Realized P&L
+$2.47K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.92K
Hit rate
67.5%
Resolved
1,800
Trades
9,657
lifetime
Volume
$566.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$59
Open exposure
$3.69K
28 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-30 16:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 276 days
Categories
Politics
50% 56% +$6,485
Other
45% 33% -$10,561
Crypto
3% 54% +$1,771
Sports
2% 38% +$4,942
Tech
0% 25% -$165
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 93 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes -884 -$707 96¢ $-850 -$144 07-14 02:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +777 $676 90¢ $695 +$19 10-19 15:58
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes +349 $233 75¢ $262 +$29 10-15 12:23
us announces end of iranian blockade by march 31 2027 Yes +355 $262 62¢ $218 -$44 10-04 14:33
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +259 -$283 78¢ $203 +$486 10-25 21:34
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,223 $218 16¢ $196 -$22 08-11 22:28
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +441 $470 42¢ $185 -$285 10-29 21:56
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +278 $90 66¢ $184 +$94 10-27 13:22
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 Yes +2,672 $1,271 6¢ $174 -$1,097 10-22 21:27
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? Yes +400 $212 34¢ $136 -$76 10-19 11:24
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? Yes +777 $139 16¢ $128 -$11 09-29 11:28
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026? Yes +777 $129 8¢ $66 -$63 09-29 11:28
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +603 $124 8¢ $48 -$76 07-17 04:00
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? Yes +1,578 $467 3¢ $47 -$420 09-28 19:03
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 Yes +340 $80 12¢ $41 -$39 07-21 11:13
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes +297 $85 12¢ $36 -$49 06-18 14:33
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +1,424 $53 2¢ $36 -$17 10-20 21:10
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +633 $110 5¢ $32 -$79 07-23 13:19
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) Yes +1,970 $179 2¢ $30 -$150 10-19 10:52
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +895 $44 3¢ $27 -$17 10-28 21:44
nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512 Yes +334 $87 8¢ $25 -$62 07-07 13:40
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +139 $324 15¢ $21 -$303 10-10 21:15
israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026 Yes +439 $57 4¢ $20 -$38 07-08 14:34
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $36 8¢ $15 -$21 10-26 08:43
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? Yes +658 $255 1¢ $8 -$248 09-29 17:16
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 Yes +150 $75 3¢ $4 -$70 05-18 12:03
us imports russian diesel by october 31 Yes +555 $67 0¢ $2 -$64 10-14 22:44
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +0 -$849 82¢ $0 +$850 10-03 10:53