Realized P&L
+$2
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
54.5%
Resolved
3
Trades
106
lifetime
Volume
$282
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$22
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-14
last 06-10 23:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Sports
36% 100% +$2
Other
33% 50% $-0
Politics
31%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +9 $6 76¢ $7 +$1 06-06 18:44
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? No +15 $5 39¢ $6 +$1 06-05 00:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +20 $5 28¢ $6 +$0 06-07 06:45
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +5 $4 70¢ $4 $-0 06-07 21:46
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? Yes +53 $1 $0 $-1 06-07 03:17
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? No +7 $5 $0 $-5 06-07 15:03