Realized P&L
-$20
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
61.6%
Resolved
1,174
Trades
1,681
lifetime
Volume
$4.87K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$132
28 positions
First seen
2026-05-09
last 11-03 18:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 162 days
Categories
Other
53% 53% -$29
Sports
39% 53% +$18
Politics
5% 73% +$3
Crypto
3% 50% -$12
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +30 $23 76¢ $23 +$0 11-03 01:52
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? Yes +20 $15 81¢ $16 +$1 09-23 11:59
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +25 $14 47¢ $12 -$3 10-27 21:17
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +14 $10 72¢ $10 $0 09-23 18:01
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +20 $6 44¢ $9 +$3 11-01 06:45
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? Yes +10 $6 55¢ $5 $0 11-03 14:22
Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? No +10 $5 52¢ $5 $0 10-20 16:32
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +10 $5 50¢ $5 $0 11-03 12:08
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +5 $4 98¢ $5 +$1 09-07 02:15
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +5 $4 96¢ $5 +$1 09-24 10:01
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes +5 $4 91¢ $5 +$1 09-04 07:30
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +10 $5 40¢ $4 -$1 10-20 03:06
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +5 $3 72¢ $4 +$0 09-22 11:54
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +5 $7 72¢ $4 -$3 09-08 00:36
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +5 $2 64¢ $3 +$1 10-21 23:56
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +5 $3 55¢ $3 +$0 11-03 13:36
Will the Republican Party win the MO-02 House seat? No +5 $2 44¢ $2 +$0 11-03 16:40
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +5 $2 36¢ $2 $0 11-03 07:38
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat? Yes +5 $2 36¢ $2 $0 11-03 04:43
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +10 $2 18¢ $2 +$0 06-14 00:41
Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-03? Yes +5 $2 32¢ $2 $0 11-03 04:28
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +5 $1 30¢ $2 +$1 10-15 14:50
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +5 $2 30¢ $1 $0 09-20 06:10
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? No +10 $1 11¢ $1 $0 11-03 12:06
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +10 $4 9¢ $1 -$3 06-01 17:08
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +5 $1 12¢ $1 $0 10-28 15:15
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Yes +15 $2 4¢ $1 -$1 09-07 17:00
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 10-19 22:33