Minty-Locker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

19.0%

Resolved

127

Trades

525

lifetime

Volume

$8.55K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 10-25 19:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 69 days

Categories

Sports

43% 23% +$2

Politics

25% 7% -$2

Other

25% 26% -$21

Crypto

4% 50% +$1

Tech

2% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No		+0	$0	97¢	$0	$0	07-02 19:13
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No		+0	$0	95¢	$0	$0	05-16 11:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	17	$339	178	178	+0	Yes	$0	03-01 15:25
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	10	$233	121	121	+0	No	$0	02-18 10:49
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	10	$208	109	109	+0	No	$0	03-02 19:34
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	10	$208	111	111	+0	No	$0	02-16 13:18
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	8	$197	102	102	+0	No	$0	02-23 08:22
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	10	$191	99	99	+0	No	-$1	04-16 16:20
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	8	$176	91	91	+0	No	$0	02-23 09:06
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	8	$157	82	82	+0	Yes	+$0	02-28 21:28
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	10	$151	79	79	+0	No	+$0	03-01 15:27
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	9	$147	78	78	+0	No	$0	03-15 16:51
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	8	$144	74	74	+0	No	$0	01-31 06:31
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	8	$144	76	76	+0	No	$0	04-18 13:03
will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	6	$137	70	70	+0	No	$0	03-02 19:37
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	6	$133	69	69	+0	No	$0	02-12 03:01
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	10	$122	65	65	+0	No	+$0	02-12 02:41
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	10	$110	58	58	+0	No	$0	02-27 22:58
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	8	$110	56	56	+0	No	$0	04-10 01:08
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	8	$105	56	56	+0	No	$0	03-02 19:36
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	6	$104	54	54	+0	Yes	$0	03-01 15:33
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	7	$103	53	53	+0	No	$0	03-02 19:32
will bitcoin dip to 40k in february 2026 785 212 222	4	$102	54	54	+0	No	$0	02-12 02:33
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?	7	$101	52	52	+0	No	$0	02-11 05:27
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	8	$100	53	53	+0	Yes	$0	03-31 06:09
will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	5	$100	52	52	+0	No	$0	02-12 02:59
will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	4	$99	51	51	+0	No	$0	02-18 10:31
Netanyahu out by April 30?	6	$98	51	51	+0	No	$0	03-29 02:13
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$96	50	50	+0	No	$0	03-23 09:04
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	5	$96	61	37	+23	No	+$0	02-12 02:52
will the houston texans win super bowl 2026	2	$95	52	52	+0	No	+$0	01-16 01:04
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	6	$91	48	48	+0	No	$0	03-24 23:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 19:25:50	Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	SELL	7	94¢	$6	0x13c809…
10-25 11:23:45	Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$6	0xca8ce7…
09-28 02:19:09	Will Norway win the UEFA EURO 2028?	No	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0x260d05…
09-27 21:18:54	Will Norway win the UEFA EURO 2028?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$6	0x3019c0…
08-31 01:14:48	Will Josh Shapiro be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	No	SELL	7	94¢	$6	0x622c76…
08-30 20:45:55	Will Josh Shapiro be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$6	0x1d20da…
08-05 11:44:23	Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$6	0xbd7dc9…
08-05 03:41:44	Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x7d09ce…
07-23 15:38:43	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x4aa502…
07-23 09:30:40	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	7	98¢	$6	0x558a8e…
07-02 19:13:02	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	18	92¢	$17	0x8d34df…
07-02 15:17:25	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x0d943e…
07-02 15:08:47	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x96fbab…
06-19 14:02:38	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	14	95¢	$13	0xa7eda9…
06-19 09:00:19	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0xe2e31f…
06-06 21:56:13	Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x4d7c5f…
06-06 16:54:06	Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x0e8c40…
05-29 19:50:15	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	13	96¢	$12	0x12beb1…
05-29 10:09:36	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	13	97¢	$12	0x7ff496…
05-17 11:06:44	Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$7	0xb23768…
05-17 07:01:25	Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$7	0x80f552…
05-17 06:27:14	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x825fe4…
05-17 01:24:58	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x6fac12…
05-17 00:44:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x3b0be5…
05-16 20:39:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xe919a2…
05-16 20:04:57	Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	SELL	12	96¢	$11	0x2d1a18…
05-16 11:59:41	Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x4766d7…
05-16 11:28:41	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	9	96¢	$8	0xcf01de…
05-16 06:24:58	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	9	96¢	$8	0xbcd6f3…
05-16 05:50:31	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	14	96¢	$14	0x94a99f…
05-15 22:49:47	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	14	96¢	$14	0x06feb3…
05-15 22:13:55	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0xd04b67…
05-15 16:09:22	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x2afa07…
05-15 09:30:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	16	91¢	$14	0x494448…
05-15 01:25:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x33173d…
05-15 01:20:02	Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	16	93¢	$15	0x607390…
05-14 21:23:04	Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x3f076d…
05-14 21:19:16	Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0xa0725c…
05-14 21:13:38	Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	19	92¢	$18	0x8e7a31…
05-14 17:08:10	Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	19	93¢	$18	0x5c88b1…
05-14 17:01:52	Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xe9d34b…
05-14 12:00:49	Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x34feb6…
05-14 11:51:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	9	98¢	$8	0x20b157…
05-14 05:49:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$8	0xc68b11…
05-14 05:43:55	Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x99534c…
05-14 00:42:19	Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x59956b…
05-14 00:35:48	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	18	91¢	$17	0x05da84…
05-13 17:33:56	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	18	92¢	$17	0xbc54f7…
05-13 17:27:49	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	8	92¢	$8	0x84ad33…
05-13 13:23:57	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	8	92¢	$8	0xf63360…
05-13 12:56:30	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xc7de1a…
05-13 04:50:44	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x673744…
05-13 04:45:08	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x942e97…
05-12 21:42:13	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x206d0f…
05-12 21:36:13	Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x6e00da…
05-12 17:30:53	Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x805592…
05-12 17:24:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	18	94¢	$17	0xf0cffe…
05-12 10:19:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0xa2578b…
05-12 09:49:44	Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	14	97¢	$14	0xa68cd4…
05-11 09:28:17	Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x64a8f4…
05-11 09:21:29	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0x208de6…
05-11 05:17:27	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x1b166b…
05-11 05:11:16	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0x579a5a…
05-11 00:10:28	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xdcde49…
05-11 00:02:53	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0xa62a94…
05-10 17:00:16	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0xabe38b…
05-10 16:53:54	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0x9782b2…
05-10 08:49:09	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	17	95¢	$16	0xaf8ad8…
05-10 08:42:09	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	13	94¢	$12	0x831ade…
05-10 00:37:38	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0xe59198…
05-10 00:32:06	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	19	96¢	$18	0x898610…
05-09 17:30:15	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0x1ff99d…
05-09 17:23:50	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x55e774…
05-09 10:19:28	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x537e88…
05-09 10:13:36	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	9	93¢	$8	0x7fc43a…
05-09 05:10:27	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0xf677b9…
05-09 05:04:35	Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0x33c149…
05-08 21:02:31	Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xb15d1f…
05-08 20:57:04	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0xffc601…
05-08 12:52:07	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x60586a…
05-08 12:45:51	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x0ce0a7…
05-08 08:45:05	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x8f7a43…
05-08 08:39:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	11	89¢	$10	0x516efc…
05-08 01:34:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xd9cae3…
05-08 01:27:03	Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	13	95¢	$12	0x33dc02…
05-07 19:25:53	Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x84ca72…
05-07 19:19:47	Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0x2bd9c4…
05-07 14:15:36	Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0xe2619e…
05-07 14:09:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	7	92¢	$7	0xf71883…
05-07 07:06:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0xe37597…
05-07 06:10:23	Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0x8cdc70…
05-06 04:42:28	Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0x7e299f…
05-06 03:49:40	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0xb64898…
05-01 13:19:10	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$11	0x36457d…
05-01 12:41:26	Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0xbaee33…
05-01 05:30:50	Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0x555e59…
05-01 05:30:20	Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x5a921d…
05-01 04:54:44	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0x92ad72…
04-30 18:56:02	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$9	0x376988…
04-30 18:48:22	Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	9	94¢	$9	0x01a0d1…