Ethical-Archaeologist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

5.9%

Resolved

Trades

244

lifetime

Volume

$15.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$63

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 09-05 09:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Other

32% 15% -$2

Sports

31% 25% +$1

Politics

29% 22% -$1

Crypto

7% 56% $0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	6	$574	287	287	+0	No	$0	04-08 05:08
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$520	261	261	+0	No	$0	05-24 10:38
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	6	$430	217	217	+0	open	—	05-10 18:48
will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	4	$390	195	195	+0	No	$0	03-28 08:28
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$382	191	191	+0	No	$0	04-04 00:31
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$364	183	183	+0	No	$0	04-06 09:17
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	4	$356	178	178	+0	No	$0	04-24 17:03
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	4	$348	174	174	+0	No	$0	05-06 08:04
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$348	175	175	+0	No	$0	03-31 08:22
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	4	$282	141	141	+0	No	$0	05-04 12:52
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$218	109	109	+0	No	$0	03-04 15:23
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series?	2	$214	107	107	+0	No	$0	05-02 19:20
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$212	107	107	+0	open	—	04-30 07:23
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	2	$210	105	105	+0	No	$0	02-28 08:58
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	2	$206	103	103	+0	No	$0	04-13 21:47
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$206	104	104	+0	open	—	05-30 13:10
will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	2	$204	102	102	+0	No	$0	03-16 10:31
will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-18 13:44
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?	4	$200	101	101	+0	open	—	07-02 18:23
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$198	99	99	-0	No	$0	05-21 02:11
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	2	$198	99	99	+0	No	$0	03-24 01:15
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$196	100	100	+0	open	—	05-20 13:30
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$196	98	98	+0	No	$0	04-10 09:10
will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$194	97	97	+0	No	$0	02-27 23:43
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$194	98	98	+0	open	—	05-26 15:21
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$192	97	97	+0	open	—	05-02 10:49
will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	2	$188	94	94	+0	No	$0	03-14 01:48
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$188	94	94	+0	No	$0	05-23 15:17
Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	2	$188	94	94	+0	No	$0	05-16 17:19
Will Elche win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$184	92	92	+0	No	$0	02-26 06:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-05 09:42:40	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xbf2bc8…
07-17 11:27:37	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x0b959b…
07-16 16:32:53	Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x601719…
07-16 08:09:08	Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd7f8ef…
07-16 08:08:34	Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x6bb06b…
07-15 19:06:32	Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x46d98c…
07-15 16:11:49	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x84d1ae…
07-15 08:17:38	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x27055b…
07-15 08:17:11	Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xa49825…
07-15 05:09:10	Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x346dd1…
07-14 22:41:19	Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x80f784…
07-14 19:19:13	Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd8bd58…
07-14 11:28:58	Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x791e4d…
07-13 03:47:14	Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x98c45e…
07-13 03:46:44	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xa1a3ea…
07-11 08:45:31	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x2e8079…
07-10 18:48:07	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x961bf3…
07-10 17:12:52	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x9534fd…
07-10 09:29:23	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xc498c4…
07-10 04:01:38	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x767d5c…
07-10 04:01:13	Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x286e1c…
07-09 19:19:10	Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xab2ded…
07-09 19:18:43	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x0e642b…
07-08 20:16:17	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x5532e0…
07-08 20:15:53	Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x4c0b94…
07-06 10:21:35	Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x036c45…
07-06 10:21:13	Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xc22ba7…
07-06 03:19:35	Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd65526…
07-05 14:47:47	Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x4e2654…
07-04 15:37:07	Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xfd2630…
07-04 13:48:43	Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xa6faeb…
07-04 03:29:34	Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xbb8c2c…
07-03 22:43:58	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x1dab89…
07-03 12:42:07	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x40f793…
07-03 11:15:10	Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x68a581…
07-03 01:45:01	Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x73d6f4…
07-02 18:23:41	Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x6ee705…
07-02 12:01:19	Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x6c9c1b…
07-02 02:19:20	Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xc5915d…
07-01 12:14:23	Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x3a19d9…
06-27 14:35:34	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x06d4fa…
06-27 09:14:43	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x732f95…
06-24 16:12:56	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x60c8e2…
06-23 12:36:38	Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x407dad…
06-22 21:13:07	Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8ca244…
06-22 21:12:44	Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xc4f688…
06-21 11:01:28	Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x159460…
06-21 05:47:01	Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xd83329…
06-21 00:22:26	Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xdde8a2…
06-20 17:13:47	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x52fb98…
06-14 21:26:52	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x60e63e…
05-31 19:56:25	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x5ba91b…
05-31 01:20:35	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x7502b0…
05-31 01:20:14	Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x9e84c2…
05-30 20:08:12	Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x00982a…
05-30 13:10:45	Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	104	99¢	$103	0xa4df9f…
05-27 02:52:16	Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	104	99¢	$103	0x482b4d…
05-26 15:21:15	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	98	99¢	$97	0x62efc3…
05-25 04:53:18	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	98	99¢	$97	0xaf2a59…
05-24 16:48:15	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	88	99¢	$87	0xc244a8…
05-24 10:38:54	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	88	99¢	$87	0x68a87d…
05-24 10:38:33	Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0x15462c…
05-24 07:26:12	Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xb6d28b…
05-24 07:25:53	Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	91	99¢	$90	0x5d2857…
05-24 04:14:38	Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0x6f27fa…
05-23 20:55:20	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	93	99¢	$92	0x6c66b9…
05-23 15:17:22	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	93	99¢	$92	0xab7f17…
05-23 15:17:03	Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	94	100¢	$94	0x4dc5e4…
05-22 22:14:35	Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x0537bd…
05-22 22:14:18	Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0xc16435…
05-22 05:54:46	Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xb7a2dd…
05-21 16:15:09	Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	85	99¢	$85	0x1764a0…
05-21 07:15:41	Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	85	99¢	$85	0x57ea2d…
05-21 02:11:32	Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	99	100¢	$99	0x7e725f…
05-20 21:28:32	Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x51a8e6…
05-20 13:30:40	Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x2c0b42…
05-19 02:44:31	Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x418a75…
05-18 01:27:32	Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	89	100¢	$89	0xae1a3a…
05-17 12:51:02	Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x894132…
05-16 17:19:49	Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	94	100¢	$94	0x75071b…
05-16 07:35:00	Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x1af1d6…
05-15 22:35:25	Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	86	99¢	$86	0xedbf2b…
05-15 20:26:44	Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x4c202b…
05-15 20:26:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0x0654ca…
05-14 22:13:15	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xc1f2f2…
05-14 22:12:58	Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	86	99¢	$86	0x5abb53…
05-13 23:51:35	Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x603c9c…
05-13 22:29:31	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	87	99¢	$86	0xf8d429…
05-13 16:20:05	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	87	99¢	$86	0x6f9881…
05-12 15:01:21	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x169217…
05-10 23:53:19	Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0x01a646…
05-10 18:48:49	Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x27a1e7…
05-10 18:48:28	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	73	99¢	$72	0x8710b0…
05-10 14:09:19	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0xa23775…
05-10 14:08:58	Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	87	100¢	$87	0xa9bc2c…
05-10 00:13:59	Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x5eadcd…
05-10 00:13:40	Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	84	100¢	$84	0xadca02…
05-07 03:27:52	Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x99399d…
05-07 03:27:35	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	79	99¢	$78	0xe9b96d…
05-06 20:05:55	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	79	99¢	$78	0x32f643…