Determined-Polyp — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.1%

Resolved

Trades

177

lifetime

Volume

$197

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 05-07 07:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 67% +$1

Other

14% 75% $-0

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 72 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	6	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-04 09:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	4	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	05-02 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	6	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	05-04 09:19
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	4	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-02 10:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	4	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-02 19:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 10:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 08:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	05-04 08:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	05-04 07:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-01 20:18
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 30?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-30 21:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	4	$3	5	3	+1	open	—	05-02 10:05
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	3	$3	3	2	+1	open	—	05-04 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	3	$3	3	2	+1	open	—	05-04 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	3	$3	3	1	+2	open	—	05-04 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	3	$3	5	3	+2	Down	$-1	05-05 08:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	05-01 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	04-30 22:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	4	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-04 07:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-02 20:36
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	05-06 08:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 08:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-01 07:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-04 08:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-04 07:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 10:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-04 09:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-04 07:29
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	05-01 16:06
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 5?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 21:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 07:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xaff9e7…
05-07 07:04:37	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x1f45a5…
05-06 18:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xb44a49…
05-06 18:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x5d2216…
05-06 12:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xc52c84…
05-06 11:18:36	LoL: Uwinks vs Rising Gaming (BO3) - LJL Regular Season	Rising Gaming	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xecb165…
05-06 10:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x4210bf…
05-06 10:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x2772cb…
05-06 10:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2a16a1…
05-06 10:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x080781…
05-06 10:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xee99aa…
05-06 10:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xead69d…
05-06 10:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xa1b07d…
05-06 09:29:16	LoL: Uwinks vs Rising Gaming (BO3) - LJL Regular Season	Rising Gaming	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x40695e…
05-06 08:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x94b52b…
05-06 08:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x2737a3…
05-06 08:37:54	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	Yes	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0x9e41f9…
05-06 08:36:16	LoL: Uwinks vs Rising Gaming (BO3) - LJL Regular Season	Rising Gaming	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x6fabf1…
05-06 08:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x839f0a…
05-06 08:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x8a3e71…
05-06 08:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x044fa3…
05-06 08:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x857a77…
05-05 21:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x7b45f2…
05-05 21:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x2aed3b…
05-05 21:19:46	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5b9cd4…
05-05 08:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xb30d70…
05-05 08:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0xa3e858…
05-05 08:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x710957…
05-05 08:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xa2fe8f…
05-05 08:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xa20369…
05-05 07:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xb41cc3…
05-05 07:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xdc44c2…
05-05 07:54:48	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xbcda76…
05-05 07:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x7856ec…
05-05 07:16:44	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe9c9f2…
05-05 07:15:18	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x80614b…
05-05 07:15:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xcc06fd…
05-05 07:11:08	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x19aca8…
05-05 07:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x51826f…
05-05 07:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xce252a…
05-04 10:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x3799dc…
05-04 10:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x97067d…
05-04 09:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xfd7070…
05-04 09:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x2ab14e…
05-04 09:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x0e4f0f…
05-04 09:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x502b7d…
05-04 09:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xb34a14…
05-04 09:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x75b9da…
05-04 09:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0xeba0aa…
05-04 09:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x670503…
05-04 09:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x7f07fc…
05-04 09:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x3068dd…
05-04 09:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x5c1dd7…
05-04 09:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xff6f32…
05-04 09:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x7ae4b7…
05-04 09:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xad4b35…
05-04 09:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x3dbc16…
05-04 09:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xedc807…
05-04 09:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0x7ed9c5…
05-04 09:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x053d97…
05-04 09:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xf7060e…
05-04 09:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x2afb9b…
05-04 09:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x5fdf2e…
05-04 09:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xb22ad4…
05-04 09:11:30	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x8a46de…
05-04 09:09:20	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x1f1216…
05-04 09:08:28	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x34d824…
05-04 09:08:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x922887…
05-04 09:07:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xbb78d9…
05-04 09:04:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x6caae9…
05-04 09:03:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xc297c2…
05-04 09:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xc848d8…
05-04 09:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xc9a28f…
05-04 08:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x44a1f0…
05-04 08:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xf3f7c3…
05-04 08:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x38e2e0…
05-04 08:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x6def80…
05-04 08:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd5de89…
05-04 08:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$1	0xa3eb9b…
05-04 08:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xed94fe…
05-04 08:25:20	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x98ef5f…
05-04 08:23:34	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x37fff6…
05-04 08:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x759a80…
05-04 08:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb98ef6…
05-04 08:15:54	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x02268d…
05-04 08:14:44	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7454b4…
05-04 08:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x4131ce…
05-04 08:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x584960…
05-04 08:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0xe3b622…
05-04 08:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x27025f…
05-04 08:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x0ecf77…
05-04 07:39:48	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x9ebb29…
05-04 07:39:20	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0x35f3c9…
05-04 07:38:46	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xe003c2…
05-04 07:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x350b61…
05-04 07:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x960b28…
05-04 07:19:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xae6c74…
05-04 07:18:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xd56d31…
05-04 07:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xc4365e…
05-04 07:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xff8ed4…