Triangular-Brunch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.08K

Unrealized P&L

+$139

Hit rate

66.4%

Resolved

620

Trades

2,490

lifetime

Volume

$148.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$60

Open exposure

$339

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-24 12:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 162 days

Categories

Other

40% 56% -$2,019

Politics

23% 60% -$1,924

Sports

22% 40% -$2,711

Tech

8% 67% +$124

Crypto

6% 88% +$450

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		-338	-$318	97¢	$-328	-$10	05-06 10:49
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No		-451	-$160	2¢	$-11	+$149	06-05 00:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	26	$4.7K	3,224	3,223	+0	No	+$132	06-01 00:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	20	$3.6K	2,479	2,479	+0	No	-$344	05-30 10:18
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	35	$3.5K	1,999	1,997	+3	Yes	+$249	05-19 17:40
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	38	$2.1K	1,742	1,742	+0	No	-$501	05-30 08:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	11	$2.1K	1,200	1,200	+0	No	+$84	05-24 02:54
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	23	$1.9K	1,100	1,100	+0	Yes	+$187	05-14 10:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	16	$1.9K	1,000	999	+1	Yes	+$74	04-02 12:12
will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	17	$1.6K	1,124	1,124	+0	Yes	+$619	06-15 21:47
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	8	$1.4K	830	830	+0	No	+$167	05-25 16:16
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	11	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$125	06-14 03:04
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?	14	$1.2K	700	700	+0	No	+$103	06-24 22:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	6	$1.2K	700	700	+0	No	+$82	05-21 17:43
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	4	$1.2K	700	700	+0	No	+$147	05-23 00:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	7	$1.2K	600	599	+1	No	+$25	04-16 07:22
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	9	$1.1K	790	790	+0	No	-$151	05-23 09:56
will bitcoin dip to 60k march 30 april 5	20	$1.1K	506	599	-93	No	+$36	04-05 02:03
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by June 30?	5	$1.0K	600	600	+0	No	+$139	06-24 22:34
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	4	$1.0K	732	732	+0	Knicks	+$351	06-11 01:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	20	$1.0K	600	600	+0	No	+$62	04-23 14:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	22	$905	510	510	+0	No	+$85	05-12 05:44
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	12	$817	513	513	+0	No	-$129	04-14 00:12
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	17	$815	520	520	+0	No	-$68	04-29 09:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	9	$809	430	428	+2	No	+$36	04-17 13:57
fifwc tur par 2026 06 19 first half total 0pt5	3	$784	470	470	+0	Over	+$155	06-20 03:39
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	14	$774	410	410	+0	No	+$24	04-19 05:22
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	9	$764	440	440	+0	No	+$92	04-29 01:36
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	13	$755	400	398	+2	No	+$38	04-29 01:35
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	10	$737	500	500	+0	Yes	+$193	06-30 11:27
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	17	$730	400	400	+0	Yes	+$19	05-09 09:08
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	5	$725	400	400	+0	No	+$67	04-22 00:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 12:14:45	Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	24	40¢	$10	0x771e2e…
10-24 12:14:30	Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	6	40¢	$3	0xcab1b0…
10-24 12:14:24	Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	6	40¢	$3	0x5e27b6…
10-24 12:14:18	Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	14	40¢	$5	0x8a5e25…
10-23 02:42:18	Spread: Thunder (-7.5)	Thunder	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xc2bb22…
10-21 23:30:51	Hornets vs. Nets	Nets	SELL	40	47¢	$19	0x3879ee…
10-21 15:42:41	Hornets vs. Nets	Nets	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0xca3816…
10-18 13:49:50	Texans vs. Jaguars	Texans	BUY	44	40¢	$17	0x8e57f9…
10-15 01:30:04	cfb kenest msrst 2026 10 14	Kennesaw State	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0xcd27b2…
10-15 01:30:02	cfb kenest msrst 2026 10 14	Kennesaw State	BUY	99	45¢	$45	0x58b371…
08-22 04:15:45	dota2 ts8 liquid 2026 08 21	Team Liquid	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0xfa5fc8…
08-22 04:15:45	dota2 ts8 liquid 2026 08 21	Team Liquid	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xb0562e…
08-22 04:15:45	dota2 ts8 liquid 2026 08 21	Team Liquid	BUY	92	14¢	$13	0xac6eb7…
08-22 04:15:45	dota2 ts8 liquid 2026 08 21	Team Liquid	BUY	91	14¢	$13	0x9a07a2…
08-22 04:15:43	dota2 ts8 liquid 2026 08 21	Team Liquid	BUY	200	14¢	$28	0xdd0517…
08-22 04:15:21	dota2 ts8 liquid 2026 08 21	Team Liquid	BUY	60	14¢	$8	0x77c489…
08-21 10:19:37	lol bro2 fox1 2026 08 21	HANJIN BRION	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0x0efd5b…
07-22 00:47:42	mlb sd atl 2026 07 21	Atlanta Braves	SELL	185	14¢	$26	0x962589…
07-21 23:26:03	mlb sd atl 2026 07 21	Atlanta Braves	BUY	185	52¢	$96	0x545e89…
07-21 23:03:28	mlb min cle 2026 07 21	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0xee895e…
07-21 23:02:45	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	200	72¢	$144	0x879fa2…
07-21 23:01:30	mlb min cle 2026 07 21	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x1f3608…
07-21 22:59:48	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	SELL	189	18¢	$34	0x1c8a0b…
07-21 22:59:27	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	SELL	11	19¢	$2	0x91252a…
07-21 02:03:18	mlb cin sea 2026 07 20	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	300	39¢	$117	0x90bb15…
07-16 01:29:14	Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?	Yes	SELL	128	95¢	$121	0x5a0fdc…
07-15 18:30:46	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	England	BUY	200	54¢	$108	0xb6d5cd…
07-15 09:01:01	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	500	23¢	$114	0x9f13c2…
07-14 18:53:40	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	Spain	BUY	110	44¢	$49	0x0dea9b…
07-12 00:40:38	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	200	24¢	$49	0x526cf4…
07-11 15:53:04	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	210	26¢	$54	0xf9cc97…
07-11 15:52:35	Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?	Yes	SELL	42	92¢	$39	0x1d3d9e…
07-11 15:52:13	Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?	Yes	SELL	30	93¢	$28	0x693079…
07-11 15:51:56	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	170	6¢	$9	0xae154a…
07-07 15:40:52	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	112	24¢	$27	0x0d738a…
07-07 15:40:50	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	57	24¢	$14	0xb5cc34…
07-06 00:59:38	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	No	BUY	300	63¢	$189	0xbe7691…
07-05 02:38:08	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0xcbaeff…
07-04 20:52:31	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 spread away 1pt5	France	BUY	400	58¢	$232	0x1df3ee…
07-03 14:01:01	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	600	61¢	$366	0xd3a0dd…
07-03 04:53:26	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	300	11¢	$33	0xc28504…
07-03 04:41:08	Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	182	3¢	$5	0x5838e0…
07-03 04:40:53	Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	37	3¢	$1	0x3b995c…
07-03 04:09:34	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	88	41¢	$36	0x63844c…
07-03 02:55:26	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	300	44¢	$134	0xa60370…
07-03 01:57:23	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x2486f2…
07-03 00:38:05	Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	134	55¢	$74	0xa6c1b9…
07-03 00:37:49	Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	18	55¢	$10	0xd0d0a6…
07-03 00:37:49	Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	48	55¢	$26	0xaa450c…
07-02 15:50:10	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	76	40¢	$31	0x9f51fc…
07-02 14:44:44	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xff7bd7…
07-02 14:42:55	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	21	40¢	$8	0xc66394…
07-02 14:03:50	Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	330	30¢	$99	0xfe3026…
07-02 14:03:31	Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	400	26¢	$105	0x71d7e9…
07-02 14:03:19	Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	600	17¢	$102	0xb84aea…
07-02 01:36:19	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 spread home 1pt5	United States	SELL	300	22¢	$66	0xcdc452…
07-02 01:06:05	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 spread home 1pt5	United States	BUY	300	59¢	$177	0x8793f7…
07-01 20:07:38	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	300	49¢	$147	0xb5ff8a…
07-01 15:23:16	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 btts	No	BUY	800	66¢	$528	0xf218b3…
07-01 11:14:14	Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?	Yes	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0x6871d5…
07-01 02:54:05	Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	500	8¢	$40	0x1f7c48…
06-30 18:45:32	Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	SELL	151	80¢	$121	0x10adf0…
06-30 18:45:32	Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	SELL	49	80¢	$39	0x0b9314…
06-30 11:27:41	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	SELL	228	93¢	$212	0x73c701…
06-30 11:27:41	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	SELL	271	93¢	$252	0x438917…
06-30 11:27:41	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x1ba830…
06-30 09:45:14	Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	200	46¢	$92	0x17351d…
06-30 09:44:59	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	Norway	BUY	1,100	64¢	$704	0xf6a2d6…
06-30 02:56:04	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	SELL	300	5¢	$15	0x16ee36…
06-30 00:59:34	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	300	41¢	$123	0x29102d…
06-29 20:23:29	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	300	58¢	$174	0xa35e0f…
06-29 16:25:49	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	900	66¢	$594	0x439a8c…
06-28 18:23:38	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	810	79¢	$640	0xb782e7…
06-28 00:25:05	Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	SELL	350	21¢	$74	0xc47c6d…
06-27 22:59:52	Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	200	59¢	$118	0x91477d…
06-27 21:34:58	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 spread away 1pt5	England	SELL	200	51¢	$102	0xc189aa…
06-27 21:27:20	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 spread away 1pt5	England	BUY	200	56¢	$112	0xf321e2…
06-27 12:52:17	Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0xf281f4…
06-27 09:40:49	Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	400	62¢	$248	0x7f4e3e…
06-27 04:45:14	fifwc egy irn 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	200	28¢	$56	0x1690b1…
06-27 04:16:34	fifwc egy irn 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0x74e9bf…
06-27 03:13:53	fifwc nzl bel 2026 06 26 spread away 1pt5	Belgium	BUY	300	68¢	$204	0xe3fc24…
06-27 03:04:58	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	SELL	300	36¢	$108	0x16a88e…
06-27 03:03:46	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	300	37¢	$111	0xbb6103…
06-27 01:41:56	Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x03f94e…
06-27 00:49:52	Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	No	SELL	300	25¢	$75	0xce7808…
06-27 00:49:29	fifwc cvi ksa 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	300	13¢	$39	0xd71ece…
06-27 00:00:56	fifwc cvi ksa 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	270	44¢	$119	0xbfe802…
06-27 00:00:56	fifwc cvi ksa 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0x6bdf93…
06-26 23:58:47	Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	No	BUY	300	44¢	$132	0xa47ade…
06-26 14:26:34	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x3419d2…
06-26 12:59:58	fifwc sen irq 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	450	65¢	$292	0xde95ce…
06-26 12:59:34	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	800	8¢	$67	0xa710df…
06-26 12:59:02	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	700	6¢	$39	0x8b9139…
06-26 03:53:02	Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	No	SELL	300	89¢	$267	0xf91609…
06-26 01:55:17	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	174	23¢	$40	0x432c47…
06-26 01:55:16	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	242	23¢	$56	0xae8e96…
06-26 01:55:14	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	25	23¢	$6	0x3e2644…
06-26 01:54:23	Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	No	BUY	300	54¢	$162	0x4ce864…
06-25 23:35:38	Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0x5b199b…