Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$43

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

71.2%

Resolved

230

Trades

342

lifetime

Volume

$1.30K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-19

last 09-12 20:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 94 days

Categories

Other

83% 75% -$52

Politics

11% 65% +$7

Crypto

3% 57% +$2

Sports

2% 33% -$1

Tech

1% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	No		+2	$1	99¢	$2	+$1	05-06 00:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 23?	4	$15	13	7	+6	No	-$1	05-23 20:12
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C or below on July 15?	3	$15	17	0	+17	No	+$2	07-14 13:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	6	$13	9	9	+0	Yes	+$1	04-14 18:20
highest temperature in denver on april 16 2026 72 73f	3	$12	7	6	+2	No	+$1	04-16 21:30
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 13?	2	$12	14	0	+14	No	+$2	06-13 21:33
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 17?	2	$11	13	0	+13	No	+$1	06-17 21:41
highest temperature in beijing on april 16 2026 18corbelow	3	$11	7	7	+1	No	-$2	04-15 09:00
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on May 30?	2	$10	6	6	+0	No	+$0	05-30 04:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	2	$10	12	12	+0	Yes	$0	05-22 12:53
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on September 12?	2	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	09-12 20:21
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C or higher on August 22?	2	$10	11	0	+11	Yes	-$10	08-21 07:58
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on September 1?	2	$10	12	0	+12	No	+$2	09-01 21:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$10	6	6	+0	No	+$0	05-22 17:40
highest temperature in chicago on april 16 2026 66 67f	3	$10	6	5	+1	No	+$1	04-16 06:28
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on May 23?	3	$10	7	7	+0	Yes	-$2	05-23 18:08
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	2	$10	7	7	+0	Yes	$0	05-22 13:34
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 27?	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-27 08:18
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on June 12?	1	$9	11	0	+11	Yes	-$9	06-12 15:31
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	05-07 20:39
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-07 20:39
highest temperature in denver on april 14 2026 58 59f	2	$9	5	4	+1	No	+$1	04-15 02:26
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on May 27?	2	$9	6	6	+0	No	-$2	05-27 17:47
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-07 20:39
highest temperature in nyc on april 13 2026 78 79f	2	$9	10	0	+10	Yes	-$9	04-12 17:03
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on May 23?	2	$9	6	6	+0	No	-$1	05-23 19:41
highest temperature in denver on april 14 2026 60 61f	2	$9	5	4	+1	No	+$1	04-15 02:26
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on May 18?	3	$9	6	6	+0	No	-$1	05-17 16:30
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C or higher on May 12?	3	$9	6	6	+0	Yes	-$1	05-11 19:47
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	2	$9	5	4	+1	No	+$1	05-06 19:27
highest temperature in seattle on april 14 2026 50 51f	2	$8	5	4	+1	No	+$1	04-15 02:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-12 20:21:19	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on September 12?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x2a1546…
09-12 06:01:18	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on September 12?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xa481a0…
09-11 21:32:40	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on September 12?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x19a5c0…
09-08 20:37:25	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on September 8?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x72bc8c…
09-08 00:56:00	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on September 8?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x735f4a…
09-07 01:37:04	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C or higher on September 7?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xb56fad…
09-06 22:46:57	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on September 7?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xaf03be…
09-04 21:11:12	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xa319d1…
09-04 20:33:15	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on September 5?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xc7162a…
09-01 21:54:49	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on September 1?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xe03caa…
09-01 21:43:18	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on September 1?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xabc99b…
09-01 21:05:31	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on September 1?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x471c93…
08-31 20:18:36	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on August 31?	No	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0xc58035…
08-31 06:02:31	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on August 31?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xa2f136…
08-31 06:02:30	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on August 31?	No	BUY	4	84¢	$4	0x6ede56…
08-29 23:48:51	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x99c3c6…
08-29 04:30:30	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on August 29?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xae2ee7…
08-27 21:10:43	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 27?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x870e36…
08-27 14:33:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on August 28?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xa9420b…
08-25 22:21:24	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on August 26?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x76018a…
08-23 13:40:10	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xea905d…
08-23 07:28:48	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C or higher on August 23?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x0f61b4…
08-23 07:25:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C or higher on August 23?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x0cbecb…
08-22 04:54:36	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 22?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x7d91f1…
08-21 22:09:45	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 102-103°F on August 21?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x382aab…
08-21 19:36:24	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 99°F or below on August 21?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xcc8492…
08-21 07:58:33	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C or higher on August 22?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x52bca7…
08-21 07:57:04	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C or higher on August 22?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xea4f62…
08-19 20:51:15	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 19?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x493579…
08-19 02:49:18	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 19?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x4eb7a8…
08-17 13:09:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or below on August 18?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x9d416c…
08-16 20:22:31	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on August 16?	No	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0x8d4d49…
08-16 01:21:24	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 71°F or below on August 16?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x8a2b83…
08-15 22:56:04	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 73°F or below on August 15?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x1ca6be…
08-15 21:01:10	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 16?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x3cba9c…
08-13 00:10:36	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 13?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xa5b75e…
08-10 00:42:57	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on August 10?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xfe3441…
08-08 22:08:54	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 8?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x2a3790…
08-08 02:47:40	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on August 8?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x2848cc…
08-04 23:39:45	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on August 5?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xe27c8c…
08-03 21:45:09	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on August 4?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xe7bc1f…
07-31 21:06:41	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on August 1?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x7e0d90…
07-30 21:54:57	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 30?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x3191ed…
07-29 13:05:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on July 30?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x21e686…
07-26 23:53:16	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on July 27?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xcaaff8…
07-26 20:20:24	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 27?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xb1fd15…
07-26 11:35:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C or below on July 27?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xe3cdd3…
07-25 20:55:07	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 102-103°F on July 25?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x449ce9…
07-24 03:31:39	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on July 24?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xcd3aa1…
07-24 01:13:46	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on July 24?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x839ad2…
07-21 21:12:25	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 22?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x68da9c…
07-21 12:55:39	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on July 22?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x0be63f…
07-20 21:04:01	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on July 21?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xf8b3d6…
07-19 17:10:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on July 20?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x46764b…
07-17 10:27:13	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on July 18?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x7b7493…
07-16 21:31:16	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on July 17?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xc8f1b5…
07-14 19:35:13	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 94°F or higher on July 14?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xa3133f…
07-14 13:57:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C or below on July 15?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x269ac8…
07-14 13:38:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C or below on July 15?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x11e136…
07-14 13:19:32	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C or below on July 15?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x63834d…
07-14 01:05:16	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on July 14?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x6ae791…
07-13 20:45:34	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on July 13?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xe63da4…
07-13 20:45:19	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on July 13?	No	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0xa5d5e2…
07-13 13:20:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or below on July 13?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xcf8d20…
07-13 07:12:46	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on July 13?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x262c85…
07-12 09:09:55	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C or higher on July 13?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x62c61f…
07-11 19:53:28	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on July 12?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x363bfe…
07-11 11:48:50	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C or higher on July 12?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xa2cf1e…
07-10 19:30:31	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 11?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x2f648f…
07-10 07:04:56	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on July 11?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xaeff9c…
07-07 22:58:50	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on July 7?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x8aea49…
07-06 23:48:29	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 7?	No	BUY	4	88¢	$4	0x6a0507…
07-06 06:41:32	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C or higher on July 6?	No	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0x7f72f3…
07-05 18:04:13	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 5?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x2305a3…
07-04 01:08:37	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on July 4?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x22723b…
07-01 22:26:41	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on July 2?	No	BUY	3	86¢	$2	0x7e183c…
07-01 22:23:10	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on July 2?	No	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xa55b80…
06-30 21:27:47	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on July 1?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x9a7b65…
06-29 20:22:07	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 30?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x769380…
06-27 00:47:47	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 27?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x0dc54d…
06-24 21:05:17	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on June 25?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x7e809a…
06-24 07:16:37	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on June 24?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x0eb6c9…
06-23 14:52:50	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on June 23?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x2ab70d…
06-21 06:35:01	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on June 22?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$6	0x0b9dd7…
06-21 03:24:37	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on June 21?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xb58a13…
06-21 03:24:37	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on June 21?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x8f711f…
06-18 07:19:29	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C or below on June 19?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xe916a4…
06-17 21:41:56	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 17?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x996a88…
06-17 21:31:37	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 17?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$9	0x8f24b7…
06-17 16:09:31	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on June 18?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xc47a7b…
06-16 06:32:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C or higher on June 17?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x730838…
06-15 08:46:31	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C or below on June 16?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x83ebf8…
06-14 15:13:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or higher on June 15?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xe7e1dc…
06-13 21:33:18	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 13?	No	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x69cb04…
06-13 21:32:39	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 13?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x47fdf4…
06-13 21:17:57	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on June 14?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x483907…
06-13 20:40:06	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 14?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x36c5ae…
06-12 15:31:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on June 12?	No	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0x098438…
06-06 20:35:54	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 7?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x8bf8c9…
06-04 13:54:06	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on June 5?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x4b560a…