(anonymous) 0x851300…db6a53 Create alert
bot 20W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
+$967
Unrealized P&L
+$323
Hit rate
70.4%
Resolved (90d)
8,183
Trades (90d)
27,071
27,071 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$95.6K
$95.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$1.23K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-21
last 10-23 16:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 80 days
Categories
Other
87% 37% +$768
Politics
6% 43% +$140
Crypto
3% 42% +$163
Sports
3% 38% -$119
Tech
1% 25% -$3
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$18
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 1166 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +111 $67 94¢ $105 +$38 09-21 16:44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +118 $70 86¢ $101 +$31 10-11 15:17
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +100 $77 98¢ $98 +$21 09-15 18:39
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +110 $68 86¢ $95 +$27 10-08 14:54
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +157 $37 55¢ $85 +$49 10-13 10:17
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +80 $42 92¢ $74 +$32 09-21 18:14
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +152 $108 46¢ $69 -$39 09-28 14:44
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +70 $27 98¢ $69 +$42 10-12 17:37
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +45 $29 98¢ $45 +$16 09-06 22:53
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +80 $14 50¢ $40 +$26 10-02 09:23
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +80 $65 50¢ $40 -$25 09-28 11:47
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +40 $35 98¢ $39 +$5 10-19 20:26
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +40 $30 97¢ $39 +$9 09-20 22:44
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +40 $14 62¢ $25 +$11 10-20 15:15
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No +30 $20 80¢ $24 +$4 10-21 19:48
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +20 $17 99¢ $20 +$3 10-05 06:15
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder? No +20 $15 98¢ $20 +$4 09-01 14:25
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +20 $16 96¢ $19 +$3 10-16 03:56
France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30? No +20 $14 96¢ $19 +$5 10-21 20:24
US recession by end of 2026? No +20 $16 96¢ $19 +$3 09-16 02:58
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +20 $12 96¢ $19 +$7 10-21 20:09
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +20 $15 96¢ $19 +$4 10-15 21:16
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +24 $10 79¢ $19 +$9 09-30 21:15
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $29 38¢ $19 -$10 10-20 15:15
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? No +20 $8 94¢ $19 +$10 10-21 09:14
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? No +20 $13 94¢ $19 +$6 09-22 10:38
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? No +20 $16 92¢ $18 +$2 09-21 12:17
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +20 $2 92¢ $18 +$16 10-05 06:25
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes +17 $7 99¢ $17 +$11 10-04 22:57
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +20 $11 84¢ $17 +$6 10-05 09:28