Tiny-Club — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$638

Unrealized P&L

-$55

Hit rate

67.5%

Resolved

Trades

143

lifetime

Volume

$6.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

$167

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-03 20:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Other

67% 43% +$936

Politics

27% 39% -$230

Crypto

5% 50% -$18

Tech

1% 0% -$50

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	+114	$100	96¢	$109	+$9	08-07 22:00
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	+435	$100	9¢	$40	-$60	08-07 21:51
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?	Yes	+635	$22	3¢	$18	-$4	08-20 21:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	2	$788	927	927	+0	No	+$668	04-09 17:37
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	2	$424	300	300	+0	Yes	+$24	05-29 13:33
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	1	$400	478	0	+478	Yes	+$78	10-26 20:10
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	2	$220	636	0	+636	No	-$220	01-15 11:37
Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?	1	$200	218	0	+218	open	—	09-13 15:37
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	2	$200	445	0	+445	Yes	+$245	01-12 16:43
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	2	$171	101	101	+0	Gold	+$31	01-24 14:11
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	2	$150	1,343	0	+1,343	No	-$150	04-03 21:49
israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	3	$140	237	0	+237	No	+$97	01-10 00:03
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	5	$131	2,783	1,533	+1,250	No	-$29	04-23 22:16
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by january 10	3	$130	143	0	+143	No	+$13	01-08 21:17
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	2	$112	126	0	+126	No	+$14	03-22 22:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$111	74	74	+0	No	+$11	04-13 19:34
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	3	$110	1,763	0	+1,763	No	-$110	04-19 11:52
will xauusd reach 4500 in august 2026	1	$100	301	0	+301	Yes	+$201	08-06 21:08
Canada recession before 2027?	1	$100	248	0	+248	Yes	+$148	04-10 12:34
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	1	$100	435	0	+435	open	—	08-07 21:51
will cdu win the second most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	1	$100	161	0	+161	No	+$61	03-21 22:23
will xauusd reach 4700 in august 2026	1	$100	1,426	0	+1,426	No	-$100	08-06 21:08
will tsla dip to 300 in august 2026	1	$100	264	0	+264	No	-$100	08-07 22:08
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026?	1	$100	129	0	+129	open	—	08-20 15:58
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	1	$100	114	0	+114	open	—	08-07 22:00
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	1	$100	106	0	+106	Yes	-$100	04-01 22:44
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	2	$93	60	60	+0	No	+$13	04-13 19:35
bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	2	$82	44	44	+0	No	+$2	01-26 12:23
will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	1	$80	87	0	+87	Yes	+$7	03-27 22:52
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in September?	1	$70	1,280	0	+1,280	No	-$70	09-13 15:29
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	1	$70	75	0	+75	No	+$5	03-23 21:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?	2	$66	1,384	0	+1,384	No	-$66	09-14 15:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	1	$55	57	0	+57	No	+$2	07-09 06:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 20:37:19	Gold Up or Down - November 3, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x095083…
11-03 20:37:16	Gold Up or Down - November 3, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	122	4¢	$5	0x496e3c…
11-03 20:30:24	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x1b7295…
11-03 20:25:33	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x1644b3…
11-03 20:24:07	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x740de9…
11-03 20:23:24	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xa2b64a…
10-26 20:10:05	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	478	84¢	$400	0xf3bdbb…
09-14 15:45:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?	Yes	BUY	107	6¢	$6	0xe76013…
09-13 15:38:54	Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by September 30?	No	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0x0b1384…
09-13 15:37:06	Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?	No	BUY	218	92¢	$200	0x4b649a…
09-13 15:35:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?	Yes	BUY	1,277	5¢	$60	0xd85dfe…
09-13 15:34:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	Yes	BUY	41	37¢	$15	0x1eab87…
09-13 15:31:10	Will BMO fail by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	5¢	$3	0x3272f2…
09-13 15:30:54	Will Scotiabank fail by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xdf1f1a…
09-13 15:29:36	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	1,280	5¢	$70	0xc738bf…
08-20 21:02:37	Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?	Yes	BUY	635	3¢	$22	0x0ca663…
08-20 20:59:40	us bank failure by december 31 2026 20260720194747677	Yes	BUY	77	52¢	$40	0x94e00b…
08-20 15:58:39	Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026?	Yes	BUY	129	78¢	$100	0x511fb5…
08-07 22:08:34	will tsla dip to 300 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	264	38¢	$100	0xe217a3…
08-07 22:00:51	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x26eced…
08-07 21:55:07	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	BUY	61	66¢	$40	0x2ece6f…
08-07 21:51:37	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	435	23¢	$100	0xe66561…
08-06 21:08:42	will xauusd reach 4500 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	301	33¢	$100	0xdd741b…
08-06 21:08:18	will xauusd reach 4700 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	1,426	7¢	$100	0xd668e6…
07-09 06:14:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	57	96¢	$55	0x6d9384…
07-09 06:13:16	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x6c3342…
06-06 17:32:01	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0x7bbd12…
06-06 17:31:43	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	101	20¢	$20	0x7212d0…
06-06 17:30:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	971	2¢	$20	0xd26f90…
06-03 15:58:39	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x334ff1…
05-29 13:34:11	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	Yes	SELL	190	16¢	$30	0xde2c06…
05-29 13:33:41	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	Yes	SELL	300	75¢	$224	0x42d109…
05-24 19:29:11	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xa3440b…
05-21 17:18:07	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	Yes	BUY	99	11¢	$11	0xfeb2e2…
05-21 17:17:36	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x7bc882…
05-21 17:16:40	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	Yes	BUY	300	67¢	$200	0x55dcc3…
05-13 22:28:59	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xebb89b…
04-29 21:32:54	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x353ab9…
04-23 22:16:26	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,250	1¢	$10	0x4444da…
04-19 11:52:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	263	4¢	$10	0x4d92fd…
04-13 19:35:21	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	60	89¢	$53	0xc32fa7…
04-13 19:34:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	74	81¢	$61	0xa0e71d…
04-12 16:50:53	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 4pt5 and 5pt0	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xf01982…
04-12 16:50:43	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 3pt5 and 4pt0	Yes	BUY	43	12¢	$5	0xd57928…
04-12 16:50:31	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 4pt0 and 4pt5	Yes	BUY	234	2¢	$5	0x393bee…
04-12 16:50:03	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be less than 3pt5	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0xfc5df2…
04-12 16:40:47	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	714	1¢	$5	0x8569dc…
04-12 07:45:39	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	SELL	45	20¢	$9	0x27d1c1…
04-10 12:34:29	Canada recession before 2027?	Yes	BUY	248	40¢	$100	0x90b509…
04-09 17:37:07	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	Yes	SELL	927	79¢	$728	0x666c8e…
04-07 23:32:57	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1,533	3¢	$51	0x82a7c9…
04-07 13:13:21	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	7¢	$70	0x48aca8…
04-05 21:35:41	spx opens up or down on april 6 2026	Down	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xa5ceeb…
04-03 21:49:33	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	Yes	BUY	192	26¢	$50	0x8a9d3d…
04-02 22:06:35	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	Yes	BUY	927	6¢	$60	0x995cac…
04-02 18:33:03	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	500	6¢	$30	0xf66fb5…
04-02 18:22:25	will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x8850fb…
04-01 22:44:49	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	106	95¢	$100	0x5d73a5…
04-01 18:08:29	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,151	9¢	$100	0x779aa4…
04-01 13:30:57	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	245	20¢	$50	0x1ffb24…
04-01 13:29:37	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x401d8e…
04-01 13:27:57	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,111	4¢	$40	0x3e4246…
03-31 23:17:35	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x7a4948…
03-31 23:17:03	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x370ee1…
03-27 22:52:39	will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	BUY	87	92¢	$80	0xad5153…
03-27 22:50:51	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 31 2026 112	No	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x6083fe…
03-27 22:47:39	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0x53e245…
03-27 22:47:25	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x7b210e…
03-23 21:46:25	us iran nuclear deal by march 31	No	BUY	75	94¢	$70	0xe656cb…
03-23 21:40:15	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	588	2¢	$10	0x120f19…
03-22 22:28:53	us forces in venezuela again by march 31 2026	No	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0x1bbaa9…
03-22 22:27:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	74	67¢	$50	0xbfed35…
03-22 22:23:51	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	60	67¢	$40	0x2f76b6…
03-22 22:21:59	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x1a6358…
03-22 22:19:13	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x8e18f2…
03-22 22:18:47	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	BUY	92	89¢	$82	0x45cddd…
03-22 22:16:37	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 22 2026 392	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xd74778…
03-21 22:23:43	will cdu win the second most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	No	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x90b9f2…
03-21 22:19:17	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0xfe9987…
03-21 22:18:43	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0x237e60…
03-21 22:17:39	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	64	16¢	$10	0xb154ee…
02-06 19:21:59	ukraine election called by march 31 2026	No	SELL	11	95¢	$11	0xee2a3c…
02-05 17:56:19	us x iran nuclear talks resume by march 31	No	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x4df9ae…
02-05 17:55:41	x banned in uk by march 31	Yes	BUY	213	5¢	$10	0x2ce640…
02-02 21:19:50	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	Yes	BUY	150	10¢	$15	0x53f7c8…
02-02 21:19:20	us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	Yes	BUY	97	3¢	$3	0x912aff…
02-01 20:05:52	zelenskyy out as ukraine president by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	392	2¢	$9	0x1629e9…
02-01 20:01:54	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	271	4¢	$10	0x640a1c…
02-01 19:59:36	will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xbda823…
02-01 19:57:36	Will the US strike Iran next?	Yes	BUY	102	10¢	$10	0x6682eb…
02-01 19:56:16	us strikes iran by february 4 2026	Yes	BUY	205	4¢	$8	0x8a243a…
01-26 12:23:01	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	No	SELL	44	94¢	$42	0x4b1880…
01-24 14:11:32	First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	Gold	SELL	101	99¢	$101	0x0f0673…
01-20 21:36:26	will don lemon be criminally charged	Yes	BUY	96	27¢	$26	0x27b220…
01-15 21:32:54	iran strike on israel by january 31	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x8a7639…
01-15 15:39:42	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	Yes	SELL	234	6¢	$14	0xe1b3f8…
01-15 11:37:54	us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	Yes	BUY	393	25¢	$100	0x8d8531…
01-14 12:46:30	us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	Yes	BUY	243	49¢	$120	0xf7b82c…
01-14 11:18:42	us bank failure by january 31	Yes	BUY	322	5¢	$15	0xbcbdbe…
01-13 22:49:44	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x7751a7…