Pitiful-Bet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

11.2%

Resolved

229

Trades

498

lifetime

Volume

$487

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 08-01 06:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 115 days

Categories

Other

44% 9% -$2

Politics

31% 12% -$2

Crypto

16% 32% -$2

Tech

5% 8% $0

Pop-Culture

2% 0% $0

Sports

2% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	6	$6	3	3	-0	No	$0	06-03 02:42
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-26 03:19
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	05-21 03:06
will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-22 03:11
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-17 03:10
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-02 02:39
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-01 02:09
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	03-28 02:47
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	04-30 02:42
nothing ever happens microstrategy	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	02-20 07:05
Will Hannah Harper win American Idol Season 24?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	05-12 03:08
will us gdp growth in 2025 be between 2pt0 and 2pt5	3	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$0	01-15 08:50
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in May?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	05-07 01:18
P2P FDV above $5M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-02 01:58
will openai have the best ai model for math on march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	03-27 06:27
will france strike iran by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	03-27 06:29
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	07-31 03:12
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	03-28 02:47
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	04-30 02:47
ZywOo	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	05-04 01:33
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-02 02:00
will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	07-27 02:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$0	05-21 03:08
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	$0	05-11 01:55
will wti reach 115 in july 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	$0	07-18 03:46
bitcoin above 70k on march 18	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$0	03-18 02:19
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	$0	05-23 02:33
Will Tunisia recognize Israel by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	$0	06-22 03:03
Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$0	05-07 01:16
Over $2M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-29 01:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 06:55:14	foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x7f9d7a…
08-01 06:49:15	foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xa5f4f6…
07-31 03:25:02	GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb5b2fb…
07-31 03:22:20	GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcae453…
07-31 03:12:20	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xeeb1fb…
07-31 02:59:14	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcac219…
07-30 06:06:26	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xb216ad…
07-30 04:13:35	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb13d66…
07-30 03:41:44	Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xe4f4bc…
07-30 03:06:12	Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd2e74f…
07-29 04:48:47	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xaf38e0…
07-29 04:30:41	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe482e4…
07-29 04:24:36	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x271476…
07-29 04:16:39	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8593b9…
07-28 04:14:10	will xauusd dip to 3900 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xdc999b…
07-28 03:35:21	will xauusd dip to 3900 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x149cfd…
07-28 03:32:07	iran military action against a gulf state on july 26 20260708212322951	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5f4b38…
07-28 03:23:04	iran military action against a gulf state on july 26 20260708212322951	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xeec16e…
07-27 02:53:07	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x01bdde…
07-27 02:43:13	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x71bd3d…
07-27 02:39:31	andrew tate released from custody by july 31 2026 20260719025109263	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x1676a1…
07-27 02:34:03	andrew tate released from custody by july 31 2026 20260719025109263	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2a66c7…
07-25 04:22:19	will the highest score achieved by an openai model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 70 or higher 20260723225144067	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xf6bc1f…
07-25 04:09:22	will the highest score achieved by an openai model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 70 or higher 20260723225144067	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x424379…
07-25 03:51:04	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 90 or higher 20260723190142929	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x4aa7d7…
07-25 03:37:25	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 90 or higher 20260723190142929	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xfad7f8…
07-24 04:02:07	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x1e8d6a…
07-24 03:50:46	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe7f036…
07-24 03:42:00	israel closes its airspace by july 24	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x3f9c0a…
07-24 03:22:27	israel closes its airspace by july 24	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x024d49…
07-23 03:13:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x8c5f00…
07-23 03:04:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xfca2a2…
07-23 03:02:15	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5a9d23…
07-23 02:57:19	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0f4083…
07-22 03:11:01	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xdd9a4e…
07-22 03:03:24	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4f9860…
07-22 02:58:03	Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in July?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xcb40f1…
07-22 02:49:49	Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in July?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1a3520…
07-21 02:58:30	will xauusd dip to 3700 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xbe21e7…
07-21 02:52:30	will xauusd dip to 3700 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf09529…
07-21 02:48:07	will james murray be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533212	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6a1e6d…
07-21 02:36:18	will james murray be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533212	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x681310…
07-20 04:52:33	will russia enter serhiivka by july 31	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x36876e…
07-20 04:38:40	will russia enter serhiivka by july 31	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2c23fe…
07-20 04:34:15	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x78d4b0…
07-20 04:21:13	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa18142…
07-18 04:34:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x63cd99…
07-18 04:25:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x5fa6ff…
07-18 04:00:55	Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x0e5619…
07-18 03:52:39	Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x3a7632…
07-18 03:46:04	will wti reach 115 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2e2015…
07-18 03:23:55	will wti reach 115 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x73e0e7…
07-17 03:10:58	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x39767c…
07-17 02:57:34	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x121a20…
07-17 02:51:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x786bb4…
07-17 02:44:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x536f3d…
07-16 02:59:50	Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xeed6ce…
07-16 02:40:47	Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xa2011e…
07-16 02:37:28	Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x959c29…
07-16 02:30:44	Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xb1189e…
07-15 02:53:07	iran successfully targets shipping on july 12	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xde0311…
07-15 02:45:19	iran successfully targets shipping on july 12	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x91ba10…
07-15 02:39:26	over 95m committed to the credible public sale	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd4c96b…
07-15 02:28:52	over 95m committed to the credible public sale	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0b16ff…
07-14 03:58:10	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x27f61a…
07-14 03:53:52	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3a2237…
07-14 03:49:58	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa57a98…
07-14 03:30:31	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xde43ed…
07-13 03:38:32	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd1c81a…
07-13 03:28:22	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xca5295…
07-13 03:25:41	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xe1fd75…
07-13 03:17:01	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x157f62…
07-11 03:08:37	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0e1b43…
07-11 03:01:49	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa47f6e…
07-11 02:55:44	iran commits not to attack ships in hormuz by sunday 20260710215434348	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x8a9c69…
07-11 02:47:40	iran commits not to attack ships in hormuz by sunday 20260710215434348	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xae5056…
07-10 03:36:28	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xef0cea…
07-10 03:13:22	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1fba3e…
07-10 03:09:04	will bank of america bac q2 provision for credit losses be above 1pt6b	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x6610da…
07-10 03:07:38	will bank of america bac q2 provision for credit losses be above 1pt6b	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8a6719…
07-09 03:12:50	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8a73da…
07-09 02:48:29	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x05ab58…
07-09 02:46:16	Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x8d6bc0…
07-09 02:39:08	Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb196ea…
07-08 03:20:40	Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xac4638…
07-08 03:16:29	Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x45cd43…
07-08 03:10:14	will graham platner drop out by july 31 281 424 921	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x3c10a5…
07-08 02:35:40	will graham platner drop out by july 31 281 424 921	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2def09…
07-07 03:51:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x62f92e…
07-07 03:33:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xed48c3…
07-07 03:24:02	iran successfully targets shipping on july 8 20260625225210249	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x2e0437…
07-07 03:16:34	iran successfully targets shipping on july 8 20260625225210249	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x2a889d…
07-06 03:09:41	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x3f19d4…
07-06 02:59:38	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x65df25…
07-06 02:56:28	Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1d1436…
07-06 02:47:41	Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe9b5fa…
07-04 02:54:40	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534 577	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2a9d79…
07-04 02:36:25	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534 577	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x767987…
07-04 02:34:16	iran successfully targets shipping on july 5 20260625225210246	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x52a8fd…
07-04 02:20:40	iran successfully targets shipping on july 5 20260625225210246	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfe8c5b…