Submissive-Ale 0x8e6bd1…9d2ffc Create alert
bot hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1.03K
Unrealized P&L
+$99
Hit rate
18.8%
Resolved
146
Trades
1,633
lifetime
Volume
$15.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$883
24 positions
First seen
2026-02-10
last 11-01 15:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 64 days
Categories
Politics
66% 42% +$116
Other
18% 38% +$273
Crypto
13% 44% +$635
Sports
2% 45% +$12
Tech
0% 0% -$6
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 66 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +226 $213 97¢ $219 +$6 09-13 12:26
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +137 $118 96¢ $131 +$13 09-13 13:26
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +121 $96 98¢ $119 +$23 09-16 19:26
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +116 $93 94¢ $109 +$16 09-11 01:26
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +90 $74 95¢ $86 +$11 09-10 14:26
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +167 $28 38¢ $63 +$34 10-15 11:18
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -234 -$15 18¢ $-42 -$27 09-29 11:18
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +30 $28 98¢ $30 +$1 09-05 02:26
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? No +24 $23 99¢ $24 +$1 09-04 18:05
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -52 $11 32¢ $-17 -$27 10-26 12:21
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +14 $12 95¢ $13 +$2 09-03 22:17
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +14 $11 94¢ $13 +$2 09-29 08:52
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -23 -$9 55¢ $-13 -$3 07-06 01:52
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -35 -$7 8¢ $-3 +$4 05-06 11:13
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? Yes -30 -$9 8¢ $-3 +$6 06-06 23:15
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1 -$16 64¢ $0 +$17 10-19 21:21
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +7 $3 5¢ $0 -$3 10-15 00:18
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes -38 -$7 1¢ $-0 +$7 07-16 04:18
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 -$11 24¢ $0 +$11 11-01 15:22
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1 $2 10¢ $0 -$2 09-16 09:26
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +1 -$1 4¢ $0 +$1 10-10 07:19
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +0 $23 5¢ $0 -$23 10-14 11:26
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? Yes +1 -$28 1¢ $0 +$28 10-12 06:26
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes +0 -$1 2¢ $0 +$1 09-02 05:27