Realized P&L
-$18
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
1.9%
Resolved
5
Trades
2,747
lifetime
Volume
$7.18K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$54
18 positions
First seen
2026-02-19
last 06-19 11:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
80%
Politics
10% 100% +$1
Crypto
5% 0% $-5
Sports
4% 0% $-15
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes -51 $-9 22¢ $-11 $-2 05-30 16:03
Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +6 $5 99¢ $6 +$1 06-18 14:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +6 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 06-18 14:34
Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +7 $5 70¢ $5 +$0 06-18 14:34
Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +6 $5 76¢ $5 $-0 06-18 14:34
Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +6 $5 86¢ $5 $-0 06-18 14:34
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No +7 $5 57¢ $4 $-1 06-18 14:34
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? Yes +6 $5 48¢ $3 $-2 06-18 14:36
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +8 $5 42¢ $3 $-2 06-18 14:34
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +5 $4 48¢ $2 $-1 06-18 14:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -15 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-05 18:47
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027? Yes -6 $-0 12¢ $-1 $-0 06-18 06:40
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -17 $-2 $-1 +$1 05-28 17:00
Anduril IPO before 2027? Yes -5 $-1 12¢ $-1 $-0 06-18 06:40
Human moon landing in 2026? Yes -17 $-1 $-0 +$0 06-18 06:40
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -11 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-18 06:40
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-18 06:39
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? Yes -11 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-18 06:39