Realized P&L
-$30
Unrealized P&L
-$12
Hit rate
50.4%
Resolved
3,202
Trades
7,793
lifetime
Volume
$9.74K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$56
8 positions
First seen
2026-02-12
last 05-24 16:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 81 days
Categories
Other
57%
30%
+$62
Crypto
30%
22%
-$63
Sports
12%
35%
-$52
Politics
1%
50%
+$23
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-24).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | No | -16 | -$7 | 94¢ | $-15 | -$8 | 04-29 12:02 | |
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | No | -15 | -$12 | 91¢ | $-14 | -$1 | 04-29 12:02 | |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | -9 | -$8 | 92¢ | $-9 | -$1 | 04-29 12:02 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | -7 | -$6 | 98¢ | $-7 | -$1 | 04-29 12:02 | |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | No | -5 | -$4 | 96¢ | $-5 | $0 | 05-02 23:15 | |
| Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? | No | -4 | -$3 | 97¢ | $-4 | -$1 | 04-29 12:02 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | -4 | -$2 | 82¢ | $-3 | -$1 | 04-29 12:02 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Yes | -6 | -$1 | 6¢ | $-0 | +$0 | 04-29 12:02 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 21:45 UTC | 31 | $244 | 210 | 183 | +27 | Up | +$8 | 02-12 21:56 |
| ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 21:15 UTC | 24 | $234 | 356 | 352 | +4 | Up | +$10 | 02-12 21:27 |
| ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 21:30 UTC | 15 | $151 | 270 | 235 | +35 | Up | +$23 | 02-12 21:40 |
| XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 21:15 UTC | 15 | $143 | 255 | 154 | +102 | Down | -$23 | 02-12 21:24 |
| BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 21:15 UTC | 15 | $120 | 280 | 211 | +69 | Down | -$15 | 02-12 21:26 |
| ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 21:45 UTC | 13 | $115 | 109 | 107 | +2 | Down | -$9 | 02-12 21:55 |
| SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 21:15 UTC | 13 | $103 | 186 | 160 | +26 | Down | +$5 | 02-12 21:27 |
| will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | 15 | $93 | 70 | 23 | +47 | No | +$0 | 03-27 20:45 |
| BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 21:30 UTC | 11 | $69 | 114 | 113 | +1 | Up | -$3 | 02-12 21:35 |
| BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 00:00 UTC | 57 | $69 | 47 | 44 | +3 | Up | +$4 | 02-13 00:11 |
| SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 21:45 UTC | 7 | $54 | 59 | 58 | +1 | Down | -$8 | 02-12 21:51 |
| BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 01:15 UTC | 27 | $52 | 70 | 40 | +30 | Down | -$11 | 02-13 01:25 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | 20 | $48 | 38 | 38 | +0 | Yes | $0 | 04-29 12:02 |
| ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 00:00 UTC | 47 | $48 | 50 | 26 | +24 | Down | -$5 | 02-13 00:12 |
| XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 21:45 UTC | 9 | $47 | 61 | 60 | +1 | Down | -$13 | 02-12 21:51 |
| XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 00:00 UTC | 65 | $47 | 65 | 18 | +47 | Up | +$13 | 02-13 00:12 |
| SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 23:30 UTC | 44 | $45 | 65 | 16 | +48 | Down | -$4 | 02-12 23:42 |
| XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 21:30 UTC | 5 | $44 | 46 | 45 | +1 | Up | +$4 | 02-12 21:33 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | 68 | $44 | 30 | 30 | +0 | No | +$1 | 04-26 21:04 |
| will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election | 6 | $42 | 28 | 110 | -82 | Yes | +$24 | 04-03 17:34 |
| cbb uscb ucdv 2026 03 11 | 22 | $41 | 56 | 41 | +15 | UC Davis Aggies | +$0 | 03-12 05:17 |
| ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 01:45 UTC | 13 | $38 | 40 | 45 | -5 | Down | $0 | 02-13 01:55 |
| ucl ata1 bvb 2026 02 25 spread home 2pt5 | 17 | $38 | 30 | 35 | -5 | Atalanta BC | +$27 | 02-26 06:06 |
| uel stu3 por1 2026 03 12 total 2pt5 | 14 | $36 | 55 | 15 | +40 | Over | +$21 | 03-12 18:09 |
| ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 psg1 | 7 | $35 | 30 | 20 | +10 | Yes | +$5 | 03-12 00:16 |
| cbb xav marq 2026 03 11 | 7 | $35 | 30 | 20 | +10 | Xavier Musketeers | +$0 | 03-12 00:18 |
| SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 00:00 UTC | 44 | $35 | 30 | 18 | +12 | Down | -$1 | 02-13 00:11 |
| lal cel rea 2026 03 07 draw | 15 | $34 | 51 | 26 | +25 | No | +$14 | 03-06 21:38 |
| XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 01:45 UTC | 31 | $34 | 35 | 30 | +5 | Down | +$6 | 02-13 01:55 |
| nba min lac 2026 03 11 spread home 2pt5 | 21 | $33 | 44 | 40 | +4 | Clippers | +$3 | 03-12 04:26 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||