Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$414

Unrealized P&L

-$6.38K

Hit rate

87.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

765

765 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$403.7K

$403.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

$528

Open exposure

$165.8K

23 positions

First seen

2026-09-24

last 10-30 00:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Politics

52% 64% -$4,016

Other

46% 62% +$3,588

Tech

2% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day

Open positions (23) Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+77,500	$65,465	82¢	$63.9K	-$1,528	10-27 10:39
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	+21,000	$17,950	97¢	$20.4K	+$2,420	10-27 00:59
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	+16,225	$13,981	99¢	$16.1K	+$2,082	10-27 20:37
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? (copy)	No	+15,500	$13,963	98¢	$15.3K	+$1,304	10-22 00:54
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	No	+10,000	$9,344	99¢	$9.9K	+$546	10-27 00:59
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	+8,212	$7,841	98¢	$8.0K	+$182	10-22 07:14
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	+6,176	$5,541	99¢	$6.1K	+$594	10-24 02:57
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?	No	+5,000	$4,425	99¢	$4.9K	+$502	10-06 02:02
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	+4,911	$4,271	99¢	$4.9K	+$591	10-26 11:35
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	No	+3,969	$2,893	84¢	$3.3K	+$422	10-14 05:06
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+20,988	$4,853	16¢	$3.3K	-$1,600	10-18 02:43
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	+2,470	$8,678	97¢	$2.4K	-$6,282	10-29 22:58
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	+3,100	$2,790	66¢	$2.0K	-$759	10-18 09:36
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	+2,000	$1,812	99¢	$2.0K	+$167	10-14 06:06
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	No	+1,262	$966	99¢	$1.3K	+$284	10-24 02:56
US imports Russian diesel by December 31?	Yes	+1,500	$1,282	62¢	$922	-$359	10-26 01:59
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1,400	$615	45¢	$630	+$15	10-19 10:57
will russia announce a new forced mobilization by october 31 2026	No	+294	$265	100¢	$293	+$29	09-27 06:46
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8?	Yes	+210	$142	52¢	$108	-$34	10-03 11:19
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	No	+444	$155	18¢	$82	-$73	10-04 15:57
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	+2,470	$5,059	3¢	$74	-$4,985	10-30 00:44
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+5,000	$76	0¢	$23	-$54	10-04 01:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	+0	-$156	100¢	$0	+$156	10-27 06:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	97	$80.6K	86,401	8,901	+77,500	open	—	10-27 10:39
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	78	$42.4K	45,510	40,570	+4,940	open	—	10-30 00:44
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	24	$22.0K	11,412	11,412	+0	open	—	10-27 02:23
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	15	$17.9K	21,000	0	+21,000	open	—	10-27 00:59
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	5	$17.4K	18,000	0	+18,000	No	+$589	09-29 02:14
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	4	$16.7K	15,666	15,666	+0	open	—	10-06 02:01
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	16	$14.0K	16,225	0	+16,225	open	—	10-27 20:37
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	22	$14.0K	9,822	4,911	+4,911	open	—	10-26 11:35
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? (copy)	2	$14.0K	15,500	0	+15,500	open	—	10-22 00:54
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	6	$13.5K	15,000	0	+15,000	No	+$1,500	10-05 06:19
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	21	$10.6K	6,000	6,000	+0	open	—	10-04 12:58
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	12	$10.3K	5,500	5,500	+0	Yes	+$70	10-08 10:00
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	24	$9.3K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	10-27 00:59
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	5	$7.8K	8,212	0	+8,212	open	—	10-22 07:14
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	5	$6.7K	3,409	3,409	+0	No	+$80	10-01 06:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	10	$5.7K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	10-27 06:58
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	5	$5.5K	6,176	0	+6,176	open	—	10-24 02:57
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?	16	$5.2K	2,768	2,768	+0	open	—	10-08 07:10
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	28	$4.9K	20,988	0	+20,988	open	—	10-18 02:43
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?	4	$4.4K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	10-06 02:02
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	5	$4.4K	3,000	1,738	+1,262	open	—	10-24 02:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	9	$4.0K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	10-05 08:11
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?	15	$3.8K	4,273	0	+4,273	No	+$491	10-06 14:48
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?	10	$3.6K	2,942	1,047	+1,895	open	—	10-21 03:46
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	12	$3.4K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	10-08 00:19
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?	1	$3.3K	3,400	0	+3,400	Yes	+$98	10-03 02:25
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	18	$2.9K	3,969	0	+3,969	open	—	10-14 05:06
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$2.9K	3,500	3,500	+0	Yes	-$2,853	10-26 01:56
Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 10, 2026?	1	$2.8K	3,000	0	+3,000	No	+$210	10-03 02:20
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	8	$2.8K	3,100	0	+3,100	open	—	10-18 09:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 00:44:37	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	7,500	13¢	$1,002	0xcca836…
10-30 00:13:55	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	2,500	50¢	$1,248	0xd83626…
10-30 00:13:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	44	59¢	$26	0x9189f5…
10-30 00:13:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	740	59¢	$436	0x67ce86…
10-30 00:13:13	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	144	59¢	$85	0xf3f80b…
10-30 00:13:13	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0xf2db93…
10-30 00:13:13	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	137	59¢	$81	0x748371…
10-30 00:13:13	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x4e1c7b…
10-30 00:13:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0xc3d335…
10-30 00:13:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	262	59¢	$155	0x85f5d4…
10-30 00:13:10	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x677e57…
10-30 00:13:10	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x35c2bd…
10-30 00:13:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	56	59¢	$33	0xc8101b…
10-30 00:13:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	16	59¢	$9	0xa51c81…
10-30 00:13:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	40	59¢	$24	0x4bfaa7…
10-30 00:13:07	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x38471e…
10-30 00:13:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0xf32c21…
10-30 00:13:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	2,590	58¢	$1,494	0xaed89b…
10-30 00:13:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x2ea722…
10-30 00:13:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0x214c97…
10-30 00:13:04	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	156	59¢	$92	0x70be34…
10-30 00:13:04	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	13	59¢	$7	0x13eda9…
10-30 00:13:04	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x02281f…
10-29 22:58:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	8,792	41¢	$3,622	0x344153…
10-29 22:58:40	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	885	50¢	$443	0xdf14d4…
10-29 22:58:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xd89c32…
10-29 22:58:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	1	50¢	$0	0xc572ef…
10-29 22:58:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	288	46¢	$132	0x680f74…
10-29 22:58:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	250	40¢	$100	0x9307cb…
10-29 22:57:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	500	39¢	$195	0x8d22b4…
10-29 22:56:52	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	118	50¢	$59	0xe725ec…
10-29 22:55:52	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	6,000	46¢	$2,738	0x002906…
10-29 22:55:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	60	50¢	$30	0x2882b1…
10-29 22:55:31	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	926	50¢	$463	0x8cd8a4…
10-27 20:37:38	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	906	93¢	$842	0x9ef6f6…
10-27 20:16:35	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	236	93¢	$220	0x3acf95…
10-27 20:11:42	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	743	93¢	$691	0x8dedfe…
10-27 20:11:38	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xde6ce5…
10-27 18:02:57	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	613	93¢	$571	0x8687de…
10-27 10:39:36	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2,500	82¢	$2,050	0x643ff3…
10-27 06:58:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,420	98¢	$1,396	0xc0f8dd…
10-27 04:02:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x0046e4…
10-27 03:26:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x26fb2c…
10-27 02:23:47	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	SELL	3,308	100¢	$3,291	0x52fbb3…
10-27 02:19:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	55	98¢	$54	0x734b02…
10-27 02:19:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xe1b14f…
10-27 01:24:27	France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?	No	BUY	900	89¢	$798	0x1d5b62…
10-27 01:02:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	3,000	90¢	$2,700	0x75aed3…
10-27 01:00:50	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	SELL	3,308	99¢	$3,288	0x571104…
10-27 01:00:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	2,000	90¢	$1,800	0x28f65c…
10-27 00:59:57	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	635	95¢	$603	0xe90ad6…
10-27 00:59:39	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	565	95¢	$537	0x55ffa2…
10-27 00:59:24	Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	96¢	$960	0x0e3f50…
10-26 11:35:47	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4,176	99¢	$4,126	0x22f067…
10-26 11:26:05	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,300	95¢	$2,185	0x608f42…
10-26 02:55:11	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	SELL	208	99¢	$206	0x08ff10…
10-26 02:55:05	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	SELL	1,997	99¢	$1,975	0xc3c0e8…
10-26 01:59:08	US imports Russian diesel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,500	85¢	$1,282	0xc589c1…
10-26 01:56:57	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	3,500	0¢	$7	0x822724…
10-26 01:54:09	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	735	99¢	$726	0x0e45a4…
10-24 02:57:14	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	500	92¢	$460	0x9f6854…
10-24 02:56:41	Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	116	99¢	$114	0x39f58e…
10-22 11:52:45	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	66	93¢	$62	0x7649c5…
10-22 11:48:17	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x97b51f…
10-22 11:39:50	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0x1905d6…
10-22 10:36:26	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	0	84¢	$0	0x93fca9…
10-22 10:36:20	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	0	84¢	$0	0x5b6372…
10-22 10:33:08	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xab6a6e…
10-22 10:21:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	38	84¢	$32	0x632af0…
10-22 10:11:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2,260	84¢	$1,899	0x2355b5…
10-22 10:03:38	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	0	84¢	$0	0xa07940…
10-22 10:03:38	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	0	84¢	$0	0x335b62…
10-22 10:02:35	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xeb1281…
10-22 09:55:53	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	714	93¢	$664	0x83902f…
10-22 09:37:14	France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?	No	BUY	215	90¢	$194	0xe60b39…
10-22 09:36:38	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0xc2c00f…
10-22 09:36:38	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0x4208cd…
10-22 09:27:38	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x312865…
10-22 09:19:17	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	0	84¢	$0	0xcf362b…
10-22 09:19:17	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	0	84¢	$0	0x4d54ab…
10-22 09:08:02	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x44b703…
10-22 09:06:09	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	713	93¢	$663	0x35818f…
10-22 09:02:41	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	327	84¢	$275	0x46aa69…
10-22 09:01:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	39	84¢	$33	0x0c95c9…
10-22 09:00:59	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	4	84¢	$4	0xfb5b98…
10-22 09:00:59	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	39	84¢	$33	0x63351f…
10-22 09:00:59	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	4	84¢	$4	0x2155ef…
10-22 08:51:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0x3d59d5…
10-22 08:26:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x47ae55…
10-22 08:20:00	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	71	93¢	$66	0x2f21c0…
10-22 07:49:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	233	98¢	$229	0xa5ee32…
10-22 07:46:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x930d8c…
10-22 07:45:42	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	330	93¢	$307	0xd03484…
10-22 07:45:42	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,005	93¢	$1,864	0xa5cbcc…
10-22 07:44:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x16f9d9…
10-22 07:22:38	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,373	94¢	$2,231	0xae8881…
10-22 07:14:18	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	BUY	1,000	95¢	$949	0x905446…
10-22 07:05:53	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	84	94¢	$79	0xa09a05…
10-22 06:47:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xaf5940…
10-22 06:44:39	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	113	94¢	$106	0x296b5b…