Cultivated-Humour — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

50.0%

Resolved

Trades

744

lifetime

Volume

$1.10K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-14

last 07-21 01:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 0% $-1

Politics

8% — —

Other

5% 100% +$0

Sports

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes		+2	$1	1¢	$0	$-1	06-22 02:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1774149300	9	$33	32	32	+0	open	—	03-22 03:28
btc updown 15m 1774145700	8	$22	125	19	+106	open	—	03-22 02:28
btc updown 15m 1774151100	9	$19	25	25	+0	open	—	03-22 03:59
btc updown 15m 1774143000	10	$18	23	23	+0	open	—	03-22 01:39
sol updown 15m 1774150200	9	$18	21	21	+0	open	—	03-22 03:39
btc updown 15m 1774147500	6	$18	31	13	+17	open	—	03-22 02:53
btc updown 15m 1774144800	6	$18	24	24	+0	open	—	03-22 02:10
btc updown 15m 1774152900	8	$15	79	9	+69	open	—	03-22 04:23
btc updown 15m 1774476900	13	$15	44	44	+0	open	—	03-25 22:29
Iran leadership change by March 13?	1	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	03-10 21:27
btc updown 15m 1774148400	6	$14	19	19	+0	open	—	03-22 03:11
btc updown 5m 1774062000	8	$13	15	13	+1	open	—	03-21 03:04
btc updown 15m 1774152000	8	$13	50	35	+14	open	—	03-22 04:11
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	3	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	03-23 15:16
btc updown 15m 1774153800	5	$13	41	6	+35	open	—	03-22 04:37
sol updown 15m 1774148400	8	$12	34	22	+13	open	—	03-22 03:13
btc updown 5m 1774061100	6	$11	12	11	+1	open	—	03-21 02:49
btc updown 15m 1774464300	8	$11	24	21	+3	open	—	03-25 18:59
btc updown 5m 1774475700	9	$11	11	9	+2	open	—	03-25 21:59
btc updown 15m 1774465200	7	$10	18	14	+4	open	—	03-25 19:09
btc updown 5m 1774472700	6	$10	16	15	+0	open	—	03-25 21:08
btc updown 5m 1774066200	4	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	03-21 04:14
btc updown 15m 1782381600	7	$10	13	13	+0	open	—	06-25 10:10
btc updown 5m 1774143600	5	$9	12	11	+0	open	—	03-22 01:44
eth updown 15m 1774152900	2	$9	7	7	+0	open	—	03-22 04:22
btc updown 15m 1774150200	3	$9	12	12	+0	open	—	03-22 03:35
eth updown 15m 1774149300	4	$9	11	10	+0	open	—	03-22 03:21
btc updown 15m 1774251000	5	$9	120	0	+120	open	—	03-23 07:39
btc updown 15m 1784590200	7	$9	13	8	+6	open	—	07-20 23:39
sol updown 15m 1774147500	8	$9	24	24	+0	open	—	03-22 02:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 01:44:37	eth updown 15m 1784597400	Down	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x56ebad…
07-21 01:44:10	eth updown 15m 1784597400	Up	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0x396d87…
07-21 01:42:45	eth updown 15m 1784597400	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x1bbbbe…
07-20 23:39:28	btc updown 15m 1784590200	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x46e0be…
07-20 23:38:01	btc updown 15m 1784590200	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x854649…
07-20 23:36:42	eth updown 15m 1784590200	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x727a61…
07-20 23:36:03	eth updown 15m 1784590200	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xc3eceb…
07-20 23:35:48	eth updown 15m 1784590200	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x9c41cf…
07-20 23:34:49	sol updown 15m 1784590200	Down	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0x421118…
07-20 23:34:46	btc updown 15m 1784590200	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0xf49519…
07-20 23:34:10	btc updown 15m 1784590200	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x937c2c…
07-20 23:33:12	btc updown 15m 1784590200	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xd16348…
07-20 23:31:55	sol updown 15m 1784590200	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xade1b9…
07-20 23:31:33	sol updown 15m 1784590200	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xe781e7…
07-20 23:31:12	btc updown 15m 1784590200	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x14d2d5…
07-20 23:30:27	btc updown 15m 1784590200	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xa28f11…
07-20 23:27:28	btc updown 5m 1784589900	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf7307c…
07-20 19:24:40	btc updown 5m 1784575200	Up	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0x67ffa5…
07-20 19:22:03	btc updown 5m 1784575200	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x3b1c92…
07-20 19:21:06	btc updown 5m 1784575200	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x3e9cf1…
07-20 19:15:37	btc updown 5m 1784574900	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x955e23…
07-20 19:11:27	btc updown 5m 1784574600	Down	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0x8136e5…
07-20 19:10:25	btc updown 5m 1784574600	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x1fb43f…
07-20 19:07:54	btc updown 5m 1784574300	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x9a32ce…
07-20 18:33:04	eth updown 5m 1784572200	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x327411…
07-20 18:32:15	eth updown 5m 1784572200	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x120af4…
07-19 23:36:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xe7a502…
07-19 23:36:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xca6039…
07-02 22:13:58	btc updown 5m 1783030200	Down	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0x83e6f1…
07-02 22:10:47	btc updown 15m 1783029600	Up	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0xf1e197…
07-02 22:10:19	btc updown 5m 1783030200	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x2cfa98…
07-02 22:09:20	btc updown 5m 1783029900	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xde50f3…
07-02 22:06:07	btc updown 5m 1783029900	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3cd9c5…
07-02 22:04:58	btc updown 15m 1783029600	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x44eadc…
07-02 22:03:53	btc updown 5m 1783029600	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xd69298…
07-02 22:02:55	btc updown 5m 1783029600	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x6a380f…
07-02 00:43:38	btc updown 5m 1782952800	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xce23a5…
07-02 00:43:23	btc updown 5m 1782952800	Up	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x3f7937…
07-02 00:40:17	btc updown 5m 1782952800	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa4d876…
07-02 00:34:05	btc updown 5m 1782952200	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x21c415…
07-02 00:33:16	btc updown 5m 1782952200	Up	SELL	3	12¢	$0	0xc5a580…
07-02 00:32:26	btc updown 5m 1782952200	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x62fb10…
07-02 00:30:20	btc updown 5m 1782952200	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xcf4375…
07-02 00:25:20	btc updown 15m 1782951300	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x8e1bad…
07-02 00:23:40	btc updown 5m 1782951600	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x57410b…
07-02 00:22:40	btc updown 15m 1782951300	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xa340ef…
07-02 00:21:44	btc updown 5m 1782951600	Up	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x38b51e…
07-02 00:21:02	btc updown 5m 1782951600	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x2c0849…
07-02 00:13:49	btc updown 5m 1782951000	Down	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0xf1d5b9…
07-02 00:12:59	btc updown 5m 1782951000	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xac2cc9…
07-02 00:11:16	btc updown 5m 1782951000	Up	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0x95cebb…
07-02 00:10:38	btc updown 5m 1782951000	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x485030…
07-01 23:56:34	btc updown 5m 1782950100	Down	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x640e66…
07-01 23:55:47	btc updown 5m 1782950100	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x4e95b6…
07-01 23:54:32	btc updown 5m 1782949800	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xd0d141…
07-01 23:53:41	btc updown 5m 1782949800	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x38700d…
06-25 10:10:52	btc updown 15m 1782381600	Up	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x489553…
06-25 10:06:04	btc updown 15m 1782381600	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xe4a71c…
06-25 10:04:14	btc updown 15m 1782381600	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x6998db…
06-25 10:03:55	btc updown 15m 1782381600	Down	SELL	7	51¢	$3	0x1e899f…
06-25 10:03:23	btc updown 15m 1782381600	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xee8711…
06-25 10:03:04	btc updown 15m 1782381600	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc82940…
06-25 10:00:38	btc updown 15m 1782381600	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe962be…
06-25 09:57:02	btc updown 15m 1782380700	Up	SELL	2	21¢	$1	0x43e9ed…
06-25 09:52:56	btc updown 15m 1782380700	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x4e4cfe…
06-25 09:52:04	btc updown 15m 1782380700	Down	SELL	6	45¢	$2	0x0832ec…
06-25 09:50:32	btc updown 15m 1782380700	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x961b7b…
06-22 23:28:40	btc updown 5m 1782170700	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x23248b…
06-22 23:26:44	btc updown 15m 1782170100	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x84bcc1…
06-22 23:26:13	btc updown 15m 1782170100	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xa75b58…
06-22 23:24:59	btc updown 15m 1782170100	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb9ddbf…
06-22 23:21:11	btc updown 5m 1782170400	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x96defc…
06-22 23:20:52	btc updown 5m 1782170400	Down	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xaf6be5…
06-22 23:20:20	btc updown 5m 1782170400	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xa34bd1…
06-22 23:19:16	btc updown 5m 1782170100	Up	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0xe50d60…
06-22 23:15:19	btc updown 5m 1782170100	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x2a2370…
06-22 23:13:47	btc updown 15m 1782169200	Up	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x954512…
06-22 23:12:19	btc updown 15m 1782169200	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x41884c…
06-22 23:11:50	btc updown 15m 1782169200	Up	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0x3ab4cf…
06-22 23:11:28	btc updown 15m 1782169200	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xecc72c…
06-22 23:09:43	btc updown 5m 1782169500	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x61b1ea…
06-22 23:08:37	btc updown 5m 1782169500	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x8868f2…
06-22 23:05:25	btc updown 5m 1782169500	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x9d0b2e…
06-22 22:55:22	btc updown 5m 1782168900	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xda3719…
06-22 22:50:43	btc updown 15m 1782168300	Up	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x2f439d…
06-22 22:49:04	btc updown 15m 1782168300	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x178b2a…
06-22 22:47:49	btc updown 5m 1782168300	Up	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xc86094…
06-22 22:47:23	btc updown 5m 1782168300	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xb711fe…
06-22 22:46:19	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xef11ca…
06-22 22:45:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x64982f…
06-22 22:41:52	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xf4d571…
06-22 22:36:20	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x80d541…
06-22 22:35:32	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xa17703…
06-22 22:26:25	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xc149d6…
06-22 22:24:56	btc updown 15m 1782166500	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xe1b685…
06-22 22:24:31	eth updown 15m 1782166500	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x8c5a0e…
06-22 22:22:47	will spain reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120763	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xc853f1…
06-22 22:22:37	will portugal reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120775	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x816698…
06-22 22:22:13	will germany reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120751	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xb910fa…
06-22 22:21:14	Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x433a08…