Informal-Ceramics — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$274

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.9%

Resolved

299

Trades

351

lifetime

Volume

$3.38K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 05-09 14:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

98% 62% -$266

Crypto

2% 75% -$8

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-09).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on April 30?	1	$21	26	+26	No	+$5	04-28 22:38
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on April 30?	1	$21	26	+26	No	+$5	04-28 22:38
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on April 30?	1	$21	29	+29	No	+$8	04-28 22:38
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on April 30?	1	$21	31	+31	Yes	-$21	04-28 22:38
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on April 30?	1	$21	25	+25	No	+$4	04-28 22:38
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on April 30?	1	$21	31	+31	Yes	-$21	04-28 22:38
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 30?	1	$21	28	+28	No	+$7	04-28 22:38
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on April 30?	1	$21	25	+25	Yes	-$21	04-28 22:38
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on April 30?	1	$21	30	+30	No	+$9	04-28 22:38
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on April 30?	1	$21	28	+28	No	+$7	04-28 22:38
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on April 30?	1	$21	32	+32	No	+$11	04-28 22:38
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on April 30?	1	$21	24	+24	No	+$3	04-28 22:38
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on April 30?	1	$21	27	+27	No	+$6	04-28 22:38
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on April 30?	1	$21	30	+30	No	+$9	04-28 22:38
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 30?	1	$21	30	+30	Yes	-$21	04-28 22:38
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on April 30?	1	$21	27	+27	No	+$6	04-28 22:38
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 44-45°F on April 30?	1	$21	25	+25	No	+$4	04-28 22:38
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on April 30?	1	$21	28	+28	No	+$7	04-28 22:38
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on April 30?	1	$21	29	+29	Yes	-$21	04-28 22:38
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on April 30?	1	$21	26	+26	No	+$5	04-28 22:38
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on April 30?	1	$21	26	+26	No	+$5	04-28 22:38
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 30?	1	$21	28	+28	Yes	-$21	04-28 22:38
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 42-43°F on April 30?	1	$21	27	+27	No	+$6	04-28 22:38
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 30?	1	$21	25	+25	No	+$4	04-28 22:38
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on April 30?	1	$21	27	+27	No	+$6	04-28 22:38
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 30?	1	$21	26	+26	No	+$5	04-28 22:38
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on April 30?	1	$21	24	+24	No	+$3	04-28 22:38
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on April 30?	1	$21	26	+26	No	+$5	04-28 22:38
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on April 30?	1	$21	24	+24	No	+$3	04-28 22:38
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on April 30?	1	$21	26	+26	Yes	-$21	04-28 22:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 14:52:03	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 68°F or higher on May 11?	No	BUY	105	2¢	$2	0x149002…
05-08 09:49:43	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 74°F or higher on May 10?	No	BUY	77	3¢	$2	0x7bbfd3…
05-07 19:45:03	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on May 7?	No	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x0b9e30…
05-07 15:51:15	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on May 7?	No	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x0cf19f…
05-07 15:36:12	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 74°F or higher on May 9?	No	BUY	262	1¢	$2	0x95b075…
05-07 13:51:22	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on May 7?	No	SELL	14	4¢	$1	0xc527cd…
05-07 13:10:22	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 7?	No	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0xbe2b18…
05-07 13:09:45	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on May 7?	No	SELL	13	26¢	$3	0x735a58…
05-07 09:31:49	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 72°F or higher on May 9?	No	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xa5820e…
05-07 09:31:47	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on May 9?	No	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0xd1db86…
05-07 09:31:47	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C or higher on May 9?	No	BUY	236	1¢	$2	0xb2de39…
05-07 09:31:47	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 44°F or higher on May 9?	No	BUY	290	1¢	$2	0x4e8332…
05-07 00:58:57	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 6?	No	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0xcbdb62…
05-06 16:32:11	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 6?	No	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0x99d2b0…
05-06 16:31:37	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 6?	No	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0x178a1c…
05-06 16:30:52	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on May 6?	No	SELL	14	34¢	$5	0xb7a778…
05-06 15:22:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 8?	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x91144d…
05-06 15:22:35	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 8?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x7a179d…
05-06 15:22:35	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 8?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x103b06…
05-06 15:22:33	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 8?	No	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0x91c444…
05-06 15:22:33	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on May 8?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x09f7b5…
05-06 14:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xd4e3cf…
05-06 13:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x08a208…
05-06 13:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x41c0bd…
05-06 11:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x45198e…
05-06 09:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x23d95b…
05-06 09:16:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on May 8?	No	BUY	13	82¢	$11	0x9f7cfd…
05-06 09:16:52	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on May 8?	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x29db99…
05-06 09:16:52	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on May 8?	No	BUY	14	77¢	$11	0x25793c…
05-06 09:16:50	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 8?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$11	0xa95581…
05-06 09:16:50	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 8?	No	BUY	13	79¢	$11	0x38b9dd…
05-06 09:16:48	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on May 8?	No	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0xffe1c0…
05-06 09:16:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 8?	No	BUY	14	77¢	$11	0x3f2700…
05-06 09:16:46	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on May 8?	No	BUY	15	69¢	$11	0xc25e81…
05-06 09:16:46	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on May 8?	No	BUY	14	77¢	$11	0x66ac80…
05-06 09:16:44	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on May 8?	No	BUY	15	69¢	$11	0x828038…
05-06 09:16:44	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on May 8?	No	BUY	14	74¢	$11	0x1ad7be…
05-06 09:15:18	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 42°F or higher on May 8?	No	BUY	203	1¢	$2	0x70e783…
05-06 08:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x90c652…
05-06 04:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa90d00…
05-06 03:11:12	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on May 7?	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x49e660…
05-05 21:05:10	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 7?	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x1981b3…
05-05 18:38:40	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on May 7?	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x8f7ae6…
05-05 18:38:40	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 7?	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x28ba13…
05-05 18:38:38	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on May 7?	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x192ad5…
05-05 12:32:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 7?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xd8bb85…
05-05 12:32:10	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 7?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x59aae8…
05-05 12:32:08	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on May 7?	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xc2d989…
05-05 12:32:08	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on May 7?	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xb54aaf…
05-05 06:26:42	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on May 7?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xb9290e…
05-05 06:26:42	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on May 7?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x858e71…
05-05 06:26:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on May 7?	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x2bcadb…
05-05 06:26:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 7?	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x100e48…
05-05 06:26:38	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on May 7?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x7b9ca8…
05-05 06:26:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 7?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x093d70…
05-05 06:26:36	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on May 7?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xeb7ebd…
05-05 06:26:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 7?	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x92f738…
05-05 06:26:36	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 7?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x4f4626…
05-05 06:26:34	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on May 7?	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x5cb24e…
05-05 06:26:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 7?	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x359239…
05-05 06:26:32	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on May 7?	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x5ea530…
05-05 00:21:28	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 6?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x38650b…
05-05 00:21:26	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 6?	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x90c7ab…
05-05 00:21:26	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on May 6?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x29622d…
05-05 00:21:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 6?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x401942…
05-04 18:16:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on May 6?	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xbc6e5b…
05-04 18:16:04	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 6?	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x691ed4…
05-04 18:16:02	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 6?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xc6814c…
05-04 18:16:02	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on May 6?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x0ec674…
05-04 18:16:00	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on May 6?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x9c8855…
05-04 18:16:00	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 6?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x2a7a55…
05-04 18:15:58	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 6?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xa8c1d2…
05-04 18:15:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 6?	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x72242b…
05-04 18:15:56	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 6?	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xdb5a39…
05-04 18:15:56	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 31°C on May 6?	No	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0xadcc59…
05-04 18:15:54	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on May 6?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xfdb2fd…
05-04 18:15:54	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on May 6?	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x1c7b66…
05-04 17:48:12	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 4?	No	SELL	14	33¢	$5	0xaa6509…
05-04 14:15:02	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 20°C on May 4?	No	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x7437d7…
05-04 14:14:24	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on May 4?	No	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0xf86294…
05-04 12:08:02	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on May 5?	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xc8c247…
05-04 06:02:20	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 34°C on May 5?	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xf7b264…
05-03 23:54:46	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 5?	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x7c6185…
05-03 23:54:46	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on May 5?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x0c9f2e…
05-03 23:54:44	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on May 5?	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x70e57b…
05-03 21:37:58	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 3?	No	SELL	12	33¢	$4	0x5affa9…
05-03 21:32:44	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 3?	No	SELL	14	34¢	$5	0x2c16d9…
05-03 19:43:58	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 3?	No	SELL	14	21¢	$3	0xe5b79c…
05-03 19:43:28	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on May 3?	No	SELL	14	18¢	$2	0x5e834d…
05-03 17:49:32	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 5?	No	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0xbc11f1…
05-03 17:49:32	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on May 5?	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x8c8d10…
05-03 17:49:30	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 5?	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xb85aa3…
05-03 17:49:30	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on May 5?	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x987bd3…
05-03 17:49:30	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on May 5?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x07d8ff…
05-03 17:36:54	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on May 3?	No	SELL	14	26¢	$4	0x47f82c…
05-03 15:48:14	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on May 3?	No	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x65dea4…
05-03 15:46:02	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 34°C on May 3?	No	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0xa4da6f…
05-03 15:45:38	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C on May 3?	No	SELL	16	0¢	$0	0xf8e0a8…
05-03 11:44:18	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 5?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xc0ed7c…
05-03 11:44:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on May 5?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x478b06…