Sorrowful-Hint — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.18K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

27.1%

Resolved

Trades

2,846

lifetime

Volume

$413.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$145

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 08-09 11:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

62% 21% $-919

Politics

31% 33% $-120

Sports

5% 0% $-141

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 115 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	66	$15.8K	39,742	14,742	+25,000	open	—	04-28 10:00
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	94	$13.5K	30,781	28,673	+2,109	open	—	08-01 00:44
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	63	$13.3K	29,391	28,576	+815	open	—	08-02 10:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	11	$6.6K	8,551	8,551	+0	open	—	04-21 14:33
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	77	$5.8K	9,273	8,738	+536	open	—	06-16 17:37
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	23	$5.4K	5,049	5,049	+0	open	—	04-21 23:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	8	$5.2K	4,855	4,855	+0	open	—	05-23 21:31
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	32	$4.7K	19,853	19,853	+0	open	—	05-19 15:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	22	$4.5K	5,733	5,733	+0	open	—	05-30 12:44
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	22	$4.2K	9,761	9,761	+0	open	—	08-06 18:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	52	$4.1K	25,190	25,197	-7	open	—	06-27 21:57
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	7	$3.8K	2,441	2,441	+0	open	—	07-07 18:09
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	5	$3.1K	3,347	250	+3,097	open	—	04-20 21:19
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	12	$3.0K	4,899	4,899	+0	open	—	05-23 15:37
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	6	$2.9K	2,428	2,090	+338	open	—	07-19 22:01
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	12	$2.8K	3,530	4,351	-821	open	—	06-26 11:18
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	23	$2.8K	3,693	3,693	+0	open	—	04-21 08:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	10	$2.7K	2,456	2,456	+0	open	—	06-16 17:31
Will Konyaspor win on 2026-04-27?	5	$2.6K	1,490	1,490	+0	open	—	04-27 18:45
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	17	$2.6K	1,912	1,912	+0	open	—	04-05 04:30
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	20	$2.5K	7,197	7,197	+0	open	—	08-08 00:25
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	21	$2.5K	18,324	18,324	+0	open	—	07-30 15:33
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	9	$2.3K	3,254	3,254	+0	open	—	04-07 23:57
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	5	$2.3K	2,131	2,131	+0	open	—	05-22 21:40
lal cel rea 2026 03 07 rea	4	$2.3K	1,605	1,605	+0	open	—	03-06 22:01
iran full airspace closure by july 24	33	$2.3K	11,186	11,186	+0	open	—	07-24 20:02
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	9	$2.2K	1,546	1,546	+0	open	—	04-04 11:38
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	4	$2.1K	1,210	1,210	+0	open	—	04-16 17:38
ufc jproch car6 2026 04 11	3	$1.9K	1,939	1,911	+29	open	—	04-11 18:49
fif lit geo 2026 03 29 geo	4	$1.9K	1,219	1,219	+0	open	—	03-29 14:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 11:24:30	clf mci atm 2026 08 09 btts	Yes	SELL	300	50¢	$150	0x7eb93a…
08-09 10:47:49	clf mci atm 2026 08 09 btts	Yes	BUY	300	64¢	$192	0x18299e…
08-08 15:38:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	2,250	9¢	$202	0xf863f8…
08-08 14:01:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	2,250	9¢	$202	0x5a6f02…
08-08 12:48:15	kor jeo jej 2026 08 08 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	94	68¢	$64	0x51c337…
08-08 12:44:45	kor jeo jej 2026 08 08 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	430	53¢	$228	0x475845…
08-08 12:43:07	kor jeo jej 2026 08 08 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x734bcf…
08-08 00:25:10	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	1,111	4¢	$44	0xcae823…
08-08 00:25:03	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	1,073	10¢	$107	0x56d2ef…
08-07 21:30:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	1,300	13¢	$169	0xc017af…
08-07 12:54:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	3,200	13¢	$416	0xc45a47…
08-07 11:57:43	jap yom kas 2026 08 07 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	142	42¢	$60	0x9c2aa0…
08-07 11:57:06	jap yom kas 2026 08 07 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	156	82¢	$128	0x8f47b1…
08-06 20:48:41	uel hra bes 2026 08 06 total 1pt5	Under	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0xb4fb0e…
08-06 18:12:57	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	SELL	1,532	10¢	$153	0x097483…
08-06 17:59:03	uel hra bes 2026 08 06 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	200	54¢	$108	0x6855d2…
08-06 13:23:47	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	SELL	3,000	12¢	$358	0x2a2d5f…
08-04 21:18:08	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	667	18¢	$120	0xa89d63…
08-04 21:17:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	4,574	3¢	$120	0x7d26f0…
08-04 15:25:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	4,246	6¢	$244	0x5ae343…
08-04 15:25:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x4ee10a…
08-04 15:25:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	317	6¢	$17	0x879a2e…
08-04 13:42:53	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	1,809	22¢	$398	0xd12157…
08-04 13:33:17	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	191	22¢	$42	0xe40c0e…
08-03 11:00:45	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	1,000	23¢	$230	0x4c0f53…
08-03 10:11:20	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	865	22¢	$190	0xa300d0…
08-02 14:40:41	pol leg zag 2026 08 02 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	113	1¢	$1	0x5cfe13…
08-02 14:34:47	pol leg zag 2026 08 02 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	113	78¢	$88	0xb629df…
08-02 14:21:26	pol leg zag 2026 08 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	47	2¢	$1	0xbafa0b…
08-02 14:09:35	pol leg zag 2026 08 02 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	230	32¢	$75	0x2964ae…
08-02 10:38:36	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	SELL	1,734	18¢	$321	0x40c39e…
08-02 10:32:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3,601	19¢	$684	0x3e530b…
08-02 09:11:27	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	SELL	1,734	17¢	$297	0xa70f4f…
08-02 09:11:18	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	SELL	1,061	12¢	$127	0x2f0220…
08-01 19:34:47	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	95	42¢	$40	0x6f9eb0…
08-01 19:34:27	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	1,111	10¢	$110	0x7e7303…
08-01 19:34:00	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	1,073	14¢	$150	0x233d68…
08-01 19:33:41	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	878	27¢	$237	0x538547…
08-01 19:07:54	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	1,062	12¢	$127	0xc697b5…
08-01 19:01:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	908	25¢	$230	0x76300f…
08-01 18:56:15	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	Yes	SELL	1,111	16¢	$183	0x9457e8…
08-01 17:24:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	427	26¢	$111	0xeb96f4…
08-01 17:10:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	592	26¢	$154	0x3d174f…
08-01 17:04:20	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	Yes	BUY	1,111	18¢	$200	0x000f91…
08-01 17:03:59	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	1,062	13¢	$138	0xa68a84…
08-01 16:26:14	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	871	25¢	$218	0xeae0a8…
08-01 15:54:41	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,161	24¢	$279	0x8acd92…
08-01 12:30:44	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	421	34¢	$143	0x64a2cf…
08-01 12:30:12	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	200	33¢	$66	0xaa2b28…
08-01 12:29:48	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	211	38¢	$80	0x77ed58…
08-01 12:29:48	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	31	38¢	$12	0x5f1915…
08-01 11:25:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	280	25¢	$70	0x2cef61…
08-01 00:44:35	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	985	3¢	$30	0x21238f…
08-01 00:37:11	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	158	36¢	$57	0xffa100…
08-01 00:11:47	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0xfa20be…
07-31 23:58:45	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0x6586fc…
07-31 23:51:15	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	527	35¢	$186	0xcf123a…
07-31 23:50:02	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	800	25¢	$200	0xee89ed…
07-31 23:49:42	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	42	33¢	$14	0x57b313…
07-31 22:55:35	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	857	35¢	$300	0x6d739d…
07-31 19:48:15	nor vif ham 2026 07 31 btts	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa4b8d1…
07-31 18:45:50	nor vif ham 2026 07 31 btts	No	SELL	128	88¢	$113	0x67c799…
07-31 18:36:48	nor vif ham 2026 07 31 btts	No	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0xdea818…
07-31 18:35:42	nor vif ham 2026 07 31 btts	No	SELL	15	75¢	$11	0xb03fbc…
07-31 18:35:35	nor vif ham 2026 07 31 btts	No	SELL	6	75¢	$4	0x561f46…
07-31 18:35:33	nor vif ham 2026 07 31 btts	No	SELL	6	75¢	$4	0xba222d…
07-31 18:35:33	nor vif ham 2026 07 31 btts	No	SELL	6	75¢	$4	0x3f1fad…
07-31 18:33:14	nor vif ham 2026 07 31 btts	No	SELL	39	75¢	$29	0x6a1372…
07-31 18:32:42	nor vif ham 2026 07 31 btts	No	SELL	39	75¢	$29	0x3cf5c3…
07-31 18:25:30	nor vif ham 2026 07 31 btts	No	BUY	260	65¢	$169	0x258f68…
07-31 09:46:12	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	SELL	1,461	23¢	$343	0x7a36f7…
07-30 18:21:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,188	24¢	$285	0xc0a99f…
07-30 16:57:45	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	500	34¢	$170	0x80f43a…
07-30 15:34:08	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	SELL	300	31¢	$93	0x17a669…
07-30 15:33:54	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	1,308	6¢	$79	0xf17e0b…
07-30 15:33:48	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	680	16¢	$109	0x511352…
07-30 15:33:42	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	SELL	2,729	5¢	$128	0x68c4d2…
07-30 14:44:15	col tob pan 2026 07 30 first half total 1pt5	Under	BUY	107	91¢	$98	0x2d5d6c…
07-30 07:35:51	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	SELL	2,336	5¢	$126	0x83e6f4…
07-29 09:48:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	542	24¢	$130	0x5a7c40…
07-29 09:48:18	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	1,321	6¢	$80	0x160154…
07-29 09:47:51	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	1,638	6¢	$95	0x725492…
07-29 09:47:21	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	909	33¢	$300	0x405b38…
07-29 09:47:02	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0x10a677…
07-29 09:46:45	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	13	21¢	$3	0x4e88a3…
07-28 12:59:02	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	500	30¢	$150	0xb30949…
07-28 10:39:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,200	22¢	$264	0x77433d…
07-27 19:34:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,003	21¢	$211	0x82dd9a…
07-27 14:32:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	600	22¢	$132	0x3d4d3f…
07-27 14:32:03	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	1,000	7¢	$70	0xcf468b…
07-27 14:31:52	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	1,200	27¢	$324	0xccd841…
07-27 14:30:27	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	1,091	5¢	$58	0xf24998…
07-27 00:18:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,138	20¢	$228	0x85e5b6…
07-26 20:33:24	slo kop rad 2026 07 26 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	181	53¢	$96	0xee7811…
07-26 20:33:21	slo kop rad 2026 07 26 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xa8f967…
07-26 17:35:03	den hor nor 2026 07 26 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	200	83¢	$166	0x7cc051…
07-26 16:59:27	den hor nor 2026 07 26 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x19fcac…
07-26 14:02:52	den sjs mid 2026 07 26 total 5pt5	Under	SELL	341	100¢	$340	0x6effcc…
07-26 13:55:06	den sjs mid 2026 07 26 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	141	84¢	$118	0xf8a6b3…
07-26 13:27:19	swe bro hif 2026 07 26 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	400	35¢	$141	0x7c29d9…