Timely-Ketchup — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.22K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.1%

Resolved

190

Trades

2,325

lifetime

Volume

$219.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$94

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 07-21 18:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 68% +$1,330

Politics

3% 0% $-114

Other

0% 100% +$21

Sports

0% 0% $-20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 157 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	10	$4.8K	4,593	4,593	+0	open	—	04-08 02:20
btc updown 5m 1775548800	2	$3.9K	1,969	1,965	+4	open	—	04-07 08:05
btc updown 5m 1775831400	4	$1.8K	1,270	1,240	+30	open	—	04-10 14:34
btc updown 5m 1776358200	5	$1.6K	934	919	+15	open	—	04-16 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	12	$1.5K	1,256	1,256	+0	Down	$-115	05-13 13:35
btc updown 5m 1775831700	3	$1.5K	1,557	1,045	+513	open	—	04-10 14:39
btc updown 5m 1776359400	5	$1.5K	826	813	+13	open	—	04-16 17:14
btc updown 5m 1775760600	6	$1.4K	1,186	759	+427	open	—	04-09 18:54
btc updown 5m 1775831100	2	$1.4K	772	761	+10	open	—	04-10 14:28
btc updown 5m 1776603900	4	$1.3K	906	882	+24	open	—	04-19 13:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	3	$1.3K	763	763	+0	Up	+$203	05-09 16:19
btc updown 5m 1776949500	7	$1.3K	921	897	+24	open	—	04-23 13:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	2	$1.2K	605	605	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 09:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	4	$1.2K	709	709	+0	Down	+$69	05-10 09:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	6	$1.1K	717	717	+0	Down	+$285	05-13 13:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	2	$1.1K	563	563	+0	Up	+$54	05-07 13:19
btc updown 5m 1776949800	5	$1.1K	623	615	+9	open	—	04-23 13:14
btc updown 5m 1775551200	2	$1.0K	1,636	0	+1,636	open	—	04-07 08:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	5	$1.0K	615	615	+0	Down	+$209	05-12 14:59
btc updown 5m 1775549100	1	$963	1,127	0	+1,127	open	—	04-07 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	1	$955	965	0	+965	Down	+$10	05-08 18:39
btc updown 5m 1775226900	8	$937	588	573	+16	open	—	04-03 14:40
btc updown 5m 1776343800	6	$933	946	917	+29	open	—	04-16 12:55
btc updown 5m 1775830200	2	$931	492	488	+4	open	—	04-10 14:15
btc updown 5m 1775548200	2	$930	1,996	0	+1,996	open	—	04-07 07:54
btc updown 5m 1775847300	4	$926	512	507	+5	open	—	04-10 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	7	$916	694	694	+0	open	—	05-14 08:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	1	$913	922	0	+922	Down	+$9	05-08 11:43
btc updown 5m 1776414900	4	$909	610	592	+18	open	—	04-17 08:38
btc updown 5m 1776248400	2	$896	587	570	+17	open	—	04-15 10:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 18:30:15	btc updown 5m 1784658300	Down	SELL	97	99¢	$96	0xbd62da…
07-21 18:26:15	btc updown 5m 1784658300	Down	BUY	97	62¢	$60	0x3fdefd…
07-21 18:23:12	btc updown 5m 1784658000	Down	SELL	156	10¢	$15	0x855907…
07-21 18:22:46	btc updown 5m 1784658000	Down	SELL	269	23¢	$62	0x21ed63…
07-21 18:22:09	btc updown 5m 1784658000	Down	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x23e879…
07-21 18:21:15	btc updown 5m 1784658000	Down	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x2a52bf…
07-21 18:04:37	btc updown 5m 1784656800	Up	BUY	163	25¢	$40	0x726044…
07-21 17:54:28	btc updown 5m 1784656200	Up	SELL	812	6¢	$49	0x20f97f…
07-21 17:52:22	btc updown 5m 1784656200	Up	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0x6fad38…
07-21 17:51:39	btc updown 5m 1784656200	Up	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x0c22a1…
07-21 17:51:12	btc updown 5m 1784656200	Up	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x22acc9…
07-21 17:50:48	btc updown 5m 1784656200	Up	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0xb2dbb4…
07-20 16:44:49	btc updown 5m 1784565600	Down	SELL	255	99¢	$252	0xb3f316…
07-20 16:43:37	btc updown 5m 1784565600	Down	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x48733f…
07-20 16:43:28	btc updown 5m 1784565600	Down	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0xc2b14c…
07-20 16:42:39	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x8bff87…
07-20 16:42:33	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	148	7¢	$10	0xfcecca…
07-20 16:42:33	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	153	7¢	$10	0x1b77f3…
07-19 15:58:57	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0xcda50f…
07-18 18:44:15	btc updown 5m 1784400000	Up	SELL	111	31¢	$34	0x6036de…
07-18 18:42:39	btc updown 5m 1784400000	Up	BUY	111	34¢	$37	0x4412e7…
07-18 17:44:43	btc updown 5m 1784396400	Up	SELL	482	99¢	$477	0xaee6e6…
07-18 17:42:28	btc updown 5m 1784396400	Up	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x79adf5…
07-18 17:42:15	btc updown 5m 1784396400	Up	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x4a895e…
07-18 17:42:04	btc updown 5m 1784396400	Up	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x87ac27…
07-18 09:43:06	btc updown 5m 1784367600	Down	BUY	357	28¢	$100	0x8946e8…
07-18 08:45:09	btc updown 5m 1784364300	Down	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0xb79c64…
07-18 08:09:43	btc updown 5m 1784361900	Down	SELL	724	70¢	$510	0xc02a4b…
07-18 08:08:25	btc updown 5m 1784361900	Down	BUY	356	28¢	$100	0xe8d758…
07-18 08:07:55	btc updown 5m 1784361900	Down	BUY	177	56¢	$100	0x8db7bd…
07-18 08:07:48	btc updown 5m 1784361900	Down	BUY	190	53¢	$100	0x21744b…
07-17 16:19:37	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0x46e628…
07-15 16:24:52	btc updown 5m 1784132400	Down	SELL	131	98¢	$128	0x17f9b6…
07-15 16:23:43	btc updown 5m 1784132400	Down	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x22788f…
07-15 16:23:25	btc updown 5m 1784132400	Down	BUY	85	47¢	$40	0xe3406c…
07-15 16:10:46	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	483	21¢	$100	0x260b23…
07-14 20:01:53	btc updown 5m 1784059200	Down	SELL	191	70¢	$134	0xd66cb1…
07-14 20:00:16	btc updown 5m 1784059200	Down	BUY	93	43¢	$40	0x6aa6a2…
07-14 19:59:50	btc updown 5m 1784059200	Down	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x25608c…
07-14 19:38:40	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	284	35¢	$100	0xac4762…
07-07 11:28:19	btc updown 5m 1783423500	Up	SELL	138	24¢	$33	0xe614ac…
07-07 11:27:19	btc updown 5m 1783423500	Up	BUY	138	29¢	$40	0x334546…
07-04 05:45:05	btc updown 5m 1783143600	Up	SELL	289	99¢	$286	0x0c391a…
07-04 05:42:58	btc updown 5m 1783143600	Up	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x8ccbaa…
07-04 05:41:34	btc updown 5m 1783143600	Up	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xcf58cb…
07-03 10:54:47	btc updown 5m 1783075800	Down	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x9dff82…
07-03 10:54:38	btc updown 5m 1783075800	Down	SELL	50	35¢	$18	0x13f9c4…
07-03 10:53:05	btc updown 5m 1783075800	Down	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xa28882…
05-25 08:22:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	65	86¢	$56	0x840e32…
05-24 09:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	57	99¢	$56	0x0c4dea…
05-24 09:19:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x23708d…
05-14 16:47:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	48	34¢	$16	0xad1a7a…
05-14 08:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	252	7¢	$18	0x398366…
05-14 08:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	252	55¢	$138	0x4a63f0…
05-14 08:35:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x0804c9…
05-14 08:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xdc5b07…
05-14 08:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0x1f1929…
05-14 08:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	275	36¢	$100	0x30a8a8…
05-14 08:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0x6c6b93…
05-14 08:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0x54955f…
05-14 08:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x5128e1…
05-14 08:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	140	71¢	$100	0x13300c…
05-14 08:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x1234b9…
05-14 08:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	187	54¢	$100	0x091343…
05-14 08:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	162	62¢	$100	0x8d437c…
05-14 08:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	494	95¢	$469	0xe50867…
05-14 08:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$99	0xc96a3b…
05-14 08:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xf37ce9…
05-14 08:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	200	49¢	$98	0x7f1a8f…
05-14 07:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	194	52¢	$100	0x7e652d…
05-14 07:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x428b41…
05-14 07:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x37fae3…
05-14 04:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	192	98¢	$188	0x5ed90f…
05-14 04:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x0b571a…
05-14 04:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	208	63¢	$131	0x94a4c1…
05-14 04:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0xf7d022…
05-14 03:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	387	24¢	$91	0xf56184…
05-14 03:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	232	43¢	$100	0x798aa7…
05-14 03:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	155	64¢	$100	0x54d7c2…
05-14 03:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	57	6¢	$3	0xbb3654…
05-14 03:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x1f3e11…
05-14 03:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	117	54¢	$63	0x9e11f2…
05-14 03:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0x8cfe58…
05-14 03:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x3901d7…
05-14 03:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	186	96¢	$179	0x60f092…
05-14 03:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	186	54¢	$100	0x4987c1…
05-14 03:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	534	80¢	$426	0xa83c8a…
05-14 03:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	242	41¢	$100	0x37c1a8…
05-14 03:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x82f7cc…
05-14 03:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	151	66¢	$100	0x235cb8…
05-14 02:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	145	98¢	$142	0x6c37b2…
05-14 02:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x9d5e0e…
05-13 20:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	529	96¢	$509	0x09c5b9…
05-13 20:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x4f26ba…
05-13 20:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x55cdc4…
05-13 20:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x5de1a8…
05-13 20:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0xb52921…
05-13 19:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xbfba83…
05-13 19:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xa9b8df…
05-13 19:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	199	13¢	$25	0xac7ba8…