Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$351

Unrealized P&L

+$22

Hit rate

70.9%

Resolved

620

Trades

8,856

lifetime

Volume

$29.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$122

11 positions

First seen

2026-08-24

last 10-28 00:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 60 days

Categories

Other

80% 62% +$280

Crypto

9% 56% -$26

Tech

5% 66% +$27

Politics

4% 58% +$23

Sports

2% 52% +$43

Pop-Culture

1% 50% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 420 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	+81	$64	96¢	$77	+$13	10-28 00:00
Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026?	No	+25	$19	70¢	$18	-$2	10-19 18:31
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	+17	$10	64¢	$11	+$1	10-26 17:47
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+8	$5	96¢	$8	+$3	10-26 04:25
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	+89	$16	4¢	$4	-$12	10-28 00:00
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+10	$2	18¢	$2	-$1	08-26 20:59
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?	Yes	+4	$2	20¢	$1	-$1	10-07 10:36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+5	$2	16¢	$1	-$1	09-04 23:15
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+7	$3	10¢	$1	-$2	10-26 17:53
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?	No	+5	$2	2¢	$0	-$2	09-30 22:55
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	+0	-$25	98¢	$0	+$25	10-23 20:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.35% before 2027?	42	$248	171	171	+0	open	—	10-27 08:59
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?	33	$232	130	130	+0	open	—	09-07 04:49
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	15	$159	97	97	+0	open	—	10-23 20:01
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% before 2027?	44	$149	213	163	+50	open	—	10-23 08:27
Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $45 in 2026?	40	$142	134	134	+0	open	—	10-25 18:09
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	16	$131	120	39	+81	open	—	10-28 00:00
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $29.5B by October 31?	7	$130	100	62	+38	open	—	10-17 21:59
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026?	30	$123	114	114	+0	open	—	10-26 08:47
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% before 2027?	12	$115	92	92	+0	open	—	10-23 20:08
will the 10 year treasury yield dip below 4pt3 before 2027	16	$110	81	81	+0	open	—	09-22 02:34
StandX FDV above $100M one day after launch?	25	$106	80	80	+0	open	—	10-14 12:25
Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $4M before 2027?	10	$104	61	61	+0	open	—	10-19 17:01
Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?	20	$101	75	75	+0	No	+$3	10-02 07:24
Will Phil Murphy announce a Presidential run before 2027?	10	$99	68	68	+0	open	—	10-18 17:12
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.90% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	9	$99	60	60	+0	open	—	09-07 09:50
Will MegaETH hit $0.10 by June 30, 2027?	15	$99	84	79	+5	open	—	10-27 18:59
Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $40 in 2026?	36	$99	114	114	+0	open	—	10-25 18:09
will corning glw q3 optical communications sales be above 20261008120040000 2pt4b	11	$99	81	81	+0	No	-$6	10-15 08:27
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.00% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	21	$97	110	110	+0	open	—	09-13 10:15
will the 10 year treasury yield dip below 4pt4 before 2027	27	$93	131	111	+20	open	—	09-23 14:02
Will $PONS reach $5 in 2026?	9	$93	100	40	+60	open	—	10-15 16:57
Will edgeX reach $1.40 before 2027?	9	$91	60	60	+0	open	—	10-11 08:58
Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch?	15	$90	89	89	+0	open	—	10-21 09:12
Will Tabi launch a token by June 30, 2027?	19	$89	72	72	+0	open	—	10-18 15:47
will the 10 year treasury yield dip below 4pt1 before 2027	10	$89	70	70	+0	open	—	09-21 19:18
Unit FDV above $2B one day after launch?	14	$89	76	42	+35	open	—	10-23 06:08
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $4.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	24	$89	97	97	+0	open	—	10-27 19:25
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	27	$88	164	67	+97	open	—	10-28 00:00
Will Ashton Jeanty have 774.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	17	$86	60	60	+0	open	—	09-25 08:11
Will Courtland Sutton have 374.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	15	$85	56	56	+0	open	—	10-25 20:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 03:26:45	Will the longest game of the 2026 MLB Postseason last 11+ innings?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x217431…
10-28 03:26:45	Will the longest game of the 2026 MLB Postseason last 12+ innings?	No	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x0cee62…
10-28 03:22:30	Will the longest game of the 2026 MLB Postseason last 12+ innings?	No	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xb4a874…
10-28 03:22:28	Will the longest game of the 2026 MLB Postseason last 11+ innings?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x1c9f0b…
10-28 03:12:55	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x8694df…
10-28 03:12:55	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026?	No	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x1992bc…
10-28 03:04:08	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xdae78b…
10-28 03:04:08	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x80f085…
10-28 00:36:51	Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or below $45 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xcd801e…
10-28 00:36:51	Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or below $40 in 2026?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x15cf53…
10-28 00:02:26	Will Vest launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x86c04b…
10-28 00:02:26	Will Vest launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x40aa88…
10-28 00:00:06	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xeccedc…
10-28 00:00:06	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0xd40ddc…
10-27 23:38:02	Will Bijan Robinson have 10.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xf60abc…
10-27 22:33:48	Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or below $45 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x0c25d8…
10-27 22:33:48	Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or below $40 in 2026?	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x047b4a…
10-27 20:47:29	Will Bijan Robinson have 10.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xd6c8bf…
10-27 20:43:14	Will Bo Nix have 27.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xc209d6…
10-27 20:43:14	Will Bo Nix have 24.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0x391794…
10-27 20:00:33	GMGN FDV above $500M one day after launch	Yes	SELL	2	24¢	$1	0xc3786e…
10-27 19:25:41	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.75 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xaf2bd1…
10-27 19:25:41	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $4.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x7a3858…
10-27 19:15:08	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.75 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	48¢	$4	0xa76f74…
10-27 19:15:08	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $4.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	61¢	$5	0x1a093d…
10-27 19:07:24	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $4.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	59¢	$7	0x2c1360…
10-27 19:07:24	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.75 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	37¢	$4	0x173672…
10-27 18:59:30	Will MegaETH hit $0.10 by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0xa0c08b…
10-27 17:53:15	Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	48¢	$4	0x10e808…
10-27 17:26:17	Next Israeli government formed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0x10cc87…
10-27 17:26:15	Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0xe2ef68…
10-27 16:42:23	GMGN FDV above $500M one day after launch	Yes	BUY	2	25¢	$1	0x032403…
10-27 16:31:20	Neutrl FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0x5f1b89…
10-27 16:14:44	Will Bo Nix have 24.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x0827d1…
10-27 15:26:09	Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) Q3 Data Center revenue be above $7.6B?	Yes	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0xed7a75…
10-27 15:26:09	Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) Q3 Data Center revenue be above $8B?	No	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0x0b7b25…
10-27 14:18:45	Will Catena launch a token by September 30, 2027?	No	SELL	15	53¢	$8	0xe81043…
10-27 14:18:45	Will Catena launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	52¢	$8	0x24f05a…
10-27 14:16:09	Will Bryce Young have 20.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xb5f33b…
10-27 14:16:09	Will Bryce Young have 23.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x5da4ba…
10-27 14:08:20	Will Bryce Young have 20.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	11	78¢	$9	0x934cb2…
10-27 14:08:20	Will Bryce Young have 23.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x211d8d…
10-27 13:16:51	Will Dallas Goedert have 774.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	8	19¢	$2	0x1a4cc4…
10-27 13:12:29	Will Bijan Robinson have 10.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xe7d134…
10-27 13:12:29	Will Bijan Robinson have 12.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x33cede…
10-27 11:29:11	Will Joe Burrow have 3,999.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	7	66¢	$5	0xfd6991…
10-27 11:29:09	Will Joe Burrow have 4,249.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	7	42¢	$3	0x6b1767…
10-27 11:20:47	Will Mike Evans have 8.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	14	49¢	$7	0xfb44df…
10-27 11:12:03	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $7B in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	7¢	$1	0x94540c…
10-27 11:12:03	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026?	No	SELL	9	94¢	$8	0x1284e4…
10-27 10:57:42	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	40¢	$0	0xa91509…
10-27 10:57:42	Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0x4e5548…
10-27 10:42:00	Will USD/BRL hit 6.25 (High) in 2026?	No	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xa427e1…
10-27 10:42:00	Will USD/BRL hit 5.75 (High) in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x7403d3…
10-27 09:37:41	Will CeeDee Lamb have 9.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0xd17754…
10-27 09:36:33	Relay FDV above $900M one day after launch?	No	BUY	25	64¢	$16	0xfe53ba…
10-27 09:36:33	Relay FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	25	28¢	$7	0x16c131…
10-27 09:07:17	Will Chainlink reach $18 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0xec27fb…
10-27 09:07:15	Will Chainlink reach $16 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0xafee53…
10-27 08:59:29	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.35% before 2027?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x99b8dc…
10-27 08:59:24	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.35% before 2027?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xc296e9…
10-27 08:17:47	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	16	41¢	$7	0x1815dd…
10-27 08:16:44	Printr FDV above $80M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$9	0xf76d51…
10-27 08:16:44	Printr FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x104896…
10-27 07:20:05	Reya FDV above $70M one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0x5e7e06…
10-27 06:44:59	Tori FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0x619285…
10-27 06:44:23	Tori FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x739aa5…
10-27 05:48:47	Will Dallas Goedert have 774.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0x1a240b…
10-27 05:48:47	Will Dallas Goedert have 974.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x073352…
10-27 05:38:09	Tori FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xe7eff3…
10-27 05:38:05	Tori FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x980703…
10-27 05:38:05	Tori FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	25	71¢	$18	0x70153e…
10-27 05:37:30	Will Jared Goff have 4,099.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xe48643…
10-27 04:41:14	Will "Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 4" have a Metascore of at least 80?	No	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0xcefd70…
10-27 04:41:14	Will "Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 4" have a Metascore of at least 60?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x844e22…
10-27 04:16:15	Will "The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time" have a Metascore of at least 90?	No	SELL	19	28¢	$5	0x049abc…
10-27 04:16:14	Will "The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time" have a Metascore of at least 80?	Yes	SELL	19	92¢	$17	0x988f35…
10-27 03:38:08	Will Bo Nix have 27.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xf59c88…
10-27 03:38:08	Will Bo Nix have 24.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xc1ad52…
10-27 02:48:41	Will CeeDee Lamb have 9.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0xa0063f…
10-27 02:00:59	Will "Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 4" have a Metascore of at least 60?	Yes	SELL	13	90¢	$12	0x334d36…
10-27 01:54:15	Will "Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 4" have a Metascore of at least 60?	Yes	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0xe307ab…
10-27 01:54:15	will call of duty modern warfare 4 have a metascore of at least 80	No	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x8b4f46…
10-27 01:28:27	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	BUY	17	40¢	$7	0x6e0955…
10-27 01:28:27	iran full airspace closure by november 30 2026	No	BUY	1	52¢	$1	0x65ca47…
10-27 00:36:24	Will Derrick Henry have 1,049.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0x7c5b81…
10-27 00:36:24	Will Derrick Henry have 849.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0x2b0ba1…
10-26 22:36:09	Will Arch Network launch a token by September 30, 2027?	No	SELL	2	25¢	$0	0xc46b97…
10-26 22:32:18	Will Arch Network launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x3d5145…
10-26 22:29:06	Will "The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time" have a Metascore of at least 90?	No	BUY	19	24¢	$5	0x2f3b3c…
10-26 22:29:03	will the legend of zelda ocarina of time have a metascore of at least 80	Yes	BUY	19	68¢	$13	0x5f3b59…
10-26 20:57:41	Will Soneium launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xcdf0d2…
10-26 20:57:41	Will Soneium launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x76fb35…
10-26 20:56:11	Will Bijan Robinson have 8.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xf2f515…
10-26 20:56:11	Will Bijan Robinson have 10.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x28d727…
10-26 20:46:59	Will Soneium launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x2ea6d2…
10-26 20:46:59	Will Soneium launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x07fb77…
10-26 20:45:02	Will Bijan Robinson have 8.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xc2c9f9…
10-26 20:45:00	Will Bijan Robinson have 10.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x53be9e…
10-26 20:32:21	Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0x8be219…