(anonymous) 0x819dfe…3507f1
whale hot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$97.1K
Unrealized P&L
-$5.11K
Hit rate
65.8%
Resolved
9,561
Trades
24,626
lifetime
Volume
$809.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$33
Open exposure
$55.9K
29 positions
First seen
2026-08-31
last 10-27 21:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 50 days
Categories
Other
54% 53% +$7,940
Politics
19% 67% +$34,935
Sports
14% 57% +$46,108
Crypto
10% 42% -$1,320
Tech
2% 100% +$9,388
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 2087 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +20,850 $13,541 95¢ $19.9K +$6,319 10-02 06:09
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +33,400 $25,784 44¢ $14.5K -$11,255 10-27 13:38
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? No +5,652 $3,441 98¢ $5.5K +$2,099 10-01 02:01
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? Yes +4,148 $3,028 98¢ $4.1K +$1,056 10-16 22:49
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +10,298 $3,930 34¢ $3.6K -$377 10-02 01:03
Bruins vs. Hurricanes Hurricanes +3,000 $1,920 56¢ $1.7K -$225 10-26 23:56
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? No +1,376 $393 98¢ $1.3K +$955 10-25 19:30
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +1,327 $1,011 96¢ $1.3K +$269 10-08 03:27
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? No +1,305 $941 76¢ $987 +$46 10-14 04:55
Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? No +500 $485 100¢ $499 +$14 10-12 19:35
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? No +500 $480 99¢ $495 +$15 10-11 18:11
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +500 $338 74¢ $372 +$35 10-19 18:59
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? No +363 $261 76¢ $274 +$13 10-14 04:55
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +290 $232 82¢ $237 +$4 10-24 02:30
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? No +2,256 $644 10¢ $214 -$429 10-19 18:55
Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? No +200 $194 100¢ $200 +$6 10-12 19:20
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? Yes +1,130 $886 12¢ $130 -$755 10-09 13:19
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +2,266 $393 6¢ $125 -$268 10-08 16:21
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +150 $110 76¢ $115 +$5 10-23 11:46
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? No +283 $122 28¢ $78 -$44 10-21 22:13
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? No +97 $66 72¢ $70 +$3 10-24 11:57
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +6,413 $2,145 1¢ $64 -$2,081 10-27 21:51
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? No +2,127 $541 2¢ $43 -$498 10-19 18:35
Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +50 $35 74¢ $37 +$2 10-24 03:08
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +15 $12 92¢ $14 +$2 10-14 20:14
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? No +13 $11 96¢ $13 +$2 10-02 08:04
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No +15 $10 60¢ $9 -$1 10-11 19:45
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +4 $4 64¢ $3 -$1 10-02 16:57
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? Yes +4 $19 18¢ $1 -$18 10-08 12:36