Incredible-Gazebo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

43.3%

Resolved

Trades

492

lifetime

Volume

$6.86K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$21

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-02 11:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

61% — —

Other

30% 0% $-11

Politics

9% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+200	$28	11¢	$21	$-7	06-11 06:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	5	$324	167	167	+0	open	—	01-29 19:22
googl above 350 on january 30 2026	3	$163	200	0	+200	open	—	01-19 02:42
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$140	0	140	-140	open	—	06-01 19:42
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	3	$130	147	0	+147	open	—	05-20 20:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	5	$125	71	71	+0	open	—	04-25 21:51
bitcoin above 96k on january 13	3	$101	103	0	+103	open	—	01-12 17:44
bitcoin above 98k on january 14	3	$98	100	0	+100	open	—	01-13 21:42
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	3	$97	50	50	+0	open	—	04-30 18:40
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	3	$94	50	50	+0	open	—	04-21 23:22
will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	4	$92	50	50	+0	open	—	06-17 04:09
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$89	50	50	+0	open	—	04-30 18:39
will tsla reach 510 in june 2026	2	$87	50	50	+0	open	—	06-05 15:49
will bitcoin reach 90k in february 2026	2	$86	50	50	+0	open	—	02-11 19:41
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	4	$86	70	120	-50	open	—	06-14 22:23
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	8	$78	235	0	+235	open	—	05-31 06:30
will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	8	$75	55	55	+0	open	—	02-06 22:36
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	4	$72	40	40	+0	open	—	04-30 18:24
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	6	$72	38	37	+0	open	—	04-23 19:41
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	3	$71	40	40	+0	open	—	04-21 21:27
will solana dip to 60 in june 2026	4	$71	100	95	+5	open	—	06-05 17:52
googl above 355 on january 23 2026	2	$67	70	0	+70	open	—	01-21 07:19
googl above 350 on january 16 2026	2	$67	70	0	+70	open	—	01-14 19:31
will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	5	$67	160	160	+0	open	—	06-23 08:28
googl above 350 on february 6 2026	2	$64	65	0	+65	open	—	02-05 21:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	3	$64	35	35	+0	open	—	05-09 05:11
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	4	$60	65	65	+0	open	—	03-09 03:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	5	$56	80	0	+80	open	—	06-13 16:02
will bitcoin dip to 60k in june 2026	2	$54	50	50	+0	open	—	06-05 16:27
bitcoin above 88k on february 4	1	$53	54	0	+54	open	—	02-02 19:01
bitcoin above 96k on january 14	1	$52	55	0	+55	open	—	01-12 19:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 11:12:25	will tsla reach 465 in july 2026	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x1a3b0e…
07-01 20:11:35	will tsla reach 465 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xa83b5f…
06-29 12:20:50	will tsla dip to 360 in june 2026	No	SELL	9	85¢	$8	0x00e293…
06-29 08:55:49	will tsla dip to 360 in june 2026	No	SELL	21	85¢	$18	0x22b3ac…
06-24 10:56:08	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	14	85¢	$12	0x6fd9dc…
06-23 08:28:26	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	Yes	SELL	130	1¢	$1	0x7a8bf4…
06-23 06:06:53	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0x1ed353…
06-23 06:05:25	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	877	0¢	$3	0x1e9e5c…
06-23 06:04:52	will tsla dip to 330 in june 2026	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xd6b4a1…
06-23 06:03:59	will solana dip to 30 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xde5f78…
06-23 06:03:43	will solana dip to 20 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	1,183	0¢	$1	0x9534cd…
06-17 04:09:40	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	No	SELL	33	98¢	$32	0xc2aef0…
06-17 02:05:07	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xd6a2a7…
06-17 01:56:31	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	No	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0x0d4c6f…
06-17 01:55:32	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	18	96¢	$17	0x15e4db…
06-17 01:35:56	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xba07ae…
06-16 09:31:00	will tsla dip to 360 in june 2026	No	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xf366c8…
06-16 09:30:24	will tsla dip to 375 in june 2026	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xb37b0f…
06-15 14:03:39	will solana reach 100 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x887d52…
06-14 22:27:57	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	877	1¢	$12	0x2e3eac…
06-14 22:23:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	120	23¢	$28	0x30bd8c…
06-14 20:13:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0xd92fca…
06-13 16:02:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x58d9fd…
06-13 15:56:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0x9275ea…
06-13 15:55:45	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x0a1fee…
06-11 22:40:52	will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x227aca…
06-11 20:47:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x786ff4…
06-11 20:45:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xac8640…
06-11 06:48:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x644e7d…
06-10 14:53:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	14¢	$3	0x64e169…
06-10 13:37:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x869384…
06-10 12:35:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0xf22eae…
06-10 03:43:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	14¢	$13	0xb4fd17…
06-10 02:33:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xd38f74…
06-10 02:18:04	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x7a4119…
06-09 19:45:25	will wti dip to 60 in june 2026 371 314 412	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xfe65cf…
06-09 18:37:39	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	No	BUY	13	86¢	$11	0x54c41c…
06-09 18:37:34	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	No	BUY	37	86¢	$32	0x7a7689…
06-09 16:19:27	will tsla dip to 330 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	48	16¢	$8	0x40bfec…
06-09 15:34:10	will tsla dip to 330 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0x260ee5…
06-09 11:29:31	will ethereum dip to 1000 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	39	3¢	$1	0x0d63d2…
06-09 07:00:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x6d307a…
06-09 05:09:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	14¢	$2	0x0a4e2c…
06-09 05:08:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x0f8233…
06-09 00:43:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	14¢	$2	0xc15b1c…
06-08 23:01:13	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xaaf706…
06-08 22:14:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xcc82f3…
06-08 21:25:42	will solana dip to 20 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xdc570e…
06-08 20:16:28	will solana dip to 20 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd9a872…
06-08 16:07:45	will solana dip to 20 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	129	1¢	$1	0xe47ce8…
06-08 15:38:45	will tsla dip to 330 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	0	14¢	$0	0x5b94f0…
06-08 15:38:43	will tsla dip to 330 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0x701a4c…
06-08 15:10:01	will wti dip to 60 in june 2026 371 314 412	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x4fa1f1…
06-08 14:38:04	will wti dip to 60 in june 2026 371 314 412	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x184c53…
06-08 14:20:45	will wti dip to 60 in june 2026 371 314 412	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xdf525c…
06-08 13:38:03	will solana dip to 20 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	684	1¢	$5	0x6eb7c2…
06-07 12:30:10	will tsla dip to 330 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xc356fd…
06-07 04:55:39	will solana dip to 30 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x393076…
06-07 02:55:19	will solana dip to 20 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	360	2¢	$5	0x8f3c88…
06-06 21:25:01	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	Yes	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0xf10133…
06-06 11:58:12	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	No	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0xe03c09…
06-06 07:38:48	will solana reach 100 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x388110…
06-06 06:41:40	will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x3bfa7e…
06-06 06:15:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x24c347…
06-05 17:52:16	will solana dip to 60 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	35	70¢	$25	0x44d20d…
06-05 16:27:49	will bitcoin dip to 60k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x9fd8c5…
06-05 16:24:28	will solana dip to 60 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xd7b4a0…
06-05 16:23:27	will solana dip to 60 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	55	70¢	$38	0x537cbc…
06-05 15:49:45	will tsla reach 510 in june 2026	No	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0x471ba7…
06-05 14:26:45	will tsla reach 495 in june 2026	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x3a169c…
06-05 14:00:39	will tsla reach 525 in june 2026	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x05b06b…
06-03 14:10:54	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $510 in June?	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0x7ee574…
06-03 14:02:52	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $495 in June?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x75bd1a…
06-03 04:20:04	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $525 in June?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xe0a5a6…
06-02 06:19:59	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $330 in June?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x0dd53e…
06-01 23:09:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x487110…
06-01 20:57:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?	Yes	BUY	40	19¢	$8	0x50b840…
06-01 20:51:19	Will Solana dip to $60 in June?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xffd57b…
06-01 20:26:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x5fc4c4…
06-01 20:17:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3ea180…
06-01 19:42:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	140	100¢	$140	0xfbca6c…
05-31 06:30:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	152	24¢	$37	0xa335cd…
05-23 16:16:16	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in May?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x603574…
05-22 23:46:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x5392fa…
05-22 22:34:27	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in May?	No	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x6f8ea3…
05-22 03:17:21	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in May?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x5e6a3c…
05-21 21:31:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0xe98dab…
05-21 21:31:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x4aa8ed…
05-21 21:31:35	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x1849f8…
05-21 21:31:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x8ef3eb…
05-21 21:31:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x01b96f…
05-20 20:38:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xf9d208…
05-19 14:12:11	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x6e28bb…
05-19 02:56:39	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in May?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x9ee069…
05-18 14:16:02	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	No	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0xb3bc10…
05-18 02:36:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	12	30¢	$4	0xb4f74b…
05-18 02:31:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x189825…
05-18 02:30:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xb935ba…
05-17 23:16:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	15	83¢	$12	0xb4dce8…
05-17 22:02:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x4374e5…