Realized P&L
+$8
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
67.6%
Resolved
8
Trades
1,337
lifetime
Volume
$11.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$69
6 positions
First seen
2026-02-11
last 06-18 07:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
64% 33% $-9
Other
19% 50% $-12
Crypto
16%
Sports
1% 67% +$30
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -46 $-16 70¢ $-32 $-16 05-29 15:02
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? Yes -119 $-25 22¢ $-26 $-1 06-01 16:01
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes -50 $-39 20¢ $-10 +$29 06-01 09:59
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +95 $15 $0 $-15 06-17 14:53
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? Yes -159 $-3 $-0 +$3 06-05 14:22
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes +129 $5 $0 $-5 06-12 09:27