Submissive-Ale — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.3%

Resolved

Trades

628

lifetime

Volume

$2.31K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 08-21 12:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

41% — —

Politics

32% 50% +$22

Sports

14% 0% $-1

Other

12% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$158	406	406	+0	open	—	06-08 16:15
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	31	$136	614	614	+0	open	—	04-27 09:42
Iran leadership change by December 31?	2	$106	221	221	+0	open	—	06-13 11:15
will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	2	$100	217	217	+0	open	—	06-17 09:15
will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in august 2026	1	$97	286	0	+286	open	—	08-19 16:42
us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644 414 831	1	$87	263	0	+263	open	—	08-19 13:28
will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	1	$61	396	0	+396	open	—	08-20 10:28
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	32	$60	1,752	0	+1,752	open	—	08-21 12:28
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	23	$52	63	92	-29	open	—	03-10 03:40
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	6	$45	107	57	+50	open	—	04-07 08:40
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	6	$38	70	70	+0	open	—	04-14 11:22
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?	4	$38	211	0	+211	open	—	08-20 15:28
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	5	$36	64	30	+34	open	—	04-07 10:10
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	35	$36	97	102	-5	open	—	03-10 03:40
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	4	$36	113	113	+0	open	—	03-25 13:39
will ethereum reach 2400 in march 2026	8	$36	56	56	+0	open	—	03-25 12:40
Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	28	$36	591	590	+1	open	—	03-21 15:43
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	4	$34	60	60	+0	open	—	04-22 02:33
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	7	$33	66	36	+30	open	—	04-13 11:44
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$32	65	65	+0	open	—	06-08 15:15
Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	6	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	03-03 01:36
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	2	$29	70	0	+70	open	—	06-09 00:17
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	7	$28	88	88	+0	open	—	03-28 08:40
will trump deport 250000 500000 people	7	$27	15	15	+0	open	—	02-15 04:37
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	12	$26	33	33	+0	open	—	03-29 05:27
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	6	$26	37	18	+19	open	—	04-01 02:40
megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	5	$25	93	13	+80	open	—	04-16 23:23
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	2	$25	38	38	+0	open	—	05-25 04:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	3	$25	61	27	+34	Yes	+$22	04-20 10:23
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	14	$25	147	164	-17	open	—	04-02 08:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-21 12:28:12	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	32	4¢	$1	0x0ca785…
08-21 11:28:15	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	33	4¢	$1	0x55925c…
08-21 10:28:16	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	34	4¢	$1	0xe39b96…
08-21 09:28:12	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	34	4¢	$1	0x150f32…
08-20 22:28:09	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x27b764…
08-20 22:28:06	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x3d65a9…
08-20 17:28:15	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	40	22¢	$9	0x5f0692…
08-20 16:28:10	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	42	3¢	$1	0x000d68…
08-20 15:28:12	Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	57	18¢	$10	0x519a5e…
08-20 15:28:09	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	57	3¢	$2	0x7d4f10…
08-20 14:28:12	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	57	3¢	$2	0x34e885…
08-20 13:28:12	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	58	3¢	$2	0xc6c261…
08-20 12:28:13	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	58	3¢	$2	0x3c4cfc…
08-20 11:28:10	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	58	3¢	$2	0x3ed0c8…
08-20 10:28:12	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	396	16¢	$61	0xfce104…
08-20 10:28:09	Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	57	18¢	$10	0x150803…
08-20 10:28:07	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	57	3¢	$2	0x89b212…
08-20 09:28:09	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	58	3¢	$2	0x217916…
08-20 08:28:06	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	58	3¢	$2	0x8d6d8a…
08-20 07:28:07	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	58	3¢	$2	0xfecab4…
08-20 06:28:07	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	58	3¢	$2	0xbe091f…
08-20 06:28:06	Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x478d30…
08-20 05:28:07	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	58	3¢	$2	0x04a433…
08-20 04:28:06	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	58	3¢	$2	0x1aedc8…
08-20 03:28:07	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	57	3¢	$2	0xc1202b…
08-20 03:28:06	Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	57	12¢	$7	0xb8670c…
08-20 02:28:06	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	57	3¢	$2	0x9c16ec…
08-20 02:28:04	Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	57	12¢	$7	0xcc8ca7…
08-20 01:28:06	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x334bad…
08-20 00:28:04	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	58	3¢	$2	0x220019…
08-19 23:28:06	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	57	3¢	$2	0x93fccc…
08-19 22:28:04	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	57	3¢	$2	0xbbf0ba…
08-19 21:28:10	will bitcoin reach 75k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	29	20¢	$6	0x0d1a6f…
08-19 21:28:06	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	57	3¢	$2	0x93b964…
08-19 20:28:06	Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	38	18¢	$7	0x5c17f4…
08-19 20:28:03	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	59	3¢	$2	0xe60c38…
08-19 19:28:09	Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	59	18¢	$11	0x4f114f…
08-19 19:28:03	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	59	3¢	$2	0xceeaad…
08-19 18:28:07	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0x46f780…
08-19 17:28:13	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0x7b07b3…
08-19 16:42:57	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	286	34¢	$97	0x1fedc4…
08-19 16:28:06	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0x1c1737…
08-19 15:28:09	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xb99770…
08-19 15:28:09	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0x2bc115…
08-19 14:28:13	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	61	3¢	$2	0x810f7d…
08-19 13:28:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644 414 831	Yes	BUY	263	33¢	$87	0x194b46…
08-19 13:28:06	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	61	3¢	$2	0xd0e890…
08-19 12:28:03	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	61	3¢	$2	0x507171…
07-06 01:52:34	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	41¢	$9	0xa25889…
06-17 09:15:41	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	SELL	217	23¢	$50	0x1c2236…
06-13 11:15:36	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	SELL	221	20¢	$44	0xcf5fb4…
06-09 04:15:51	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	BUY	217	23¢	$50	0x6e244f…
06-09 00:17:16	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	21	42¢	$9	0x50b296…
06-09 00:15:49	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	49	42¢	$21	0x7a8b85…
06-08 16:15:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	406	16¢	$65	0xd04678…
06-08 15:15:36	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	19¢	$12	0xce6f5b…
06-06 23:15:36	Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	30	29¢	$9	0x74059e…
06-03 13:23:33	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x1af09e…
06-01 15:17:29	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	221	28¢	$62	0x720006…
06-01 13:41:05	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	30¢	$20	0xed9122…
06-01 13:18:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	406	23¢	$93	0x74d22d…
05-25 04:13:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	41¢	$15	0x6a685f…
05-13 10:35:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	14¢	$4	0x2d6cd3…
05-07 23:14:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x9252b3…
05-07 13:14:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x6d5f8f…
05-07 02:44:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x16682f…
04-28 07:18:48	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	SELL	14	52¢	$7	0x5cc286…
04-27 09:42:10	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	47	5¢	$2	0x2ba4fe…
04-23 21:33:14	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	9¢	$4	0x87c4e0…
04-22 04:33:36	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xfa4d7b…
04-22 03:39:26	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	14	74¢	$10	0x4cee06…
04-22 02:33:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	14¢	$4	0x66c05e…
04-22 02:33:16	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	31	13¢	$4	0x27e42a…
04-21 19:34:24	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x8f90e1…
04-21 16:49:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	35	17¢	$6	0x55f04d…
04-20 19:22:56	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	29	35¢	$10	0x8e94ae…
04-20 16:27:52	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x30cfe1…
04-20 10:23:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	26¢	$9	0x5eed90…
04-20 10:23:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0x7a82e1…
04-20 09:23:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xf48dfe…
04-20 09:23:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	SELL	48	5¢	$2	0x0080ce…
04-20 09:23:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	101	0¢	$0	0xbf3b04…
04-19 21:23:18	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	9	30¢	$3	0xdfcfc2…
04-18 09:23:12	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	19	9¢	$2	0x3652fd…
04-18 08:15:24	bitcoin above 78k on april 20	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x9528d4…
04-18 03:29:46	bitcoin above 78k on april 19	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x6b984d…
04-17 14:08:22	will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on april 17	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x50110c…
04-17 14:05:56	will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on april 17	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0xe67c07…
04-17 14:04:16	will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on april 17	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xe93eb9…
04-17 14:01:26	will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on april 17	Yes	BUY	55	1¢	$1	0x139858…
04-17 03:23:04	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on april 17	Yes	SELL	9	12¢	$1	0x320548…
04-17 02:30:04	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on april 17	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xe1a72f…
04-16 23:23:24	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xeeb966…
04-16 08:42:40	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	BUY	64	15¢	$10	0x465d3f…
04-16 08:42:22	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0xe52ad8…
04-16 08:22:56	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on april 16	Yes	SELL	13	7¢	$1	0x46fd55…
04-16 08:05:02	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on april 16	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xa14fb6…
04-16 00:23:54	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x768e88…
04-16 00:03:04	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xa221d4…
04-15 15:33:36	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xd9a59d…