Realized P&L (30d)
+$310
Unrealized P&L
-$293
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (30d)
3
Trades (30d)
85
673 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$9.35K
$62.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$92
Open exposure
$404
5 positions
First seen
2026-04-28
last 10-28 17:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 40 days
Categories
Politics
39% 74% +$706
Sports
23% 50% -$554
Other
17% 29% -$2,037
Crypto
13% 56% +$671
Tech
9% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? No +1,200 $516 18¢ $210 -$306 10-15 21:45
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +100 $75 82¢ $82 +$8 10-26 11:36
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +200 $61 30¢ $59 -$2 10-28 17:27
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +200 $36 18¢ $35 -$1 10-27 00:39
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +200 $9 9¢ $17 +$8 10-26 22:20