Pitiful-Bet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.4%

Resolved

Trades

323

lifetime

Volume

$315

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 07-07 03:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

38% 100% +$0

Politics

33% 0% $-0

Crypto

21% 50% +$0

Tech

4% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-26 03:19
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-02 02:39
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-01 02:09
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-28 02:47
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-30 02:42
nothing ever happens microstrategy	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-20 07:05
will us gdp growth in 2025 be between 2pt0 and 2pt5	3	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	01-15 08:50
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in May?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	05-07 01:18
P2P FDV above $5M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-02 01:58
will openai have the best ai model for math on march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 06:27
will france strike iran by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 06:29
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-28 02:47
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-30 02:47
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-02 02:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-21 03:08
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-02 02:10
bitcoin above 70k on march 18	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-18 02:19
Will Tunisia recognize Israel by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-22 03:03
Over $2M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-29 01:43
spx opens up or down on february 18 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-18 09:26
iran successfully targets shipping on july 5 20260625225210246	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-04 02:34
over 100m committed to the laso finance public sale	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-02 02:55
starmer out by october 31 2026 896 929 365 346 935	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-21 03:23
will the march 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt2	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 01:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-04 01:32
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-06 03:29
will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-10 01:32
bitcoin above 64k on april 7	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-07 01:30
will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-12 02:38
bitcoin above 72k on march 17	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-17 01:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 03:10:14	will graham platner drop out by july 31 281 424 921	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x3c10a5…
07-08 02:35:40	will graham platner drop out by july 31 281 424 921	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2def09…
07-07 03:51:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x62f92e…
07-07 03:33:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xed48c3…
07-07 03:24:02	iran successfully targets shipping on july 8 20260625225210249	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x2e0437…
07-07 03:16:34	iran successfully targets shipping on july 8 20260625225210249	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x2a889d…
07-06 03:09:41	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x3f19d4…
07-06 02:59:38	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x65df25…
07-04 02:54:40	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534 577	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2a9d79…
07-04 02:36:25	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534 577	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x767987…
07-04 02:34:16	iran successfully targets shipping on july 5 20260625225210246	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x52a8fd…
07-04 02:20:40	iran successfully targets shipping on july 5 20260625225210246	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfe8c5b…
07-02 02:55:05	over 100m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xd380a1…
07-02 02:45:32	over 100m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x23d111…
07-02 02:39:59	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x232c36…
07-02 02:32:34	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7b0844…
07-01 02:21:38	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 29 july 5 2026	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xe25199…
07-01 02:13:35	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x0fda84…
07-01 02:09:26	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x602952…
07-01 01:56:01	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x1b0131…
06-30 02:52:01	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xe9c83c…
06-30 02:44:17	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x51ae1e…
06-30 02:41:11	will steve witkoff attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204726	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x49b009…
06-30 02:35:04	will steve witkoff attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204726	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd9d863…
06-29 04:27:47	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x594330…
06-29 04:12:28	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xfae459…
06-29 04:08:16	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x294a7b…
06-29 03:45:11	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xb0c104…
06-27 02:34:17	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xee8b27…
06-27 02:20:10	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x842bd1…
06-27 02:16:05	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x2d4d16…
06-27 02:09:43	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd297d2…
06-26 04:13:10	will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf35033…
06-26 03:44:50	will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x338c0f…
06-26 03:19:10	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xc7b46f…
06-26 03:09:37	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xba9e3b…
06-25 03:50:50	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x4761fb…
06-25 03:42:56	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7d4818…
06-25 03:38:04	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x750e74…
06-25 03:35:41	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xd1146d…
06-24 03:45:11	jd vance out as vp by december 31	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x740adf…
06-24 03:44:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 26 2026 20260622191708358	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb47dcd…
06-24 03:37:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 26 2026 20260622191708358	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xab4884…
06-24 03:32:01	jd vance out as vp by december 31	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x6f67fb…
06-23 02:48:26	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x38710b…
06-23 02:46:35	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x5e4241…
06-23 02:30:25	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x233ef8…
06-23 02:25:44	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x85197e…
06-22 03:04:17	will saudi arabia be a party to the us x iran memorandum of understanding 20260611230522909	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa9920e…
06-22 03:03:05	Will Tunisia recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6939cb…
06-22 02:45:43	will saudi arabia be a party to the us x iran memorandum of understanding 20260611230522909	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7dcd69…
06-22 02:40:08	Will Tunisia recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa9c455…
06-21 03:23:32	starmer out by october 31 2026 896 929 365 346 935	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa9fabd…
06-21 03:14:25	starmer out by october 31 2026 896 929 365 346 935	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xfd7f55…
06-18 02:59:41	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xb52a58…
06-18 02:57:31	will trump speak to reza pahlavi in june	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x286d48…
06-18 02:46:50	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xdbe8a9…
06-18 02:39:59	will trump speak to reza pahlavi in june	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd9fa32…
06-17 03:01:12	will wti crude oil wti hit low 75 in june 987	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x88e2f0…
06-17 02:52:45	will wti crude oil wti hit low 75 in june 987	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe6121e…
06-17 02:49:15	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x61e45b…
06-17 02:37:06	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x93474c…
06-16 02:46:06	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x954767…
06-16 02:38:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x410b11…
06-16 02:24:34	will cap launch a token by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x81712e…
06-15 03:05:42	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xacc6ca…
06-15 02:43:13	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdd8946…
06-12 03:52:18	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x81f32e…
06-12 03:43:31	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x35bd51…
06-12 03:40:24	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd14d95…
06-12 03:25:18	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcc0b8a…
06-11 03:07:27	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0xefda13…
06-11 03:05:42	will the bitcoin volatility index dip to 35 by june 30	No	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0x10b8b3…
06-09 01:36:21	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xd9ae02…
06-09 01:30:19	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x7bd081…
06-09 01:29:33	Will Rabby launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x812003…
06-09 01:18:33	Will Rabby launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x10202d…
06-06 03:29:03	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xbeee3a…
06-06 03:23:43	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1bc40b…
06-06 03:18:55	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xc6d0a3…
06-06 03:03:04	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xebd917…
06-04 02:41:30	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x5d6d1f…
06-04 02:14:43	will the bitcoin volatility index dip to 35 by june 30	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x9f5312…
06-04 02:06:19	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xfb26ed…
06-02 02:10:47	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd8214a…
06-02 02:05:25	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf2f768…
06-02 01:56:35	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on June 2?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0eda2f…
06-01 02:58:34	Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in June 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x13dba5…
06-01 02:28:05	Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in June 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x6d32b1…
05-30 02:31:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1e3f01…
05-30 02:08:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x30faa2…
05-29 02:09:22	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 May 25-31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xfac4df…
05-29 02:06:48	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x57936f…
05-29 01:55:28	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 May 25-31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5a449c…
05-29 01:49:39	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x973f78…
05-28 03:29:41	James Comey charges dropped by July 31?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xf5688d…
05-28 03:20:38	James Comey charges dropped by July 31?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x191df4…
05-25 02:47:46	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6b7ec8…
05-25 02:38:47	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf44d7e…
05-21 03:08:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x75bd04…