Realized P&L
+$12
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
69.6%
Resolved
35
Trades
477
lifetime
Volume
$1.64K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$17
8 positions
First seen
2026-05-09
last 07-02 19:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Sports
57% 47% +$4
Other
32% 100% +$4
Crypto
8% 58% +$4
Politics
3%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -10 $-8 94¢ $-9 $-1 05-28 22:08
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -3 $-2 86¢ $-2 $-0 05-30 11:16
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +5 $2 40¢ $2 $-0 06-23 19:58
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +10 $4 18¢ $2 $-2 06-01 17:08
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +10 $2 14¢ $1 $-0 06-14 00:41
Will Angela Rayner be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? Yes +50 $2 $0 $-2 06-24 05:28
Will Al Carns be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? Yes +10 $1 $0 $-1 06-23 10:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -3 $1 $-0 $-1 06-27 10:28