(anonymous) 0x7dce74…74981e
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$460
Unrealized P&L
-$48
Hit rate
68.8%
Resolved
361
Trades
1,211
lifetime
Volume
$14.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$441
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 10-10 23:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 40 days
Categories
Crypto
92% 53% +$486
Other
4% 61% +$4
Politics
3% 69% -$45
Tech
2% 100% +$12
Sports
0% 100% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 285 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? Yes +850 $167 10¢ $81 -$86 09-20 10:12
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +80 $50 72¢ $57 +$8 09-23 13:48
Record crypto liquidation in 2026? No +32 $30 95¢ $30 +$0 09-09 02:53
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +31 $30 96¢ $30 +$0 09-09 02:51
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +30 $26 99¢ $30 +$4 09-20 10:21
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes +100 $14 28¢ $28 +$14 09-22 23:42
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +21 $20 98¢ $20 +$0 09-09 02:51
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? No — +16 $10 93¢ $15 +$5 09-09 02:56
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No +15 $15 95¢ $15 $0 09-09 02:54
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +20 $7 64¢ $13 +$6 09-20 10:08
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No +12 $10 95¢ $11 +$1 09-09 02:56
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? No +11 $10 94¢ $11 +$1 09-09 02:57
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +13 $10 80¢ $11 +$1 09-09 02:48
Anduril IPO before 2027? No +11 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 09-09 02:55
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? No +12 $10 86¢ $10 +$0 09-09 02:56
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? No +10 $10 96¢ $10 +$0 09-09 02:52
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 $0 09-09 02:53
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? No +11 $10 92¢ $10 $0 09-09 02:57
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +10 $8 96¢ $10 +$1 09-20 10:08
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +10 $7 78¢ $8 +$1 10-03 07:09
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +6 $5 97¢ $6 +$1 09-14 00:45
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 09-08 07:25
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +10 $7 48¢ $5 -$2 09-20 10:08
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? Yes +7 $5 56¢ $4 -$1 09-08 07:28
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +12 $3 20¢ $2 -$1 09-09 02:48