Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on May 8?
open
Total volume
$148
$929 in 24h
Trades
30
Unique wallets
26
Liquidity
$269
Latest YES mid
30¢
Latest NO mid
70¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-08 06:45
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 26 | $39 | $78 | $39 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $5 | $18 | $13 |
| Median | 5 | $7 | $12 | $5 |
| Below median | 9 | $18 | $21 | $3 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $2 | $2 | +$0 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 2 | $6 | $20 | $13 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All-Cranberry 0x8bc9…c353 | Yes | +31 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-07 12:05 |
| Profuse-Offset 0x3412…e651 | No | +28 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-08 04:39 |
| Deadly-Safety 0x717f…3fb1 | Yes | +20 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-08 03:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x8b18…bd24 | No | +19 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-08 04:53 |
| Cylindrical-Auto 0x0296…ad01 | Yes | +19 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-08 06:10 |
| Weekly-Bolero 0x0619…0379 | No | +15 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-08 05:28 |
| Agitated-Vision 0xfc0b…a782 | Yes | +14 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 05-08 06:45 |
| Spotted-Sand 0x1048…e362 | Yes | +11 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-08 05:37 |
| Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-08 04:33 |
| Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 04:47 |
| Astonishing-Mask 0x7630…789d | Yes | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-08 05:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x7903…57f6 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-06 15:55 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 06:30 |
| Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 05:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xcbeb…8f32 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 18:53 |
| Hollow-Commitment 0x11a4…f434 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-07 12:14 |
| Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-08 04:43 |
| Posh-Mess 0x2467…2650 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-08 06:29 |
| Wise-Bloom 0xe829…4cfc | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 18:03 |
| Alarmed-Appliance 0x26d4…0a37 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-08 04:57 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 18:01 |
| Noted-Mechanic 0x1828…6946 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 04:10 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 06:45:21 | Agitated-Vision 0xfc0b…a782 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x61c70f… |
| 05-08 06:40:01 | Agitated-Vision 0xfc0b…a782 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x3b9ce3… |
| 05-08 06:39:19 | Agitated-Vision 0xfc0b…a782 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x75000c… |
| 05-08 06:30:18 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 7 | 70¢ | $5 | 0x6c1bad… |
| 05-08 06:29:22 | Posh-Mess 0x2467…2650 | No | BUY | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0x4fce44… |
| 05-08 06:10:31 | Cylindrical-Auto 0x0296…ad01 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 37¢ | $7 | 0x2f553b… |
| 05-08 06:04:41 | Made-Up-Ingredient 0xb26d…73f7 | No | SELL | 22 | 63¢ | $14 | 0xd6ad1a… |
| 05-08 05:58:16 | Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x7c12c3… |
| 05-08 05:37:32 | Spotted-Sand 0x1048…e362 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 34¢ | $4 | 0x066f65… |
| 05-08 05:37:29 | Astonishing-Mask 0x7630…789d | Yes | BUY | 8 | 33¢ | $3 | 0x3adc58… |
| 05-08 05:28:24 | Weekly-Bolero 0x0619…0379 | No | BUY | 15 | 71¢ | $11 | 0x9e23ca… |
| 05-08 05:28:21 | Another-Journey 0xe752…2200 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x0baafa… |
| 05-08 04:57:17 | Another-Journey 0xe752…2200 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x42f419… |
| 05-08 04:57:14 | Alarmed-Appliance 0x26d4…0a37 | No | BUY | 4 | 80¢ | $3 | 0xdb00f8… |
| 05-08 04:53:51 | (anonymous) 0x8b18…bd24 | No | BUY | 19 | 78¢ | $15 | 0xbb335c… |
| 05-08 04:47:33 | Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | Yes | BUY | 8 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x2892bd… |
| 05-08 04:43:59 | Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | No | BUY | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0x4e91b1… |
| 05-08 04:39:05 | Profuse-Offset 0x3412…e651 | No | BUY | 28 | 70¢ | $20 | 0xa789ad… |
| 05-08 04:33:43 | Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | No | BUY | 10 | 70¢ | $7 | 0x7ec82c… |
| 05-08 04:10:41 | Noted-Mechanic 0x1828…6946 | No | BUY | 3 | 70¢ | $2 | 0xed8ed4… |
| 05-08 03:46:46 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Manicure 0xfe61…e9c2 | No | SELL | 4 | 66¢ | $2 | 0x3fd830… |
| 05-08 03:46:14 | (anonymous) 0xf908…6718 | No | SELL | 2 | 67¢ | $1 | 0x67f8b5… |
| 05-08 03:46:11 | Teeming-Precedence 0xfd8e…aea4 | No | SELL | 10 | 67¢ | $7 | 0x4870e8… |
| 05-08 03:02:19 | Deadly-Safety 0x717f…3fb1 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 32¢ | $6 | 0xdd581b… |
| 05-07 18:01:02 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | Yes | BUY | 4 | 30¢ | $1 | 0x0bb322… |
| 05-07 12:14:09 | Hollow-Commitment 0x11a4…f434 | No | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0x167b97… |
| 05-07 12:05:52 | All-Cranberry 0x8bc9…c353 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 30¢ | $9 | 0x0e59bb… |
| 05-06 18:53:10 | (anonymous) 0xcbeb…8f32 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0xbf0f17… |
| 05-06 18:03:26 | Wise-Bloom 0xe829…4cfc | Yes | BUY | 4 | 34¢ | $1 | 0x4c89e6… |
| 05-06 15:55:36 | (anonymous) 0x7903…57f6 | No | BUY | 7 | 74¢ | $5 | 0xf8e233… |