Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$159

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

55.2%

Resolved

282

Trades

566

lifetime

Volume

$31.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$56

Open exposure

$81

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 10-04 04:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Crypto

40% 90% -$47

Other

30% 44% -$224

Politics

30% 68% +$82

Tech

0% 100% +$8

Sports

0% 100% +$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	-25	-$23	98¢	$-24	-$1	09-19 23:22
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	-25	-$23	96¢	$-24	-$1	05-05 00:58
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?	No	-21	-$21	99¢	$-21	$0	09-24 06:29
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	-12	-$12	98¢	$-12	$0	10-04 04:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	28	$3.8K	2,172	2,172	+0	No	-$1	03-07 00:05
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	16	$2.4K	2,423	2,423	+0	Yes	-$25	02-22 23:36
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	27	$1.7K	1,614	1,414	+200	Yes	+$101	03-06 00:05
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	39	$1.5K	8,058	8,058	+0	No	$0	02-28 21:37
will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	6	$1.0K	700	700	+0	No	+$4	03-09 07:53
us forces enter iran by march 7	5	$984	500	500	+0	No	+$3	03-07 14:52
spx opens up or down on february 24 2026	14	$955	1,000	1,000	+0	Down	-$85	02-24 04:12
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	8	$943	605	605	+0	Yes	$0	03-03 12:36
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	5	$941	634	634	+0	Yes	+$30	03-07 23:53
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	8	$911	1,080	1,080	+0	Yes	-$26	03-02 04:05
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$890	500	500	+0	Yes	+$0	02-25 06:57
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	5	$624	1,225	1,225	+0	Yes	-$15	02-27 07:07
will the 2026 state of the union address last 100 minutes or longer	4	$449	645	645	+0	Yes	-$3	02-23 10:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 00:35 UTC	1	$215	285	0	+285	Down	+$70	02-15 00:39
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	13	$214	170	270	-100	No	-$1	03-10 14:46
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 00:15 UTC	1	$208	215	0	+215	Down	+$7	02-15 00:29
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-18 04:45 UTC	2	$206	104	104	+0	Up	-$1	02-18 04:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 00:15 UTC	1	$201	208	0	+208	Up	+$6	02-15 00:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 00:10 UTC	1	$199	201	0	+201	Down	+$2	02-15 00:14
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 03:15 UTC	3	$173	88	88	+0	Down	+$1	02-15 03:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 13:40 UTC	2	$155	78	78	+0	Down	+$0	02-18 13:43
bitcoin above 66k on february 20	3	$134	69	69	+0	Yes	+$3	02-20 16:12
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?	2	$131	67	67	+0	No	+$3	02-26 05:56
googl close above 300 on march 9 2026	9	$129	214	0	+214	Yes	-$129	03-09 14:50
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 11:05 UTC	2	$124	63	63	+0	Up	+$1	02-20 11:09
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-18 06:30 UTC	1	$113	128	0	+128	Down	+$14	02-18 06:44
elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 115 139	6	$113	61	163	-102	Yes	-$1	03-11 08:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 06:35 UTC	1	$112	113	0	+113	Up	+$1	02-18 06:39
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	2	$109	66	66	+0	open	—	10-04 04:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 06:25 UTC	1	$109	112	0	+112	Up	+$3	02-18 06:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-04 04:59:20	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xe2e439…
10-04 04:59:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x1ed867…
10-04 04:59:04	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0xdb9a15…
10-04 04:58:56	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	66	82¢	$54	0xfbf7d0…
10-01 11:53:17	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	66	84¢	$56	0x67f1c0…
09-24 06:29:33	Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x840cf3…
09-24 06:29:24	Will Iran legalize gay marriage?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0xd49551…
09-24 06:29:17	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	33	92¢	$31	0x1ba8c7…
09-20 10:24:18	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	33	93¢	$31	0x598b2c…
09-19 23:22:48	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	25	93¢	$23	0xd32dac…
09-13 04:56:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x2c88de…
09-13 04:55:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 15	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x3bca84…
09-13 04:55:37	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x9a1e06…
09-13 04:54:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xfbc18e…
07-26 12:18:19	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	29	92¢	$27	0x6a8a0e…
07-26 12:18:10	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	17	71¢	$12	0x6e8c5a…
07-02 16:06:46	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 2?	No	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x35e60b…
07-02 16:06:37	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 2?	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x9365fc…
07-02 16:06:37	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 2?	No	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x841b06…
07-02 13:22:29	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 2?	No	BUY	31	0¢	$0	0xae26d4…
07-02 13:22:19	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 2?	No	BUY	54	0¢	$0	0x1885b9…
07-02 09:19:29	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 2?	No	SELL	75	4¢	$3	0xd27061…
07-02 08:28:20	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 2?	No	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xfc976f…
07-02 08:28:20	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 2?	No	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0xcc692a…
07-02 06:23:43	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 2?	No	SELL	19	4¢	$1	0x22f8d8…
07-02 04:56:29	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 2?	No	SELL	22	4¢	$1	0xce9b50…
07-02 04:52:32	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 2?	No	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0x113409…
07-02 04:30:19	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	29	93¢	$27	0x756016…
07-02 04:29:22	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x9fcbdb…
07-02 04:28:55	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0x55d2c9…
07-02 04:28:17	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xfb9670…
07-02 04:27:34	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x08ab15…
07-02 04:16:43	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 2?	No	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xc711f5…
07-02 04:00:28	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 2?	No	SELL	75	4¢	$3	0xd1b0dc…
07-02 03:58:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	121	3¢	$4	0x73aa65…
07-02 03:19:02	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	31	4¢	$1	0xdae736…
07-02 03:15:50	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xeebcf4…
07-02 03:14:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xfa9ba3…
07-02 00:35:52	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 2?	No	BUY	89	2¢	$2	0x783115…
07-02 00:34:46	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 2?	No	BUY	26	3¢	$1	0xa6d9f9…
07-02 00:33:52	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 2?	No	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xad25e3…
07-02 00:33:50	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 2?	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xeab1fa…
07-02 00:33:50	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 2?	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xe37585…
07-02 00:33:44	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 2?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x755774…
07-02 00:33:34	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 2?	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xca1c3c…
07-02 00:33:34	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 2?	No	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xb12be8…
07-02 00:33:34	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 2?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x9cfdea…
07-02 00:33:23	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 2?	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x120647…
07-02 00:31:52	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 2?	No	BUY	150	11¢	$16	0xcc5061…
07-01 23:54:23	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 2?	No	SELL	150	11¢	$16	0x3400d5…
07-01 23:42:47	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 2?	No	BUY	150	11¢	$16	0x14f0bb…
05-17 22:52:58	Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x0edcb3…
05-16 22:47:58	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	25	83¢	$21	0x856068…
05-16 22:47:49	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	18	83¢	$15	0x47a463…
05-05 03:54:22	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	18	86¢	$15	0xa835ae…
05-05 02:56:22	Will MrBeast's video get between 62 and 64 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	25	70¢	$18	0xd57beb…
05-05 01:43:30	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	No	BUY	17	79¢	$13	0x29d3ab…
05-05 01:43:18	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xf06a68…
05-05 01:22:28	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	30	78¢	$24	0xcfeca9…
05-05 01:01:38	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	22	79¢	$17	0x17f475…
05-05 00:58:24	Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	SELL	25	93¢	$23	0x09e19e…
04-07 19:25:35	Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by April 30?	No	BUY	25	68¢	$17	0xb59443…
04-01 19:16:39	will the dhs shutdown last 52 days or more 416	Yes	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x29c11b…
03-30 16:13:59	Will USD fall to 1.3M Iranian rials by April 30?	No	BUY	22	88¢	$19	0xba9dc3…
03-29 23:01:24	will our homeland movement mi haznk finish with the third most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	22	86¢	$19	0x851cac…
03-29 23:00:18	will the dhs shutdown end after march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x053d22…
03-24 15:55:25	will the dhs shutdown end after march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0xc49f09…
03-24 15:54:49	will the dhs shutdown end after march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xf96c14…
03-24 11:36:47	will our homeland movement mi haznk finish with the third most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	4	93¢	$3	0xf5126f…
03-24 11:36:39	will our homeland movement mi haznk finish with the third most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x5904da…
03-24 11:31:33	will our homeland movement mi haznk finish with the third most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x5384e9…
03-24 11:31:31	will our homeland movement mi haznk finish with the third most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	4	93¢	$3	0x62f229…
03-24 10:42:43	will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 11 be between 80 and 90	Yes	BUY	11	96¢	$10	0x129642…
03-24 10:42:37	will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 11 be between 80 and 90	Yes	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x826234…
03-18 07:36:23	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 280 299	No	BUY	25	82¢	$20	0x29b469…
03-15 15:08:43	will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 795 942	No	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0xbe5fff…
03-14 21:56:19	will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 795 942	Yes	BUY	52	50¢	$26	0x8c68f2…
03-14 21:56:19	will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 795 942	No	SELL	48	50¢	$24	0x8c68f2…
03-14 08:55:01	will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 795 942	Yes	SELL	52	52¢	$27	0x5dc215…
03-14 08:55:01	will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 795 942	No	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x5dc215…
03-11 08:33:43	elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 115 139	Yes	SELL	102	52¢	$53	0x3a7212…
03-11 08:24:07	elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 115 139	Yes	BUY	51	53¢	$27	0x187d9b…
03-11 08:24:07	elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 115 139	No	SELL	51	47¢	$24	0x187d9b…
03-11 08:23:53	elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 115 139	No	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0x05fc23…
03-11 08:23:19	elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 115 139	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x776461…
03-11 08:23:11	elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 115 139	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x5eded5…
03-10 14:46:21	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	No	SELL	32	33¢	$11	0xcf223d…
03-10 14:45:27	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	No	SELL	18	38¢	$7	0x12c50a…
03-10 14:41:13	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	Yes	SELL	40	55¢	$22	0xf3d39d…
03-10 14:41:13	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	No	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0xe8fb7b…
03-10 14:41:09	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	Yes	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x65214d…
03-10 14:41:07	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	Yes	SELL	30	54¢	$16	0x5014f0…
03-10 14:41:03	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	Yes	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x5faa6e…
03-10 14:36:27	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	No	SELL	50	48¢	$24	0xf0cc4e…
03-10 14:36:27	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	Yes	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0xf0cc4e…
03-10 14:29:41	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	No	BUY	35	47¢	$16	0x774a37…
03-10 14:29:41	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	Yes	SELL	35	53¢	$19	0x774a37…
03-10 14:09:31	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	No	SELL	35	49¢	$17	0x370133…
03-10 14:09:31	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	Yes	BUY	35	51¢	$18	0x370133…
03-09 14:50:01	googl close above 300 on march 9 2026	No	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0x4dcd40…