Pitiful-Bet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

50.4%

Resolved

Trades

258

lifetime

Volume

$251

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-12 03:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

40% 100% +$0

Politics

29% 0% $-0

Crypto

22% 50% +$0

Tech

4% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	Yes		-1	$-0	52¢	$-1	$-0	06-11 03:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-28 02:47
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-30 02:42
nothing ever happens microstrategy	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-20 07:05
will us gdp growth in 2025 be between 2pt0 and 2pt5	3	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	01-15 08:50
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in May?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	05-07 01:18
P2P FDV above $5M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-02 01:58
will openai have the best ai model for math on march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 06:27
will france strike iran by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 06:29
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-28 02:47
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-30 02:47
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-02 02:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-21 03:08
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-02 02:10
bitcoin above 70k on march 18	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-18 02:19
Over $2M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-29 01:43
spx opens up or down on february 18 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-18 09:26
will the march 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt2	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 01:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-04 01:32
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-06 03:29
will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-10 01:32
bitcoin above 64k on april 7	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-07 01:30
will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-12 02:38
bitcoin above 72k on march 17	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-17 01:55
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 01:33
military action against iran ends on march 19 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-14 01:26
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-29 02:06
will the mongolz win blast open rotterdam 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-12 02:39
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-06 03:18
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-05 02:00
Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	01-08 08:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 03:52:18	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x81f32e…
06-12 03:43:31	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x35bd51…
06-12 03:40:24	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd14d95…
06-12 03:25:18	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcc0b8a…
06-11 03:07:27	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0xefda13…
06-11 03:05:42	will the bitcoin volatility index dip to 35 by june 30	No	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0x10b8b3…
06-09 01:36:21	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xd9ae02…
06-09 01:30:19	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x7bd081…
06-09 01:29:33	Will Rabby launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x812003…
06-09 01:18:33	Will Rabby launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x10202d…
06-06 03:29:03	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xbeee3a…
06-06 03:23:43	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1bc40b…
06-06 03:18:55	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xc6d0a3…
06-06 03:03:04	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xebd917…
06-04 02:41:30	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x5d6d1f…
06-04 02:14:43	will the bitcoin volatility index dip to 35 by june 30	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x9f5312…
06-04 02:06:19	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xfb26ed…
06-02 02:10:47	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd8214a…
06-02 02:05:25	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf2f768…
06-02 01:56:35	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on June 2?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0eda2f…
06-01 02:58:34	Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in June 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x13dba5…
06-01 02:28:05	Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in June 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x6d32b1…
05-30 02:31:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1e3f01…
05-30 02:08:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x30faa2…
05-29 02:09:22	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 May 25-31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xfac4df…
05-29 02:06:48	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x57936f…
05-29 01:55:28	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 May 25-31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5a449c…
05-29 01:49:39	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x973f78…
05-28 03:29:41	James Comey charges dropped by July 31?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xf5688d…
05-28 03:20:38	James Comey charges dropped by July 31?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x191df4…
05-25 02:47:46	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6b7ec8…
05-25 02:38:47	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf44d7e…
05-21 03:08:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x75bd04…
05-21 02:56:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x090355…
05-19 02:31:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x6c759b…
05-19 01:54:10	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xd4cd23…
05-18 03:53:16	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x56d526…
05-18 03:49:52	Will Trump announce the release of detained Americans?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xeec871…
05-18 03:36:51	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd51943…
05-18 03:34:42	Will Trump announce the release of detained Americans?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x3ceaa7…
05-15 02:43:34	Will Drake feature Sexyy Red on ICEMAN?	Yes	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x5b8dd9…
05-15 02:36:19	Will Drake feature Sexyy Red on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x74a5a3…
05-14 02:28:16	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x45bb0a…
05-14 02:17:29	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x429475…
05-11 01:57:20	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 in May?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x6125c3…
05-11 01:47:01	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 in May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb079ff…
05-09 01:24:14	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xe747de…
05-09 01:11:27	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x04cf32…
05-08 02:42:27	Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x88ab32…
05-08 02:40:35	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xab3014…
05-08 02:35:01	Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x9dc25c…
05-08 02:31:52	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbd8fbb…
05-07 01:18:21	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf67858…
05-07 01:09:51	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x50441c…
05-05 02:00:32	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc69139…
05-05 01:51:14	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4fd2e6…
05-04 01:32:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x87ddd8…
05-04 01:22:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa8d59d…
04-30 02:47:12	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7681ab…
04-30 02:42:36	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb8852d…
04-30 02:33:52	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x21f739…
04-30 02:29:18	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4ebc3d…
04-29 01:43:58	Over $2M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x609749…
04-29 01:40:52	Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x3aeb53…
04-29 01:34:34	Over $2M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc9e205…
04-29 01:29:28	Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbded52…
04-28 01:38:16	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xc55a56…
04-28 01:31:04	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x9cb13d…
04-27 01:29:30	Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xf823e3…
04-27 01:27:56	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x5d0c86…
04-27 01:21:20	Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x86e1bc…
04-27 01:15:30	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x767c15…
04-25 01:46:16	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x07cbfe…
04-25 01:43:42	Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe58c81…
04-25 01:32:10	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x4f93fe…
04-25 01:28:58	Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4a6463…
04-24 01:38:12	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x5b6309…
04-24 01:36:58	bitcoin above 74k on april 24	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd4bcfb…
04-24 01:32:50	bitcoin above 74k on april 24	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xaae605…
04-24 01:29:46	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf6d96b…
04-23 10:04:26	Space FDV above $5M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x96b8f0…
04-23 10:03:04	Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?	Yes	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xa6b75f…
04-23 09:58:08	Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xfc786d…
04-23 09:51:46	Space FDV above $5M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x41882f…
04-22 09:51:08	OpenGradient FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x970479…
04-22 09:50:34	Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6da7d8…
04-22 09:48:12	Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe5d70d…
04-22 09:45:18	OpenGradient FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf94ee9…
04-21 01:52:26	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xe58a77…
04-21 01:49:20	bitcoin above 74k on april 21	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xbc5120…
04-21 01:42:26	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6e5fd7…
04-21 01:39:14	bitcoin above 74k on april 21	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xae9e12…
04-20 04:27:36	will progressive bulgaria pb win the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election by at least 20	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x11fe7e…
04-20 04:18:54	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 23 2026	Yes	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xd0dc78…
04-20 03:46:42	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 23 2026	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x742754…
04-20 03:42:44	will progressive bulgaria pb win the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election by at least 20	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0f197d…
04-18 02:31:16	fisa section 702 reauthorized before it expires	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x3813dd…
04-18 02:30:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xc7d01f…
04-18 02:25:44	fisa section 702 reauthorized before it expires	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x0e0b2a…
04-18 02:22:38	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xdb257a…