Rotating-Statement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$103

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

81.7%

Resolved

Trades

397

lifetime

Volume

$21.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$54

Open exposure

$633

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-02 18:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

48% 100% +$2

Politics

36% 50% $-105

Sports

13% — —

Tech

3% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	No		+637	$628	99¢	$633	+$5	06-02 18:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	5	$1.2K	640	600	+40	open	—	03-11 09:56
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	4	$1.1K	615	615	+0	open	—	04-07 11:31
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	20	$1.1K	1,056	964	+91	open	—	01-31 12:16
will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	8	$922	469	469	-0	open	—	02-20 14:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$898	550	550	+0	open	—	04-21 19:43
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	6	$714	215	517	-302	open	—	02-18 13:06
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	1	$628	637	0	+637	open	—	06-02 18:52
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	3	$516	269	269	+0	open	—	03-26 14:01
will social democrats win the most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	7	$488	250	250	+0	open	—	03-23 17:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	4	$457	525	0	+525	open	—	04-07 19:56
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	3	$454	500	0	+500	open	—	04-06 10:39
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	3	$435	254	254	+0	open	—	02-25 01:10
Nothing Ever Happens: March	19	$433	355	355	+0	open	—	03-27 19:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$428	250	250	+0	Yes	+$22	05-04 10:07
will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	5	$399	214	214	+0	open	—	01-28 22:43
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	4	$383	418	0	+418	open	—	03-27 23:09
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	3	$358	386	0	+386	open	—	04-07 19:58
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$350	200	200	+0	open	—	03-17 10:57
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	6	$339	207	207	+0	open	—	04-06 23:53
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	2	$300	200	200	+0	open	—	04-07 19:47
will trump visit greenland by march 31	9	$297	160	160	+0	open	—	03-23 21:44
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	6	$286	155	155	+0	open	—	02-22 10:03
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	4	$282	149	149	+0	open	—	03-11 00:14
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	6	$280	320	250	+70	open	—	04-15 15:12
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	5	$249	275	0	+275	open	—	03-29 21:51
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	4	$246	272	0	+272	open	—	03-24 07:20
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	5	$245	258	0	+258	open	—	05-06 18:47
will johannes hoesflot klaebo record the most medals at the 2026 winter olympics 632	6	$245	234	22	+212	open	—	02-21 01:53
US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?	16	$242	250	108	+142	open	—	04-02 02:38
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	5	$231	246	246	+0	open	—	02-16 20:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 18:52:32	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	No	BUY	637	99¢	$628	0x45e09d…
05-06 18:47:03	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x9d97f8…
05-06 16:03:51	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf8c720…
05-06 15:13:03	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x436cbe…
05-06 14:25:55	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x868173…
05-06 10:21:44	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	No	BUY	113	95¢	$107	0xfb9476…
05-04 10:07:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	250	90¢	$225	0xf44ff2…
05-02 10:40:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x554a9c…
04-30 12:09:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x9279b1…
04-22 21:59:30	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7f3946…
04-22 15:36:20	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	75	95¢	$71	0xc5c1b2…
04-22 15:36:20	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x9af205…
04-22 08:50:04	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	209	11¢	$23	0xcc1a8b…
04-21 20:50:28	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0xfd6cfb…
04-21 20:17:34	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	209	93¢	$194	0x97fdbf…
04-21 19:43:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	200	83¢	$166	0x431ca2…
04-21 19:42:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	200	81¢	$162	0x46f7d6…
04-21 17:28:14	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	43	96¢	$41	0x798a73…
04-21 16:24:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	350	83¢	$290	0x144828…
04-15 15:12:34	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	36	82¢	$30	0xdd118d…
04-15 11:55:06	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	34	82¢	$28	0x413a26…
04-13 18:57:57	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	250	23¢	$58	0xbe26bd…
04-12 19:22:51	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	94	99¢	$93	0x30307e…
04-12 09:26:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	BUY	84	85¢	$71	0x2e92bb…
04-12 09:25:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	SELL	100	70¢	$70	0xa04969…
04-10 09:54:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	350	80¢	$280	0x1210f1…
04-07 20:04:19	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	76	64¢	$49	0x66af00…
04-07 19:58:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0x845355…
04-07 19:56:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x973316…
04-07 19:47:23	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	SELL	200	76¢	$152	0xcd721b…
04-07 19:27:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	290	89¢	$258	0x6c5aaa…
04-07 18:05:25	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	49	64¢	$31	0x11e72c…
04-07 11:31:35	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	SELL	200	85¢	$170	0x105c53…
04-07 10:34:29	chatgpt outage by april 24	Yes	SELL	25	76¢	$19	0x7bb063…
04-06 23:53:21	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	207	86¢	$178	0xca0ed0…
04-06 21:35:23	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	136	100¢	$135	0x0e1355…
04-06 10:53:53	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	106	96¢	$101	0x1a6d84…
04-06 10:39:01	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x17d89c…
04-05 15:27:55	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0x9ee0c4…
04-04 23:44:31	chatgpt outage by april 24	Yes	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0xa30651…
04-04 22:51:55	military action against iran ends by april 30 2026 239	No	BUY	40	77¢	$31	0x5dbe60…
04-04 21:08:13	military action against iran ends by april 30 2026 239	No	BUY	60	77¢	$46	0x80d553…
04-04 08:14:47	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	96	17¢	$16	0x7502e6…
04-03 21:21:53	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x3d6e28…
04-03 21:20:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	250	94¢	$235	0x0fbd06…
04-03 16:56:11	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	SELL	415	92¢	$382	0x7898e9…
04-02 09:20:53	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	52	62¢	$32	0xe3016d…
04-02 07:15:13	Nothing Ever Happens: April	Nothing	BUY	23	38¢	$9	0xe3628e…
04-02 07:12:53	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	150	90¢	$135	0x5714cf…
04-02 04:12:25	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	110	94¢	$103	0x732561…
04-02 02:38:41	US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xd300da…
04-02 01:44:15	US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	30	87¢	$26	0x82b6d6…
04-02 01:44:13	US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x3ad22e…
04-02 01:29:23	US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xda890d…
04-02 01:29:09	US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x4a48e7…
04-02 00:39:41	US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x732766…
04-02 00:21:43	US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x56077c…
04-01 23:55:15	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	BUY	250	90¢	$225	0xee5bcf…
04-01 23:42:23	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	125	68¢	$85	0x9ab61a…
04-01 22:08:17	US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	57	87¢	$50	0xd888b2…
04-01 21:51:23	US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	9	87¢	$8	0x9b4405…
04-01 21:22:59	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	BUY	365	91¢	$332	0x0bf950…
04-01 21:01:09	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	250	92¢	$230	0x40d416…
04-01 19:13:45	Will Finland be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	62¢	$18	0xa0b952…
04-01 17:56:51	will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	No	BUY	16	87¢	$14	0xa0e669…
04-01 17:44:37	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x322b3d…
04-01 13:08:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x39e0ee…
04-01 11:47:57	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	95	81¢	$77	0x016388…
04-01 11:45:07	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	45	81¢	$37	0xad6dd2…
04-01 09:42:05	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0xb7d10c…
04-01 08:28:01	Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?	No	BUY	250	92¢	$230	0xd1f0b1…
04-01 08:13:15	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	42	47¢	$20	0xaec1cf…
04-01 07:38:57	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	54	45¢	$24	0x2dee4d…
03-30 22:22:41	will another country boycott eurovision 2026 by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	61	0¢	$0	0xffbaa1…
03-30 19:19:51	crude oil all time high by march 31	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x5666fd…
03-30 11:09:40	crude oil all time high by march 31	No	BUY	51	99¢	$51	0xaf4932…
03-29 21:51:38	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	25	87¢	$22	0x94c890…
03-29 16:42:18	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	Yes	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0xa1a852…
03-29 16:42:02	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	No	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xaca79e…
03-28 17:37:39	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	150	92¢	$138	0x8bfc62…
03-28 15:06:17	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	70	92¢	$64	0x0463cb…
03-28 12:44:47	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?	No	SELL	25	95¢	$24	0x81b94e…
03-28 10:23:15	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	117	100¢	$117	0x097b1e…
03-27 23:09:55	will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	No	BUY	233	95¢	$221	0xcc2c37…
03-27 20:10:47	fif nld nor 2026 03 27 nld	Yes	SELL	89	33¢	$30	0xf87ba3…
03-27 19:59:47	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	SELL	65	76¢	$49	0x1934f8…
03-27 19:55:13	fif nld nor 2026 03 27 nld	Yes	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0xd6e087…
03-27 19:03:29	fif nld nor 2026 03 27 nld	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x428e45…
03-27 16:26:47	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0x017aa7…
03-27 16:24:51	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	SELL	14	64¢	$9	0xb2af2b…
03-27 16:24:51	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	SELL	7	64¢	$4	0x51ddaf…
03-27 16:24:51	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	SELL	62	64¢	$40	0x3dc8b5…
03-27 16:24:51	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	SELL	14	64¢	$9	0x28e495…
03-27 16:24:49	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x41f26b…
03-27 16:24:49	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	SELL	77	64¢	$49	0x164675…
03-27 16:24:47	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0xb3160e…
03-27 16:24:47	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	SELL	30	64¢	$19	0x9b9d7f…
03-27 16:24:47	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	SELL	15	64¢	$10	0x54da9a…
03-27 16:24:47	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	SELL	30	64¢	$19	0x0ba089…
03-27 16:20:51	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	SELL	12	64¢	$8	0xb44333…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	87	$958.5K	15,362	06-01 06:21
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	86	$300.1K	23,953	05-01 08:19
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	84	$17.9M	25,797	05-29 23:57
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	80	$179.1K	1,256	06-02 21:29
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	78	$10.8K	2,225	05-24 07:56
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	75	$98.5K	9,523	03-28 16:56
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	74	$33.6K	11,738	04-26 14:40
Vacant-Challenge 0x3078…0389	68	$176.8K	22,891	04-18 11:56