Blissful-Obesity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.97K

Unrealized P&L

-$560

Hit rate

43.6%

Resolved

250

Trades

1,649

lifetime

Volume

$385.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$234

Open exposure

$615

7 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 08-26 08:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Other

47% 44% -$12,641

Sports

39% 58% +$10,393

Politics

13% 33% -$1,473

Crypto

1% 40% -$9

Tech

0% 0% -$242

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?	No	+291	$164	96¢	$278	+$114	04-28 20:29
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?	No	+224	$202	99¢	$223	+$21	04-29 04:52
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+100	$43	98¢	$98	+$55	04-28 20:37
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?	Yes	+291	$119	4¢	$13	-$106	04-28 18:33
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	+100	$587	2¢	$2	-$585	06-14 22:29
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?	Yes	+224	$33	1¢	$2	-$31	06-14 22:28
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	$27	99¢	$0	-$27	05-19 16:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$49.6K	33,260	33,260	+0	No	-$5,334	07-14 18:07
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$20.5K	28,867	28,867	+0	No	+$3,753	05-10 16:01
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	6	$19.2K	15,625	15,625	+0	No	-$768	04-28 18:55
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	15	$18.1K	12,850	12,850	+0	open	—	08-26 08:14
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	48	$9.9K	9,386	9,384	+1	Yes	-$390	05-03 09:01
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	4	$9.6K	10,782	0	+10,782	No	+$1,204	05-10 17:36
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	29	$9.0K	8,242	8,042	+200	open	—	06-14 22:29
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	13	$7.7K	7,174	7,174	+0	No	-$371	05-03 09:01
Spurs vs. Thunder	1	$7.6K	11,000	0	+11,000	Thunder	+$3,410	05-20 22:12
Will England win on 2026-06-23?	1	$7.4K	11,051	0	+11,051	No	-$7,404	06-23 21:04
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	6	$6.1K	3,529	3,063	+466	No	-$20	04-28 22:02
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	37	$5.4K	13,089	2,054	+11,036	No	+$131	04-29 12:16
cs2 3dmax fal2 2026 04 13	27	$5.3K	7,355	0	+7,355	Team Falcons	+$2,039	04-13 16:35
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Cameron Norrie	3	$5.0K	5,000	288	+4,712	Jannik Sinner	+$238	04-28 05:58
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-05-23?	4	$5.0K	3,514	3,514	+0	No	+$817	05-19 17:56
fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 spread home 2pt5	1	$5.0K	12,878	0	+12,878	Ghana	-$5,023	06-23 19:48
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 - Map 2 Winner	1	$5.0K	6,080	0	+6,080	Team Falcons	+$1,094	05-20 12:09
Will Hull City AFC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?	16	$4.8K	3,984	1,875	+2,109	Yes	+$396	05-19 17:56
lol sly me1 2026 04 14	18	$4.7K	4,000	4,000	+0	Solary	$0	04-14 14:50
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	1	$4.5K	7,818	0	+7,818	Gujarat Titans	-$4,480	04-30 14:37
nhl nyr tb 2026 04 15	4	$4.3K	5,000	5,000	+0	Rangers	-$375	04-15 16:33
James Comey arrested by May 15?	103	$4.2K	7,830	3,090	+4,740	Yes	+$405	04-29 12:27
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$4.2K	17,664	2,000	+15,664	Yes	+$13,788	07-19 10:49
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	7	$4.2K	7,850	0	+7,850	Timberwolves	-$4,206	05-01 03:43
nba mia cha 2026 04 14 spread home 5pt5	4	$3.9K	4,000	4,000	+0	Heat	+$0	04-14 21:31
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	5	$3.9K	3,573	3,526	+47	Yes	-$51	04-08 06:43
sea sas com 2026 04 17 com	3	$3.8K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	-$125	04-17 10:58
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	5	$3.8K	18,920	0	+18,920	No	-$3,821	05-19 19:59
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)	2	$3.7K	4,000	4,000	+0	Magic	+$40	04-27 12:38
nba mia cha 2026 04 14	5	$3.5K	2,563	2,563	+0	Hornets	+$26	04-14 16:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-26 08:14:15	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	11,797	86¢	$10,146	0x4076ff…
08-23 15:35:34	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	15	76¢	$12	0xbcea3d…
08-22 07:23:57	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$7	0xff9290…
07-21 16:53:15	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	4,816	52¢	$2,500	0xb4c02e…
07-20 14:03:57	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	601	69¢	$415	0x38e707…
07-20 07:49:42	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	6,956	63¢	$4,382	0x4c8def…
07-19 10:49:49	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,000	59¢	$590	0x907959…
07-19 10:49:42	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,000	59¢	$590	0xd69a5c…
07-17 19:47:13	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0xe47431…
07-17 19:36:51	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	63	69¢	$44	0x797c46…
07-17 17:27:12	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	387	69¢	$267	0xce8152…
07-14 18:07:46	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	27,260	63¢	$17,092	0xdac9c3…
06-23 21:04:40	Will England win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	11,051	67¢	$7,404	0x747b4b…
06-23 19:48:28	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 spread home 2pt5	England	BUY	12,878	39¢	$5,023	0x5f61b7…
06-14 22:30:09	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	1,848	39¢	$721	0xbb2689…
06-14 22:29:39	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x8702a8…
06-14 22:29:34	Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0x436a2a…
06-14 22:29:30	Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	3¢	$1	0xa7a144…
06-14 22:29:25	Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	147	1¢	$2	0xacf0b0…
06-14 22:29:21	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	28	7¢	$2	0xc4f001…
06-14 22:29:16	Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xe027f2…
06-14 22:29:12	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	28	9¢	$3	0x44d881…
06-14 22:29:06	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	1,131	26¢	$299	0x5d444a…
06-14 22:29:01	Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	195	79¢	$154	0x756206…
06-14 22:28:55	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	632	11¢	$66	0xb2fe50…
06-14 22:28:45	Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	370	8¢	$28	0x53ba97…
06-14 22:28:39	James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?	Yes	SELL	209	5¢	$10	0xe6fc3b…
06-14 22:28:34	Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	231	1¢	$2	0x740753…
06-14 22:28:24	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfb0b58…
06-14 22:28:19	Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x07f221…
06-14 22:28:15	Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	0¢	$0	0xaac339…
06-14 22:28:10	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xa0b556…
05-23 07:57:10	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	97	17¢	$17	0xe3e4f2…
05-23 07:56:45	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	17,567	17¢	$3,039	0xe26043…
05-23 07:56:19	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	27,260	82¢	$22,408	0xb82527…
05-20 22:12:53	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	11,000	69¢	$7,590	0x94d59f…
05-20 12:09:52	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 - Map 2 Winner	Team Falcons	BUY	6,080	82¢	$4,986	0xa0dbdb…
05-19 19:59:42	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	Yes	BUY	10,039	15¢	$1,506	0x1bcdac…
05-19 19:51:32	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0xab96cf…
05-19 19:51:32	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	Yes	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0x480074…
05-19 19:51:30	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	Yes	BUY	3,871	21¢	$813	0xa6ba99…
05-19 19:16:27	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	Yes	BUY	5,000	30¢	$1,500	0x882da3…
05-19 17:57:01	Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-05-23?	No	BUY	470	92¢	$434	0x218d16…
05-19 17:56:53	Will Hull City AFC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	194	92¢	$179	0xc9f80a…
05-19 17:56:46	Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-05-23?	No	BUY	429	92¢	$397	0xc27e6b…
05-19 17:56:33	Will Hull City AFC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,916	94¢	$1,797	0xa89c66…
05-19 17:56:07	Will Southampton FC win on 2026-05-23?	No	SELL	3,514	83¢	$2,921	0xdc3b12…
05-19 17:55:55	Will Hull City AFC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	1,478	85¢	$1,257	0xe41a00…
05-19 17:55:34	Will Hull City AFC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	121	84¢	$102	0xb7d789…
05-19 17:55:34	Will Hull City AFC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x795a6c…
05-19 17:55:29	Will Hull City AFC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	84¢	$4	0x9fedf1…
05-19 17:55:22	Will Hull City AFC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	16	84¢	$13	0x8c1f61…
05-19 17:55:22	Will Hull City AFC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x88fbb2…
05-19 17:55:16	Will Hull City AFC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x646deb…
05-19 17:55:13	Will Hull City AFC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xff819f…
05-19 17:55:09	Will Hull City AFC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	9	84¢	$8	0xeec05c…
05-19 17:55:09	Will Hull City AFC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	575	72¢	$414	0xcb1d07…
05-19 17:54:55	Hull City AFC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	12	29¢	$3	0x6a2a4c…
05-19 17:54:26	Will Hull City AFC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	301	85¢	$254	0x760a94…
05-19 17:54:19	Will Southampton FC win on 2026-05-23?	No	BUY	1,060	83¢	$881	0x366692…
05-19 16:51:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	144	94¢	$136	0xb1fc52…
05-19 16:27:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0xec2e64…
05-19 16:09:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	94¢	$8	0xb5351e…
05-19 16:07:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xe71bb5…
05-19 16:05:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x493786…
05-19 15:44:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	94¢	$8	0xb725c0…
05-19 13:00:22	Will Southampton FC win on 2026-05-23?	No	BUY	74	50¢	$37	0xae0b29…
05-19 12:59:38	Will Hull City AFC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	335	29¢	$97	0x50c7fe…
05-19 12:57:41	Will Hull City AFC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?	No	SELL	397	71¢	$282	0x2f425e…
05-19 12:30:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xadfa51…
05-19 12:22:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xd827ec…
05-19 12:07:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0xade2c7…
05-19 11:36:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xc1c044…
05-19 11:26:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x331d7f…
05-19 10:59:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	94¢	$8	0x0817e6…
05-19 10:40:03	Will Hull City AFC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	397	72¢	$285	0x1c67f6…
05-19 10:39:45	Will Southampton FC win on 2026-05-23?	No	BUY	2,380	50¢	$1,186	0x195227…
05-19 10:35:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	94¢	$8	0x522b43…
05-19 10:24:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	SELL	652	70¢	$457	0xe4d976…
05-19 10:23:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,165	95¢	$1,104	0xd9a3a1…
05-19 10:23:31	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,001	34¢	$680	0xe885b1…
05-11 10:39:48	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,001	35¢	$700	0xf2de59…
05-11 06:35:49	Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	57	98¢	$56	0x194b10…
05-11 04:50:42	Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	80	98¢	$79	0x83b94c…
05-11 04:48:19	Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	80	98¢	$79	0x6b030f…
05-11 04:45:32	Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	81	98¢	$80	0x722535…
05-11 04:22:00	Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	80	98¢	$79	0xbabb2f…
05-11 04:06:08	Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	76	98¢	$75	0xbe4935…
05-11 03:55:28	Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	85	98¢	$83	0xd0d73b…
05-11 02:47:14	Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	88	98¢	$86	0x23fa67…
05-11 02:21:40	Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	76	98¢	$75	0x4115ee…
05-11 01:22:10	Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	80	98¢	$79	0x266281…
05-10 23:45:28	Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	41	98¢	$41	0x6e62f0…
05-10 17:36:27	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	899	88¢	$792	0x5688f8…
05-10 17:36:10	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	211	88¢	$185	0x54063e…
05-10 17:35:45	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	737	88¢	$648	0xc2b20c…
05-10 17:35:28	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	2,498	89¢	$2,223	0x1492bd…
05-10 17:35:19	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	8,935	89¢	$7,952	0x5c5e2c…
05-10 16:01:12	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	28,867	42¢	$12,124	0x601ace…
05-06 07:36:14	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	53	32¢	$17	0x485edc…