Realized P&L (7d)
-$17
Unrealized P&L
+$28
Hit rate
16.7%
Resolved (7d)
3
Trades (7d)
8
1,376 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$61
$12.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$53
11 positions
First seen
2026-02-11
last 11-07 09:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 106 days
Categories
Politics
65% 39% +$49
Other
19% 30% -$341
Crypto
15% 46% -$31
Sports
1% 50% +$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +25 $10 63¢ $16 +$6 11-02 12:37
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +15 $5 42¢ $6 +$1 11-02 12:19
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed? No +19 $10 31¢ $6 -$4 11-02 12:12
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? Yes +15 $5 28¢ $4 -$1 11-07 09:31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +33 $10 12¢ $4 -$6 05-03 21:33
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? Yes -119 -$25 3¢ $-4 +$21 06-01 16:01
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +53 $10 6¢ $3 -$7 10-30 09:05
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes -50 -$39 6¢ $-3 +$36 06-01 09:59
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +37 $15 8¢ $3 -$12 10-29 20:52
Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026? Yes +22 $5 13¢ $3 -$2 11-07 09:31
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? No +19 $5 0¢ $0 -$5 10-29 20:53