Scientific-Handle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.69K

Unrealized P&L

-$120

Hit rate

81.0%

Resolved

Trades

267

lifetime

Volume

$85.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$319

Open exposure

$2.36K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-23 01:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Politics

52% 64% -$7,127

Other

36% 67% -$2,216

Sports

11% 100% +$4,650

Crypto

0% 100% +$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-23).

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	-2,347	-$2,195	98¢	$-2305	-$110	05-10 05:36
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-250	-$13	12¢	$-30	-$18	05-23 01:48
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?	Yes	-22	-$20	96¢	$-21	-$1	05-23 01:48
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-105	-$17	7¢	$-8	+$9	05-23 01:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	6	$13.3K	7,016	7,016	+0	Yes	+$546	05-11 05:11
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	22	$8.0K	214,874	1,235	+213,639	No	-$6,777	05-21 14:47
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 1?	9	$7.4K	3,779	3,779	+0	No	+$170	05-02 22:35
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	3	$6.2K	2,165	4,511	-2,347	open	—	05-10 05:36
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	1	$6.0K	6,023	0	+6,023	Yes	+$23	05-12 23:31
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	17	$4.7K	200,000	450,000	-250,000	No	+$1,550	05-23 01:48
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	10	$3.6K	81,818	334,646	-252,828	No	+$1,777	05-23 01:48
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	12	$3.6K	2,897	2,897	+0	No	+$1,362	05-15 05:06
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 3?	14	$2.7K	2,799	0	+2,799	No	+$132	05-03 05:37
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$2.0K	1,075	1,075	+0	Yes	+$20	05-10 05:58
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	2	$2.0K	1,220	1,220	+0	open	—	05-16 22:30
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	11	$1.9K	1,453	1,453	+0	No	+$96	05-15 05:12
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	9	$1.6K	9,799	450	+9,349	No	-$1,587	05-16 23:44
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 2?	7	$1.4K	745	745	+0	No	+$45	05-02 22:31
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 2?	10	$1.4K	32,809	102	+32,706	No	-$1,198	05-02 22:37
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 7?	6	$1.4K	1,443	0	+1,443	No	+$43	05-07 06:25
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	14	$1.3K	18,627	1,420	+17,207	No	-$1,269	05-18 12:55
Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	7	$1.3K	1,508	0	+1,508	No	+$208	05-14 23:26
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	6	$1.2K	1,097	1,097	+0	No	+$207	05-14 23:23
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 1?	6	$1.1K	611	610	+0	No	+$107	05-01 10:47
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 8?	3	$1.0K	507	507	+0	No	+$6	05-10 04:57
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 6?	3	$1000	1,040	0	+1,040	No	+$40	05-05 13:07
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	5	$979	642	642	+0	Yes	+$86	01-31 23:45
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 5?	3	$700	709	0	+709	No	+$9	05-05 02:21
Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$649	362	362	+0	No	+$49	05-15 05:01
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 6?	4	$620	320	320	+0	No	+$20	05-06 14:41
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 2?	4	$600	688	0	+688	Yes	-$600	05-02 03:11
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 10?	1	$500	505	0	+505	No	+$5	05-10 04:59
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	2	$463	241	241	+0	Yes	+$10	01-25 00:06
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 30?	3	$441	241	241	+0	No	+$41	05-02 22:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 01:48:45	Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	450,000	1¢	$3,150	0x4fb661…
05-23 01:48:42	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	334,646	1¢	$2,677	0x3d4f46…
05-23 01:48:33	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	208	33¢	$69	0xf06537…
05-23 01:48:28	Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?	Yes	SELL	22	89¢	$20	0x941c46…
05-23 01:48:24	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	105	16¢	$17	0x3f23fc…
05-23 01:48:23	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	250	5¢	$13	0xb6f99a…
05-21 14:47:56	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	100,000	0¢	$200	0x31b30d…
05-21 14:47:20	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	17,424	1¢	$174	0x887501…
05-21 03:20:50	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	33,333	0¢	$100	0xe90486…
05-21 03:20:27	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5,263	2¢	$84	0x7b6b6a…
05-20 10:02:19	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20,000	0¢	$100	0x62a5f2…
05-20 10:01:53	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3,858	5¢	$197	0x0f87a1…
05-20 05:35:04	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	14,661	1¢	$100	0xf4505c…
05-20 05:34:47	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,092	8¢	$92	0xd441cf…
05-20 05:32:27	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	16,667	1¢	$100	0x21744d…
05-20 05:31:24	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5,263	2¢	$95	0xf059d4…
05-18 13:01:45	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	7,951	3¢	$200	0xb8766f…
05-18 13:01:10	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,754	11¢	$198	0x894043…
05-18 12:55:32	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	4,348	2¢	$100	0x10e142…
05-18 12:54:21	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	4,348	2¢	$100	0x8c1926…
05-18 12:53:56	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	7,613	3¢	$259	0x0e7cff…
05-18 12:53:37	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	4,349	2¢	$100	0xeb6d66…
05-18 12:53:18	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	6,667	2¢	$100	0xda7100…
05-16 23:44:45	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2,632	4¢	$100	0x0eca95…
05-16 23:44:37	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2,564	4¢	$100	0xb49607…
05-16 23:44:33	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2,564	4¢	$100	0xdebe25…
05-16 23:44:23	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2,632	4¢	$100	0x9ff646…
05-16 23:32:22	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2,588	4¢	$100	0xb62081…
05-16 23:32:20	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2,601	4¢	$100	0xfaeff4…
05-16 23:32:15	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2,643	4¢	$100	0xf8d728…
05-16 22:32:10	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2,861	3¢	$100	0xe1c723…
05-16 22:32:01	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	3,180	3¢	$100	0x410b64…
05-16 22:31:42	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	3,346	3¢	$100	0xf12273…
05-16 22:30:58	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	1,220	82¢	$1,005	0x88a8e1…
05-15 13:33:12	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2,637	72¢	$1,900	0x8f067e…
05-15 06:26:38	Will Trump say "Forbidden City" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	203	99¢	$200	0x215891…
05-15 06:26:05	Will Trump say "Transgender" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0xe3a6ad…
05-15 06:26:00	Will Trump say "Kamikaze" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	104	98¢	$102	0xeb8e0d…
05-15 06:14:50	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x518fc3…
05-15 06:14:25	Will Trump say "Autopen" or "Auto Pen" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	105	98¢	$104	0xa5a184…
05-15 06:09:03	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	94	96¢	$90	0x32851f…
05-15 06:08:12	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	450	3¢	$13	0xb256a2…
05-15 06:08:00	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	1,420	2¢	$31	0xdb3894…
05-15 05:34:03	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	219	5¢	$10	0xf1e3db…
05-15 05:12:33	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	813	98¢	$800	0x74ef3f…
05-15 05:12:04	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	965	85¢	$824	0xe5f379…
05-15 05:08:51	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	203	98¢	$200	0xd9b9bc…
05-15 05:08:18	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	105	97¢	$102	0x015a43…
05-15 05:07:48	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	110	97¢	$107	0x001de4…
05-15 05:07:06	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2,559	98¢	$2,500	0xc32a78…
05-15 05:06:15	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	2,897	85¢	$2,462	0x90e09e…
05-15 05:02:52	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0xb30e82…
05-15 05:02:23	Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	214	97¢	$208	0xcf6c79…
05-15 05:02:02	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	310	97¢	$300	0xc669ec…
05-15 05:01:00	Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	362	96¢	$349	0x816523…
05-14 23:26:10	Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	802	87¢	$700	0x6a1bd1…
05-14 23:23:19	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	1,097	64¢	$707	0xf32525…
05-14 13:17:33	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x3906b6…
05-14 13:17:12	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,363	9¢	$124	0x1b4073…
05-14 08:31:24	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	209	48¢	$100	0xc21dc9…
05-14 08:29:49	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0xc9f54c…
05-14 08:29:41	Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x844419…
05-14 08:29:34	Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x87ccc4…
05-14 08:29:30	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x1e4d31…
05-14 08:28:53	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	223	45¢	$100	0xf4bbab…
05-14 08:27:24	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	1,235	50¢	$613	0x2db8f8…
05-14 08:05:21	Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x6b1ba5…
05-14 08:05:16	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xb17514…
05-14 08:05:09	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	158	63¢	$100	0xba069a…
05-14 08:04:01	Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0xcc2214…
05-14 08:03:54	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0xec8863…
05-14 08:03:48	Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	121	83¢	$100	0xc7193d…
05-14 08:03:34	Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x65ff9a…
05-14 08:03:31	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x5ade72…
05-14 08:03:24	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x3186c8…
05-14 08:03:08	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	237	42¢	$100	0xc546e3…
05-14 07:56:22	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x272483…
05-14 07:38:59	Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	121	83¢	$100	0xbb08af…
05-14 07:38:56	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x633883…
05-14 07:38:50	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	173	58¢	$100	0x36dfcc…
05-14 07:38:45	Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	168	59¢	$100	0xd20333…
05-14 07:38:17	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	271	37¢	$100	0xfa847d…
05-14 06:46:38	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	300	33¢	$100	0xef6a1f…
05-14 06:29:38	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	287	35¢	$100	0x41fa73…
05-14 06:22:46	Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	113	89¢	$100	0x3bf982…
05-14 06:22:41	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	148	68¢	$100	0x7dc6f4…
05-14 06:22:36	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	201	50¢	$100	0xd53cbf…
05-14 06:22:29	Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	184	54¢	$100	0x7ed2cd…
05-14 06:22:24	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0xb9735b…
05-14 06:22:10	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	314	32¢	$100	0x512ca8…
05-14 06:17:12	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x8ec29f…
05-14 06:17:03	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	173	58¢	$100	0x65e570…
05-14 06:16:18	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x8efd31…
05-14 05:45:44	Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	229	44¢	$100	0x5b3339…
05-14 05:45:28	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	216	46¢	$100	0xc3e28b…
05-14 05:45:02	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	249	40¢	$100	0x08cffa…
05-14 05:39:26	Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x84f360…
05-14 05:39:19	Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x527e59…
05-14 05:39:12	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	174	58¢	$100	0xf358f9…
05-14 05:15:20	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x5dbe62…