Unlucky-Simplicity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.3%

Resolved

Trades

1,407

lifetime

Volume

$13.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 06-09 17:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

78% 97% +$1

Sports

17% 100% +$0

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 17:38:22	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc0956c…
06-09 00:21:19	col1 atn cjf 2026 06 08 spread home 2pt5	CDPJuniorFC	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd654f6…
06-08 21:37:00	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x153ab3…
06-08 12:03:39	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8ef342…
06-07 21:09:31	mlb cws phi 2026 06 07	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x66c610…
06-07 17:38:58	mlbb ts ver 2026 06 07 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9649bb…
06-07 17:35:21	mlbb ts ver 2026 06 07 game handicap away 3pt5	Team Spirit	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x851997…
06-07 16:59:27	cs2 bb3 m80 2026 06 07	BetBoom Team	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe60487…
06-07 13:09:43	sc2 hero cure 2026 06 07	herO	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc6c968…
06-06 23:09:46	codmw tex riyf 2026 06 06	OpTic Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x175215…
06-06 14:19:19	lol jdg blg 2026 06 06 game handicap home 1pt5	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x414e43…
06-06 12:05:58	wttmen gauzy jha 2026 06 06	Jha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc362cd…
06-06 11:32:37	itf haavist petruze 2026 06 06	Lucie Petruzelova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x932473…
06-06 11:32:25	itf jovanov davies 2026 06 06	Allegra Korpanec Davies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa282d9…
06-05 16:56:21	atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05 set handicap away 2pt5	Mensik	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xca660b…
06-05 01:53:27	fda approves arvinas vepdegestrant 06 05 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x02d1c0…
06-04 09:01:19	itf mraziko finak 2026 06 03	Karolina Mrazikova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdee8dd…
06-04 04:48:42	crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	Mali	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x37d87a…
06-04 04:48:12	crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	Mali	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1b70bd…
06-03 20:47:31	Spread: Poland (-1.5)	Nigeria	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x01d91d…
06-03 16:06:12	T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Netherlands	Scotland	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdb87c4…
06-03 16:04:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcac756…
06-03 07:01:16	T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Saudi Arabia vs United Arab Emirates	United Arab Emirates	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4619e3…
06-02 22:56:08	Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy - Map 2 Winner	NRG Academy	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe27598…
06-02 15:24:40	Foggia: Mayar Sherif vs Carlota Martinez Cirez	Mayar Sherif	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x605bad…
06-02 10:58:03	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	70k	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbf2da5…
06-01 21:19:19	LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Arctic Pandas (BO3) - NLC Playoffs	The Ruddy Sack	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe672d1…
06-01 18:03:00	LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Arctic Pandas - Game 2 Winner	The Ruddy Sack	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9d7009…
06-01 14:41:38	will spy reach 750 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4e0dec…
06-01 07:19:26	Will Luis Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeb2e02…
05-31 19:09:27	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9d5db0…
05-31 18:08:24	Rafael Jodar vs. Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeec4f3…
05-31 16:12:23	Set Handicap: Jodar (-2.5) vs Busta (+2.5)	Busta	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x68f041…
05-31 14:19:37	Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - FRAGgg Playoffs	HOTU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe5a022…
05-31 02:53:13	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1c8e68…
05-30 19:28:17	LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS - Game 3 Winner	Fluxo W7M	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9c8584…
05-30 17:58:00	Set Handicap: Tabilo (-2.5) vs Kouame (+2.5)	Kouame	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x16ec92…
05-30 14:25:14	PAOK vs. Panathinaikos	Panathinaikos	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xff6b02…
05-30 10:49:10	UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)	Jose Henrique	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf2f40f…
05-30 04:48:28	Valorant: Asterisk vs No Salary Peek (BO3) - VCL South Asia: Regular Season	Asterisk	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4e135d…
05-30 04:48:28	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	August Holmgren	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x46f81c…
05-30 02:48:02	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xafd742…
05-29 22:14:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9922b0…
05-29 21:06:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8515ac…
05-29 21:06:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2c8b14…
05-29 21:01:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb369fa…
05-29 17:27:45	Spread: Gambia (-1.5)	IR Iran	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x069e45…
05-29 14:28:43	Set Handicap: Cirstea (-1.5) vs Sierra (+1.5)	Cirstea	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb5206f…
05-29 13:57:01	Borges vs. Rublev: Match O/U 36.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9a0ab5…
05-28 16:52:24	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcc1ab1…
05-28 16:30:46	Valorant: Asterisk vs No Salary Peek (BO3) - VCL South Asia: Regular Season	Asterisk	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdaa1c3…
05-28 16:13:30	Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Wadi Degla SC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x716b84…
05-28 16:01:08	Counter-Strike: xept vs STEP - Map 1 Winner	xept	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x36445f…
05-28 13:00:21	Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Arevalo/Pavic vs Hilderbrand/Paris	Arevalo/Pavic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x213c33…
05-28 12:33:02	Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Cerundolo	Sinner	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaa6dee…
05-28 02:32:33	Red Bull Bragantino vs. Carabobo FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4fc70c…
05-27 20:01:04	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf10f03…
05-27 19:58:04	Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x82300a…
05-27 17:23:20	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner	TheMongolz	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xb71ea5…
05-27 17:23:10	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner	TheMongolz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x30b46d…
05-27 17:23:08	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner	TheMongolz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x11511a…
05-27 00:16:19	CA Lanús vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8f9c9a…
05-26 19:48:32	Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Tabur	Sinner	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe6e226…
05-26 14:03:26	Set Handicap: Vacherot (-2.5) vs Faurel (+2.5)	Faurel	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x840150…
05-26 13:18:01	Tallon Griekspoor vs. Matteo Arnaldi: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3c7dfe…
05-25 08:09:07	T20 Series Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A, Women: Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A	New Zealand A	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x130f47…
05-25 04:48:27	Will 1+ world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe356aa…
05-24 22:57:05	Roland Garros ATP: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcda7ca…
05-24 19:24:10	Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Mattia Bellucci	Quentin Halys	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9d9bc9…
05-24 18:17:31	Roland Garros ATP: Titouan Droguet vs Jakub Mensik	Jakub Mensik	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa39bf7…
05-24 17:22:27	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xaa1487…
05-24 17:21:59	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x76ec4f…
05-24 17:21:59	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x587ade…
05-24 17:21:59	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x441378…
05-24 15:57:38	Roland Garros ATP: Tomas Machac vs Zizou Bergs	Tomas Machac	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe0715d…
05-24 15:29:58	AC Sparta Praha vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x199a94…
05-24 08:02:47	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Supah Hot	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x26b9ed…
05-23 16:16:07	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 3 Winner	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa96b08…
05-23 01:24:47	Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x99d1e5…
05-22 09:44:06	ITF Takasaki: Sohyun Park vs Rina Saigo	Rina Saigo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x742bb3…
05-22 04:09:40	CSyD Macará vs. Club Alianza Atlético: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd5fa60…
05-21 20:07:49	Nexus FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x40fe23…
05-21 17:50:59	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4c4511…
05-21 14:24:57	Internationaux de Strasbourg (Doubles): Joint/Perez vs Eikeri/Gleason	Eikeri/Gleason	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xef9f3b…
05-20 21:53:21	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5b0412…
05-20 21:22:36	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	August Holmgren	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x95ec33…
05-20 21:17:34	Hamburg European Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex de Minaur	Alex de Minaur	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2a135b…
05-20 19:13:54	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x89988b…
05-20 11:43:37	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Ugo Blanchet vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz	Pablo Llamas Ruiz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x072430…
05-20 09:47:41	First Blood in Game 1?	T1	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2eea62…
05-20 04:04:51	Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 170.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf402cf…
05-19 20:50:08	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xacaf77…
05-19 20:02:47	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Emilio Nava vs Yunchaokete Bu	Emilio Nava	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf26d47…
05-19 14:12:05	GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Sada Nahimana vs Ajla Tomljanovic	Sada Nahimana	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x73eda2…
05-19 14:01:13	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Jaime Faria vs Grigor Dimitrov	Jaime Faria	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfedf47…
05-19 13:29:16	ITF Tsaghkadzor: Mirjana Jovanovic vs Armine Yesaian	Armine Yesaian	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa9f030…
05-19 13:12:27	KBO: LG Twins vs. Kia Tigers	Kia Tigers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x65512b…
05-19 12:52:31	KBO: NC Dinos vs. Doosan Bears	Doosan Bears	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfe2121…
05-19 12:07:45	Bengaluru 3: S D Prajwal Dev vs Ilya Ivashka	Ilya Ivashka	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6e7d84…
05-18 23:04:31	Will Ederson be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe4a3d2…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Cute-Opossum 0xf3ce…edc5	760	$19.4K	793	06-06 23:10
Silent-Fledgling 0xe141…9926	751	$7.65K	770	06-09 17:38
Dreary-Kinase 0x151f…8a8d	746	$3.81K	770	06-09 17:38
Memorable-Cost 0x441e…adf9	746	$3.79K	764	06-08 21:37
Adolescent-Altar 0xaf9f…872c	744	$37.8K	807	06-09 17:38
Silly-Conga 0xed79…bb9a	741	$7.55K	766	06-09 17:38
Frigid-Meteorology 0x7970…3710	732	$18.7K	767	06-08 21:55
Bleak-Harvester 0x60a2…0148	731	$3.72K	750	06-09 17:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-09 07:09
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-04 04:48
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-23 13:54
Valorant: Asterisk vs No Salary Peek (BO3) - VCL South Asia: Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
wta masarov osuigwe 2026 02 25 set handicap home 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-19 05:17
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	4	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-24 17:22
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-25 15:23
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-31 04:00
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 17:13
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 20:57
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:53
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:33
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-24 20:12
cs2 k271 100t 2026 04 03 game1	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-03 13:14
highest temperature in amsterdam on april 8 2026 15corhigher	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-08 11:25
arg bar cas 2026 04 02 total 2pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-02 20:53
Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangers	1	$10	10	0	+10	Texas Rangers	+$0	05-10 21:19
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on April 25?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-25 07:07
nba min den 2026 04 18	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-18 23:04
Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 17, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-16 14:34
atp shevche turcanu 2026 03 30 first set winner Shevchenko vs Turcanu	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-31 08:57
wta avanesy garcia 2026 04 07	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-07 15:07
lol gx fnc 2026 03 28 game handicap away 1pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-28 17:21
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on April 25?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-26 04:10
atp schwaer samuel 2026 04 10 first set winner Schwaerzler vs Samuel	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-10 12:04
mlb sf cin 2026 04 16 spread away 2pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-16 19:13