Realized P&L
-$1.21K
Unrealized P&L
-$354
Hit rate
67.8%
Resolved
72
Trades
668
lifetime
Volume
$61.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$92
Open exposure
$313
5 positions
First seen
2026-04-28
last 10-27 19:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 40 days
Categories
Politics
39% 74% +$706
Sports
23% 50% -$554
Other
17% 29% -$2,037
Crypto
13% 56% +$671
Tech
9% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? No +1,200 $516 12¢ $144 -$372 10-15 21:45
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +100 $75 88¢ $88 +$13 10-26 11:36
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +200 $36 17¢ $35 -$1 10-27 00:39
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +100 $30 34¢ $33 +$3 10-27 03:18
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +200 $9 6¢ $12 +$3 10-26 22:20