Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
75.7%
Resolved
26
Trades
73
lifetime
Volume
$859
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$155
12 positions
First seen
2026-05-26
last 10-21 20:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Politics
57% 67% -$18
Other
40% 83% +$16
Tech
2% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +29 $25 92¢ $27 +$2 07-13 22:52
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +21 $20 98¢ $21 +$1 05-28 06:05
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +50 $19 38¢ $19 $0 08-29 19:08
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +32 $15 44¢ $14 -$1 10-21 00:39
US recession by end of 2026? No +13 $10 92¢ $12 +$2 05-28 23:35
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +12 $10 92¢ $11 +$1 06-01 00:01
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +12 $10 94¢ $11 +$1 06-16 06:58
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? Yes +11 $10 94¢ $11 +$1 07-06 01:05
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +12 $10 86¢ $10 +$0 06-17 09:47
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +10 $8 82¢ $8 +$0 10-21 20:41
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +39 $10 17¢ $6 -$3 06-03 06:51
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +15 $5 26¢ $4 -$1 05-31 23:36