Realized P&L
-$3.33K
Unrealized P&L
-$859
Hit rate
38.4%
Resolved
18
Trades
60
lifetime
Volume
$13.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$232
Open exposure
$2.96K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 10-22 21:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
51% 83% -$509
Crypto
32% 10% -$3,050
Politics
17% 100% +$233
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +347 $250 94¢ $326 +$76 10-15 16:48
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +397 $250 66¢ $264 +$14 09-27 01:37
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +263 $200 96¢ $253 +$53 08-22 22:52
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No +346 $250 72¢ $251 +$1 10-18 21:09
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +269 $250 92¢ $246 -$4 09-27 01:36
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +368 $250 66¢ $244 -$6 10-22 21:45
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +294 $250 83¢ $244 -$6 10-22 21:45
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +329 $250 74¢ $242 -$8 10-19 03:26
putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027 No +245 $200 90¢ $222 +$22 07-10 00:59
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +257 $200 81¢ $208 +$8 08-22 22:49
next white house press secretary announced by november 30 2026 Yes +508 $300 33¢ $168 -$132 10-17 04:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,250 $100 6¢ $72 -$28 09-02 00:03
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +419 $100 12¢ $48 -$52 09-02 00:04
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +625 $100 8¢ $47 -$53 09-02 00:03
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,429 $100 3¢ $45 -$55 09-02 00:03
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +233 $67 18¢ $41 -$27 09-02 00:04
next white house press secretary announced by october 31 2026 Yes +1,026 $200 3¢ $29 -$171 10-17 04:05
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +724 $500 1¢ $8 -$492 10-13 14:30