Realized P&L
-$525
Unrealized P&L
+$26
Hit rate
50.6%
Resolved
30
Trades
113
lifetime
Volume
$2.95K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$176
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-26
last 10-27 19:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 24 days
Categories
Politics
40% 40% +$167
Sports
31% 50% -$841
Tech
16% 50% +$17
Other
12% 86% +$132
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +251 $40 26¢ $66 +$26 08-30 08:25
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +76 $43 63¢ $48 +$5 10-27 19:57
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +30 $24 94¢ $28 +$4 08-30 08:33
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +274 $39 10¢ $26 -$13 08-30 08:24
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -4 -$3 97¢ $-4 -$1 05-13 10:50
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -3 -$2 98¢ $-3 $0 05-13 10:48
Will Jeff Bezos be richest person on December 31? Yes -333 -$1 0¢ $-1 +$0 07-15 14:20
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -2 -$6 10¢ $-0 +$5 07-15 14:17