	$10	66¢	$9	-$1	10-25 18:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump visit china by march 31	2	$369	186	186	+0	No	+$3	03-31 21:09
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	2	$282	183	183	+0	Yes	+$84	03-01 00:02
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	4	$61	45	45	+0	Yes	+$1	08-14 09:28
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$59	69	69	+0	No	+$3	05-14 20:24
Kash Patel out by June 30?	1	$40	43	0	+43	No	+$3	06-11 08:26
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$39	37	24	+13	No	-$1	10-25 18:34
will the grand theft auto vi ps5 launch price be at least 70 20260618224014045	2	$25	15	15	+0	open	—	06-26 11:22
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?	2	$23	14	14	+0	Yes	+$4	08-12 12:34
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?	2	$23	13	13	+0	Yes	+$3	08-12 12:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$22	12	12	+0	No	+$2	06-01 23:24
Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in June 2026?	2	$22	13	13	+0	No	+$2	06-26 11:23
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	2	$22	13	13	+0	open	—	08-17 07:32
Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$22	12	12	+0	Yes	+$2	05-16 23:31
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	2	$22	12	12	+0	Yes	+$2	06-01 23:25
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$21	12	12	+0	Yes	+$1	05-04 10:21
Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 10 minutes long?	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	08-27 19:50
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	2	$20	11	11	+0	No	+$0	06-16 06:16
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-17 09:55
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	1	$20	44	0	+44	Yes	+$24	06-22 09:05
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	1	$20	21	0	+21	No	+$1	06-02 17:25
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	2	$20	11	11	+0	No	+$0	06-11 08:15
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	2	$19	12	12	+0	Yes	-$1	06-03 06:50
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$19	36	36	+0	No	-$1	05-04 10:31
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	2	$12	106	106	+0	No	-$8	04-20 21:19
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	2	$10	18	18	+0	No	-$10	05-28 06:30
Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in May?	2	$10	12	12	+0	No	-$10	06-03 09:11
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	10-25 18:41
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	1	$10	15	0	+15	Yes	+$5	05-16 23:40
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	1	$10	20	0	+20	No	-$10	06-23 07:22
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	1	$10	14	0	+14	No	-$10	10-25 18:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 18:41:42	Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xe5273f…
10-25 18:40:51	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x3b615d…
10-25 18:39:35	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0xc6b353…
10-25 18:37:48	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x291826…
10-25 18:37:24	Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x355ae3…
10-25 18:35:32	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x52ed98…
10-25 18:34:21	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xc80785…
10-04 20:50:56	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	24	80¢	$19	0x6419b9…
08-27 19:50:27	Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 10 minutes long?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x8210ad…
08-17 09:55:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x2c4dee…
08-17 07:32:52	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	13	91¢	$12	0xfb299d…
08-14 09:59:24	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by september 15	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x6dffc6…
08-14 09:57:54	Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x428a72…
08-14 09:53:55	Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x920c9b…
08-14 09:31:34	Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x40534d…
08-14 09:28:49	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	45	69¢	$31	0x9548aa…
08-12 12:34:00	Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$13	0x364280…
08-12 12:33:48	Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x10b22d…
08-11 09:57:06	will the gta 6 extended look be at least 10 minutes long 20260807064756492	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xc61c8f…
08-11 09:56:03	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x1f8d1e…
08-11 09:55:37	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xda404f…
08-11 09:54:21	Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x1d2dbb…
08-11 09:51:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xf06d44…
08-11 09:50:31	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xee5aec…
08-11 09:49:30	Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x1c29aa…
08-11 09:45:33	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x33e223…
08-05 11:45:14	will iran target ukraine by august 31 2026 20260727234956917	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x28bfd0…
08-05 11:45:02	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x94f1c3…
06-26 11:23:07	Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in June 2026?	No	SELL	13	98¢	$12	0x0fdbdd…
06-26 11:22:26	will the grand theft auto vi ps5 launch price be at least 70 20260618224014045	Yes	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x469360…
06-23 07:31:58	will the grand theft auto vi ps5 launch price be at least 70 20260618224014045	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x4e361d…
06-23 07:28:07	will spacex have 14 launches in june 2026	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x617021…
06-23 07:22:19	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xf74c7a…
06-22 09:05:40	Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0xc32971…
06-16 06:16:28	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$10	0xdf645d…
06-11 08:26:48	Kash Patel out by June 30?	No	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0x44c3a0…
06-11 08:15:40	Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	No	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x19bb6d…
06-06 00:31:28	another gta vi trailer released by june 15	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x307c37…
06-06 00:27:51	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x7fc423…
06-03 09:11:26	Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in May?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x8250a4…
06-03 09:06:10	Will Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x4b5946…
06-03 09:05:45	Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xb4308f…
06-03 09:05:01	Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xa00851…
06-03 09:03:11	Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in June 2026?	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x2d295f…
06-03 09:02:40	Will Trump visit Pakistan by June 30?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x8883d0…
06-03 09:01:54	Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x394e86…
06-03 09:01:35	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xcb1a2b…
06-03 09:01:19	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by June 30?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x04cb54…
06-03 06:50:22	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	12	76¢	$9	0xcbf171…
06-02 17:25:20	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x6fcc4a…
06-02 17:25:02	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xc4f0f5…
06-02 17:24:41	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x0212a6…
06-02 17:05:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xf4b9bc…
06-01 23:25:17	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	Yes	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x9a401c…
06-01 23:24:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x2c5406…
05-28 06:30:31	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0x5030c4…
05-21 07:52:08	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xee16b6…
05-21 07:44:39	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xc3b66f…
05-16 23:40:12	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x1b7c15…
05-16 23:37:02	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x584269…
05-16 23:35:13	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xad7342…
05-16 23:32:01	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x0d18f7…
05-16 23:31:10	Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x77fd5e…
05-14 20:24:24	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	69	45¢	$31	0x23d66e…
05-12 12:50:03	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	40¢	$28	0xec9119…
05-11 20:18:02	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xd52280…
05-11 20:16:25	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x751b5d…
05-04 10:31:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	36	24¢	$9	0x0d4605…
05-04 10:27:22	Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xe9b638…
05-04 10:21:46	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0xb9cd97…
05-04 10:20:46	Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in May?	Yes	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x3cd79a…
05-04 10:19:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x477733…
05-04 10:13:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xba45c6…
04-20 21:19:18	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	106	2¢	$2	0x7447b3…
04-20 08:31:04	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x9f7064…
04-20 07:51:44	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	106	9¢	$10	0x5c6b38…
03-31 21:09:09	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	186	100¢	$186	0x116092…
03-23 10:58:01	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	186	98¢	$183	0xc7ebaa…
03-01 00:02:21	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	183	100¢	$183	0x62db41…
01-14 09:20:06	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	183	54¢	$99	0xda21d7…