(anonymous) 0x819dfe…3507f1
whale hot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$97.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$7.22K
Hit rate
65.8%
Resolved
9,560
Trades
24,617
lifetime
Volume
$781.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$38.3K
26 positions
First seen
2026-08-31
last 10-27 01:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 50 days
Categories
Other
56% 53% +$7,940
Politics
16% 68% +$35,323
Sports
15% 57% +$46,108
Crypto
11% 42% -$1,320
Tech
2% 100% +$9,388
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 2087 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +20,850 $13,541 88¢ $18.5K +$4,912 10-02 06:09
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? No +5,652 $3,441 98¢ $5.5K +$2,073 10-01 02:01
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? Yes +4,148 $3,028 98¢ $4.1K +$1,029 10-16 22:49
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +10,298 $3,930 34¢ $3.5K -$429 10-02 01:03
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? No +1,376 $393 98¢ $1.4K +$962 10-25 19:30
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +1,327 $1,011 96¢ $1.3K +$256 10-08 03:27
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? No +1,305 $941 76¢ $992 +$51 10-14 04:55
Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? No +500 $485 100¢ $499 +$14 10-12 19:35
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? No +500 $480 99¢ $495 +$15 10-11 18:11
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +500 $338 70¢ $352 +$15 10-19 18:59
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? Yes +1,130 $886 30¢ $343 -$542 10-09 13:19
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? No +363 $261 76¢ $274 +$13 10-14 04:55
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? No +2,256 $644 12¢ $259 -$384 10-19 18:55
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +290 $232 80¢ $231 -$1 10-24 02:30
Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? No +200 $194 100¢ $200 +$6 10-12 19:20
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +2,266 $393 6¢ $147 -$245 10-08 16:21
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +150 $110 76¢ $113 +$3 10-23 11:46
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? No +283 $122 29¢ $81 -$41 10-21 22:13
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? No +97 $66 72¢ $70 +$4 10-24 11:57
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? No +2,127 $541 3¢ $64 -$477 10-19 18:35
Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +50 $35 74¢ $37 +$2 10-24 03:08
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +15 $12 92¢ $14 +$2 10-14 20:14
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? No +13 $11 96¢ $13 +$2 10-02 08:04
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No +15 $10 62¢ $9 -$1 10-11 19:45
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +4 $4 60¢ $2 -$2 10-02 16:57
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? Yes +4 $19 17¢ $1 -$18 10-08 12:36