(anonymous) 0x851300…db6a53
bot 20W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
+$15
Unrealized P&L
+$258
Hit rate
81.2%
Resolved (7d)
61
Trades (7d)
0
27,158 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$95.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$1.23K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-21
last 10-23 16:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 74 days
Categories
Other
87% 37% +$778
Politics
6% 42% +$108
Crypto
3% 42% +$163
Sports
3% 38% -$119
Tech
1% 25% -$3
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$18
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 1166 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +118 $70 88¢ $103 +$33 10-11 15:17
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +152 $108 66¢ $101 -$7 09-28 14:44
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +111 $67 90¢ $100 +$33 09-21 16:44
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +100 $77 97¢ $97 +$20 09-15 18:39
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +110 $68 80¢ $89 +$20 10-08 14:54
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +70 $27 99¢ $69 +$42 10-12 17:37
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +80 $42 84¢ $67 +$26 09-21 18:14
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +80 $65 72¢ $58 -$7 09-28 11:47
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +157 $37 34¢ $52 +$16 10-13 10:17
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +45 $29 99¢ $45 +$16 09-06 22:53
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? No +40 $27 100¢ $40 +$13 10-22 00:04
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +40 $35 97¢ $39 +$4 10-19 20:26
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +40 $30 96¢ $39 +$8 09-20 22:44
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +40 $21 96¢ $38 +$17 10-21 20:07
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +40 $14 59¢ $24 +$9 10-20 15:15
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +80 $14 28¢ $22 +$8 10-02 09:23
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +108 $33 20¢ $21 -$12 10-05 17:51
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $29 41¢ $21 -$9 10-20 15:15
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +20 $17 98¢ $20 +$2 10-05 06:15
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder? No +20 $15 97¢ $19 +$4 09-01 14:25
US recession by end of 2026? No +20 $16 94¢ $19 +$3 09-16 02:58
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No +30 $20 61¢ $18 -$2 10-21 19:48
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? No +20 $16 88¢ $18 +$1 09-21 12:17
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? No +20 $13 88¢ $18 +$5 09-22 10:38
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes +17 $7 96¢ $16 +$10 10-04 22:57
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +20 $15 80¢ $16 +$1 10-15 21:16
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +22 $19 72¢ $16 -$4 10-12 20:14
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +20 $11 76¢ $15 +$5 10-05 09:28
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +24 $10 62¢ $15 +$4 09-30 21:15
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +20 $16 72¢ $14 -$2 10-16 03:56